Prediction 4055
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Distrito Federal
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 300.42 | 300.42 | 300.42 | 300.42 | 300.42 | 1177.78 | 1180.78 | 1182.78 | 1202.78 |
2023-10-15 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 225.23 | 225.23 | 225.23 | 225.23 |
2023-10-22 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 43.66 | 43.66 | 43.66 | 43.66 |
2023-10-29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.79 | 6.79 | 6.79 | 6.79 |
2023-11-05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.83 |
2023-11-12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
2023-11-19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
2023-11-26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
2023-12-03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
2023-12-10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
2023-12-17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
2023-12-24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
2023-12-31 | 54.83 | 2.51 | 2.61 | 2.91 | 12.46 | 466.85 | 471.58 | 475.24 | 483.76 |
2024-01-07 | 65.94 | 3.05 | 3.17 | 3.54 | 16.35 | 1445.77 | 1460.41 | 1471.72 | 1498.10 |
2024-01-14 | 7.31 | 0.42 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 5.18 | 1461.54 | 1476.31 | 1487.76 | 1514.20 |
2024-01-21 | 5.17 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.72 | 1420.08 | 1434.38 | 1445.54 | 1471.12 |
2024-01-28 | 12.24 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.57 | 5.22 | 1433.20 | 1447.49 | 1458.82 | 1484.35 |
2024-02-04 | 13.50 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.44 | 3.51 | 1465.21 | 1479.68 | 1491.35 | 1517.22 |
2024-02-11 | 12.53 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.09 | 1395.96 | 1409.63 | 1420.81 | 1445.28 |
2024-02-18 | 19.66 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 1.49 | 1326.91 | 1339.72 | 1350.46 | 1373.45 |
2024-02-25 | 26.09 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 1.84 | 1309.78 | 1322.22 | 1332.97 | 1355.39 |
2024-03-03 | 41.42 | 0.57 | 0.59 | 0.63 | 4.54 | 1292.39 | 1304.51 | 1315.19 | 1337.03 |
2024-03-10 | 49.16 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.43 | 2.07 | 1282.25 | 1294.16 | 1304.83 | 1326.34 |
2024-03-17 | 116.03 | 0.46 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 2.47 | 1256.41 | 1267.95 | 1278.49 | 1299.32 |
2024-03-24 | 333.54 | 0.98 | 1.01 | 1.08 | 7.95 | 1278.77 | 1290.30 | 1301.18 | 1322.01 |
2024-03-31 | 469.38 | 1.14 | 1.17 | 1.26 | 8.97 | 1324.73 | 1336.50 | 1347.88 | 1369.18 |
2024-04-07 | 468.13 | 0.93 | 0.95 | 1.01 | 5.72 | 1340.58 | 2025.26 | 2033.80 | 2039.15 |
2024-04-14 | 455.88 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.54 | 1.23 | 1310.12 | 2720.23 | 2729.80 | 2735.93 |
2024-04-21 | 440.61 | 0.90 | 0.92 | 0.96 | 4.18 | 1257.55 | 3363.53 | 3372.80 | 3379.08 |
2024-04-28 | 436.37 | 1.05 | 1.08 | 1.14 | 5.25 | 1239.77 | 3776.60 | 3783.88 | 3789.22 |
2024-05-05 | 439.91 | 1.45 | 1.48 | 1.57 | 8.18 | 1238.67 | 3846.88 | 3852.13 | 3855.95 |
2024-05-12 | 447.56 | 1.73 | 1.77 | 1.87 | 9.65 | 1253.38 | 3629.94 | 3633.73 | 3636.69 |
2024-05-19 | 489.16 | 3.34 | 3.42 | 3.64 | 21.71 | 1342.51 | 3115.62 | 3120.11 | 3122.62 |
2024-05-26 | 500.96 | 2.81 | 2.87 | 3.03 | 14.79 | 1386.10 | 2357.77 | 2363.62 | 2367.03 |
2024-06-02 | 506.33 | 3.37 | 3.44 | 3.61 | 16.42 | 1393.14 | 1474.22 | 1479.44 | 1482.60 |
2024-06-09 | 424.36 | 4.25 | 4.33 | 4.54 | 20.20 | 1420.51 | 1431.34 | 1443.71 | 1463.81 |
2024-06-16 | 226.65 | 5.70 | 5.81 | 6.09 | 26.77 | 1470.21 | 1481.13 | 1494.16 | 1514.40 |
2024-06-23 | 101.92 | 4.09 | 4.15 | 4.30 | 14.91 | 1492.93 | 1503.86 | 1517.25 | 1537.37 |
2024-06-30 | 15.54 | 3.89 | 3.94 | 4.03 | 13.28 | 1391.85 | 1401.94 | 1414.39 | 1432.79 |
2024-07-07 | 59.29 | 1.49 | 1.53 | 1.59 | 10.08 | 1473.22 | 1483.68 | 1497.03 | 1515.78 |
2024-07-14 | 156.22 | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.66 | 12.65 | 1572.04 | 1582.98 | 1597.46 | 1616.89 |
2024-07-21 | 277.64 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 14.90 | 1663.92 | 1675.52 | 1690.53 | 1710.72 |
2024-07-28 | 342.80 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 0.79 | 13.94 | 1655.52 | 1666.98 | 1681.77 | 1701.64 |
2024-08-04 | 550.05 | 14.43 | 14.44 | 14.45 | 28.84 | 1821.47 | 1833.70 | 1850.10 | 1871.13 |
2024-08-11 | 762.91 | 2.20 | 2.20 | 2.21 | 34.89 | 1975.20 | 1988.19 | 2005.95 | 2028.04 |
2024-08-18 | 1022.20 | 2.74 | 2.74 | 2.75 | 49.38 | 2139.69 | 2153.39 | 2172.29 | 2195.79 |
2024-08-25 | 1352.53 | 2.93 | 2.93 | 2.93 | 65.55 | 2347.20 | 2361.75 | 2382.68 | 2407.36 |
2024-09-01 | 1520.40 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 60.45 | 2353.62 | 2367.79 | 2388.98 | 2412.65 |
2024-09-08 | 1627.96 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 66.48 | 2328.58 | 2342.35 | 2363.41 | 2386.18 |
2024-09-15 | 1876.09 | 10.30 | 10.31 | 10.32 | 237.05 | 2408.86 | 2422.54 | 2443.68 | 2466.48 |
2024-09-22 | 2009.60 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 413.76 | 2441.91 | 2455.47 | 2476.54 | 2498.32 |
2024-09-29 | 2154.34 | 8.51 | 8.52 | 8.53 | 626.51 | 2437.75 | 2450.92 | 2471.52 | 2492.56 |