Prediction 4054
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | CearĂ¡ |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for CearĂ¡
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 286.59 | 222.97 | 222.99 | 223.02 | 223.33 | 286.96 | 287.25 | 287.40 | 287.53 |
2023-10-15 | 64.10 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 64.56 | 64.92 | 65.10 | 65.27 |
2023-10-22 | 18.79 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 18.90 | 18.98 | 19.03 | 19.06 |
2023-10-29 | 2.76 | 2.15 | 2.22 | 2.29 | 2.74 | 2.77 | 3.06 | 3.07 | 3.08 |
2023-11-05 | 3.38 | 3.22 | 3.33 | 3.34 | 3.36 | 4.62 | 5.29 | 5.30 | 5.31 |
2023-11-12 | 0.65 | 0.62 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 3.45 | 4.00 | 4.01 | 4.02 |
2023-11-19 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 2.99 | 3.59 | 3.61 | 3.61 |
2023-11-26 | 2.75 | 2.57 | 2.69 | 2.70 | 2.72 | 4.97 | 6.22 | 6.24 | 6.26 |
2023-12-03 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 4.10 | 5.06 | 5.08 | 5.09 |
2023-12-10 | 0.81 | 0.76 | 0.79 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 6.27 | 7.79 | 7.83 | 7.84 |
2023-12-17 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 5.82 | 7.11 | 7.13 | 7.15 |
2023-12-24 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 8.23 | 10.02 | 10.06 | 10.08 |
2023-12-31 | 31.30 | 18.90 | 19.29 | 19.64 | 24.17 | 31.41 | 31.49 | 31.54 | 31.58 |
2024-01-07 | 38.53 | 26.56 | 27.07 | 27.56 | 33.66 | 38.66 | 38.77 | 38.83 | 38.87 |
2024-01-14 | 8.32 | 8.04 | 8.23 | 8.25 | 8.28 | 25.98 | 31.00 | 31.11 | 31.17 |
2024-01-21 | 6.00 | 5.79 | 5.93 | 5.94 | 5.96 | 31.73 | 37.27 | 37.40 | 37.47 |
2024-01-28 | 23.82 | 23.14 | 23.60 | 23.65 | 23.73 | 50.23 | 58.73 | 58.93 | 59.04 |
2024-02-04 | 27.66 | 26.88 | 27.41 | 27.46 | 27.55 | 67.74 | 78.03 | 78.28 | 78.43 |
2024-02-11 | 10.24 | 9.89 | 10.13 | 10.15 | 10.19 | 75.48 | 84.72 | 84.98 | 85.14 |
2024-02-18 | 10.49 | 10.17 | 10.39 | 10.41 | 10.45 | 96.36 | 106.15 | 106.45 | 106.64 |
2024-02-25 | 16.29 | 15.81 | 16.13 | 16.16 | 16.22 | 126.00 | 136.50 | 136.86 | 137.09 |
2024-03-03 | 15.97 | 15.51 | 15.82 | 15.85 | 15.91 | 158.33 | 167.71 | 168.11 | 168.37 |
2024-03-10 | 20.73 | 20.15 | 20.54 | 20.58 | 20.64 | 204.00 | 211.73 | 212.18 | 212.46 |
2024-03-17 | 1.60 | 1.54 | 1.58 | 1.58 | 1.59 | 199.75 | 216.98 | 219.18 | 220.60 |
2024-03-24 | 2.81 | 2.73 | 2.78 | 2.79 | 2.79 | 340.64 | 533.51 | 540.61 | 545.22 |
