Prediction 4057

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 Maranhão

Description:

2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Maranhão


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 49.62 11.25 11.25 11.25 14.02 65.58 72.54 73.06 73.45
2023-10-15 45.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.69 64.19 72.48 73.10 73.57
2023-10-22 8.71 0.09 0.17 0.17 0.91 12.11 13.58 13.69 13.77
2023-10-29 0.12 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.08 0.15 0.66 0.66 0.66
2023-11-05 0.13 0.06 0.07 0.08 0.13 0.14 0.76 0.76 0.76
2023-11-12 0.52 0.14 0.18 0.23 0.47 0.52 1.03 1.03 1.03
2023-11-19 0.11 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.08 0.13 1.07 1.08 1.08
2023-11-26 0.11 0.06 0.07 0.07 0.09 0.13 1.74 1.75 1.75
2023-12-03 0.11 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.13 2.27 2.28 2.29
2023-12-10 0.10 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.07 0.13 3.20 3.21 3.22
2023-12-17 0.10 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.07 0.12 3.96 3.97 3.98
2023-12-24 0.10 0.02 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.12 5.68 5.70 5.71
2023-12-31 6.28 0.67 0.92 1.21 4.57 7.50 11.02 11.06 11.09
2024-01-07 10.94 1.14 1.56 2.06 7.96 13.08 19.65 19.73 19.78
2024-01-14 0.70 0.14 0.19 0.23 0.57 0.78 23.95 24.06 24.12
2024-01-21 1.40 0.24 0.32 0.39 1.11 1.59 37.31 37.48 37.58
2024-01-28 7.19 0.88 1.20 1.55 5.38 8.45 66.79 67.09 67.28
2024-02-04 6.44 0.84 1.13 1.46 4.87 7.53 105.83 106.31 106.60
2024-02-11 0.12 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.09 0.15 130.49 131.09 131.45
2024-02-18 0.53 0.13 0.16 0.19 0.45 0.57 187.17 188.00 188.50
2024-02-25 2.24 0.44 0.58 0.72 1.85 2.47 285.54 286.72 287.44
2024-03-03 3.94 0.62 0.83 1.04 3.08 4.51 780.92 792.08 798.79
2024-03-10 1.30 0.32 0.42 0.50 1.11 1.41 1866.72 1880.87 1889.49
2024-03-17 0.12 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.09 0.14 2962.99 2978.29 2987.67
2024-03-24 1.36 0.35 0.45 0.53 1.15 1.48 4189.35 4203.38 4211.92
2024-03-31 8.24 1.14 1.53 1.94 6.26 9.62 5473.50 5482.19 5487.48
2024-04-07 7.28 1.08 1.44 1.81 5.59 8.45 6144.65 6145.56 6146.24
2024-04-14 0.25 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.22 0.26 5678.17 5686.20 5692.66
2024-04-21 0.54 0.21 0.27 0.31 0.52 0.55 4480.97 4496.48 4509.08
2024-04-28 0.58 0.26 0.32 0.37 0.57 0.59 3178.71 3195.53 3209.28
2024-05-05 1.78 0.41 0.53 0.62 1.46 1.99 1960.93 1974.50 1985.62
2024-05-12 4.87 0.89 1.16 1.42 3.87 5.55 1148.36 1157.73 1165.46
2024-05-19 8.02 1.32 1.73 2.15 6.25 9.23 638.69 644.56 649.38
2024-05-26 2.74 0.70 0.90 1.06 2.34 2.97 302.78 306.18 308.95
2024-06-02 2.24 0.67 0.85 1.00 1.99 2.37 63.54 65.23 66.60
2024-06-09 0.16 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.13 0.17 0.85 0.85 0.85
2024-06-16 1.16 0.54 0.67 0.75 0.81 1.18 1.19 1.19 1.20
2024-06-23 1.04 0.54 0.66 0.74 0.79 1.09 1.11 1.15 1.16
2024-06-30 1.27 0.58 0.71 0.80 0.83 1.27 1.29 1.30 1.30
2024-07-07 6.36 1.33 1.70 2.04 5.14 7.18 19.23 19.27 19.29
2024-07-14 4.07 1.04 1.31 1.54 3.42 4.48 4.89 4.91 4.92
2024-07-21 2.86 0.95 1.15 1.18 1.36 3.24 3.35 3.36 3.36
2024-07-28 1.70 0.76 0.92 1.03 1.09 1.88 1.92 1.92 1.92
2024-08-04 6.70 1.58 1.99 2.35 5.51 7.48 21.63 21.65 21.66
2024-08-11 9.01 2.00 2.54 3.01 7.32 10.14 22.81 22.83 22.84
2024-08-18 12.17 2.63 3.34 3.97 9.82 13.74 28.96 28.97 28.99
2024-08-25 12.20 2.77 3.50 4.14 9.93 13.72 18.34 18.35 18.36
2024-09-01 9.07 2.60 3.24 3.78 4.15 10.81 11.38 11.42 11.44
2024-09-08 9.43 2.80 3.06 3.07 4.02 11.20 11.76 11.80 11.82
2024-09-15 11.29 3.32 4.12 4.78 8.32 13.46 14.16 14.20 14.23
2024-09-22 11.35 3.47 4.29 4.94 6.96 13.45 14.12 14.16 14.19
2024-09-29 6.89 2.24 2.24 2.25 3.55 7.77 8.04 8.06 8.07
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