2024-03-31 | 35.74 | 34.82 | 35.43 | 35.50 | 35.60 | 1061.02 | 1247.74 | 1255.55 | 1260.70 |
2024-04-07 | 30.18 | 29.42 | 29.93 | 29.98 | 30.07 | 1903.06 | 2051.46 | 2059.67 | 2064.98 |
2024-04-14 | 0.56 | 0.55 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 2399.17 | 2475.01 | 2482.21 | 2486.20 |
2024-04-21 | 3.55 | 3.48 | 3.52 | 3.53 | 3.54 | 2916.15 | 2934.56 | 2943.36 | 2961.31 |
2024-04-28 | 1.96 | 1.92 | 1.95 | 1.95 | 1.96 | 3246.39 | 3309.00 | 3336.34 | 3347.79 |
2024-05-05 | 1.54 | 1.52 | 1.53 | 1.53 | 1.54 | 3319.72 | 3436.02 | 3463.74 | 3479.56 |
2024-05-12 | 5.75 | 5.64 | 5.71 | 5.72 | 5.73 | 3444.10 | 3583.95 | 3619.40 | 3635.67 |
2024-05-19 | 24.56 | 24.00 | 24.38 | 24.41 | 24.48 | 3613.63 | 3757.03 | 3798.67 | 3812.95 |
2024-05-26 | 23.39 | 22.87 | 23.22 | 23.25 | 23.31 | 3592.93 | 3724.02 | 3765.67 | 3779.96 |
2024-06-02 | 18.66 | 18.28 | 18.53 | 18.56 | 18.60 | 3477.52 | 3574.51 | 3610.92 | 3629.29 |
2024-06-09 | 2.03 | 2.02 | 2.02 | 2.02 | 2.03 | 3120.15 | 3163.00 | 3194.98 | 3217.04 |
2024-06-16 | 1.99 | 1.98 | 1.98 | 1.98 | 1.99 | 2584.20 | 2600.59 | 2611.37 | 2632.07 |
2024-06-23 | 2.76 | 2.74 | 2.74 | 2.75 | 2.75 | 2076.43 | 2125.71 | 2131.40 | 2136.20 |
2024-06-30 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1551.14 | 1633.05 | 1637.91 | 1642.98 |
2024-07-07 | 27.10 | 26.58 | 26.92 | 26.96 | 27.02 | 1186.35 | 1288.73 | 1293.24 | 1297.48 |
2024-07-14 | 18.54 | 18.24 | 18.44 | 18.46 | 18.49 | 952.39 | 1067.93 | 1072.06 | 1075.76 |
2024-07-21 | 18.89 | 18.60 | 18.79 | 18.81 | 18.84 | 690.60 | 808.30 | 811.85 | 814.86 |
2024-07-28 | 11.88 | 11.79 | 11.83 | 11.84 | 11.86 | 462.00 | 575.25 | 578.21 | 580.61 |
2024-08-04 | 36.84 | 36.19 | 36.62 | 36.67 | 36.74 | 286.75 | 391.09 | 393.59 | 395.50 |
2024-08-11 | 32.45 | 31.93 | 32.27 | 32.31 | 32.37 | 187.38 | 282.93 | 285.01 | 286.62 |
2024-08-18 | 55.84 | 54.84 | 55.50 | 55.57 | 55.69 | 116.00 | 201.84 | 203.57 | 204.83 |
2024-08-25 | 40.19 | 39.56 | 39.98 | 40.03 | 40.10 | 46.26 | 121.93 | 123.36 | 124.33 |
2024-09-01 | 68.84 | 1.67 | 1.72 | 1.80 | 56.52 | 69.02 | 69.15 | 69.22 | 69.26 |
2024-09-08 | 58.05 | 1.15 | 1.15 | 1.15 | 14.34 | 58.19 | 58.28 | 58.33 | 58.37 |
2024-09-15 | 75.50 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.15 | 75.68 | 75.80 | 75.87 | 75.92 |
2024-09-22 | 87.51 | 1.15 | 1.16 | 1.17 | 2.07 | 87.71 | 87.86 | 87.93 | 87.99 |
2024-09-29 | 142.78 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.62 | 149.30 | 154.26 | 156.81 | 158.84 |