Prediction 4058
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Mato Grosso
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 1203.39 | 101.76 | 101.76 | 101.76 | 937.58 | 1349.18 | 1376.49 | 1382.25 | 1390.41 |
2023-10-15 | 2550.62 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 1866.30 | 2941.91 | 3019.79 | 3034.93 | 3049.75 |
2023-10-22 | 2517.03 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 1843.81 | 2901.84 | 2979.17 | 2994.14 | 3008.35 |
2023-10-29 | 2392.70 | 4.26 | 4.26 | 4.27 | 1758.22 | 2753.79 | 2827.46 | 2841.66 | 2855.17 |
2023-11-05 | 2404.44 | 6.28 | 6.28 | 6.28 | 1772.79 | 2767.20 | 2841.17 | 2856.35 | 2867.37 |
2023-11-12 | 2303.68 | 3.77 | 3.78 | 3.78 | 1702.52 | 2647.99 | 2718.62 | 2733.22 | 2743.97 |
2023-11-19 | 2128.18 | 5.28 | 5.28 | 5.29 | 1579.75 | 2439.86 | 2505.02 | 2518.62 | 2529.19 |
2023-11-26 | 2020.55 | 6.96 | 6.97 | 6.98 | 1505.71 | 2311.59 | 2373.64 | 2386.50 | 2396.36 |
2023-12-03 | 1903.55 | 6.23 | 6.23 | 6.24 | 1424.83 | 2170.93 | 2228.36 | 2240.48 | 2249.82 |
2023-12-10 | 1624.29 | 6.84 | 6.85 | 6.86 | 1228.00 | 1838.83 | 1883.58 | 1893.20 | 1902.23 |
2023-12-17 | 1547.96 | 13.94 | 13.95 | 13.97 | 1175.84 | 1745.87 | 1787.73 | 1796.82 | 1805.37 |
2023-12-24 | 1311.07 | 1.81 | 1.82 | 1.82 | 1008.51 | 1467.34 | 1496.42 | 1504.00 | 1512.93 |
2023-12-31 | 1204.92 | 30.33 | 30.36 | 30.41 | 931.60 | 1335.80 | 1359.50 | 1366.03 | 1374.79 |
2024-01-07 | 1559.44 | 52.34 | 52.40 | 52.47 | 1191.16 | 1754.52 | 1799.68 | 1809.15 | 1816.56 |
2024-01-14 | 1491.60 | 44.73 | 44.79 | 44.86 | 1144.46 | 1675.14 | 1716.48 | 1725.32 | 1732.71 |
2024-01-21 | 1436.20 | 77.45 | 77.54 | 77.66 | 1107.13 | 1606.95 | 1645.64 | 1654.00 | 1661.02 |
2024-01-28 | 1523.33 | 116.23 | 116.35 | 116.52 | 1175.10 | 1710.43 | 1753.73 | 1763.09 | 1769.29 |
2024-02-04 | 1569.80 | 153.18 | 153.65 | 154.24 | 1212.03 | 1764.99 | 1810.28 | 1820.09 | 1825.88 |
2024-02-11 | 1524.36 | 366.14 | 367.54 | 369.33 | 1181.28 | 1710.77 | 1753.76 | 1763.08 | 1768.87 |
2024-02-18 | 1494.30 | 752.42 | 753.98 | 756.00 | 1163.31 | 1671.93 | 1713.87 | 1722.87 | 1728.35 |
2024-02-25 | 1524.61 | 1115.59 | 1117.34 | 1119.52 | 1187.12 | 1705.17 | 1747.63 | 1757.00 | 1762.23 |
2024-03-03 | 1413.94 | 1047.69 | 1057.73 | 1120.88 | 1276.55 | 1571.89 | 1610.28 | 1618.52 | 1623.95 |
2024-03-10 | 1459.99 | 1024.30 | 1033.77 | 1094.22 | 1341.70 | 1522.67 | 1559.02 | 1566.98 | 1572.50 |
2024-03-17 | 1472.06 | 1021.92 | 1031.25 | 1090.96 | 1334.84 | 1512.38 | 1547.79 | 1555.75 | 1561.08 |
2024-03-24 | 1496.08 | 1108.05 | 1117.97 | 1182.52 | 1443.58 | 1643.49 | 1682.53 | 1691.49 | 1696.14 |
2024-03-31 | 1560.07 | 1168.10 | 1180.55 | 1247.75 | 1401.31 | 1736.28 | 1778.00 | 1787.75 | 1791.96 |
2024-04-07 | 1524.25 | 1086.19 | 1087.95 | 1090.09 | 1206.45 | 1690.94 | 1731.17 | 1740.64 | 1744.85 |
2024-04-14 | 1512.76 | 773.00 | 774.67 | 776.70 | 1201.33 | 1673.87 | 1713.26 | 1722.64 | 1726.65 |
2024-04-21 | 1477.98 | 492.36 | 493.71 | 495.36 | 1177.58 | 1629.56 | 1666.98 | 1676.04 | 1680.09 |
2024-04-28 | 1404.95 | 264.00 | 264.98 | 266.19 | 1124.17 | 1540.05 | 1573.61 | 1582.17 | 1586.26 |
2024-05-05 | 1263.69 | 74.16 | 74.81 | 75.63 | 1021.32 | 1375.16 | 1399.38 | 1406.26 | 1410.83 |
2024-05-12 | 1223.67 | 8.62 | 8.63 | 8.64 | 995.43 | 1325.90 | 1347.55 | 1353.88 | 1358.39 |
2024-05-19 | 1285.19 | 12.78 | 13.04 | 13.38 | 1043.66 | 1395.30 | 1419.47 | 1426.46 | 1430.69 |
2024-05-26 | 1317.45 | 3.99 | 4.02 | 4.05 | 1070.82 | 1429.91 | 1454.49 | 1461.82 | 1465.70 |
2024-06-02 | 1365.55 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 0.48 | 1111.75 | 1482.40 | 1508.67 | 1516.21 | 1519.76 |
2024-06-09 | 1321.87 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 1078.94 | 1430.38 | 1453.47 | 1460.72 | 1464.49 |
2024-06-16 | 1174.25 | 2.67 | 2.67 | 2.68 | 970.96 | 1259.55 | 1276.11 | 1281.47 | 1285.49 |
2024-06-23 | 1123.86 | 11.51 | 11.52 | 11.52 | 935.24 | 1200.52 | 1214.16 | 1219.42 | 1225.29 |
2024-06-30 | 751.17 | 20.52 | 20.52 | 20.52 | 647.69 | 773.93 | 784.15 | 797.43 | 808.56 |
2024-07-07 | 873.15 | 77.51 | 77.52 | 77.53 | 742.02 | 905.65 | 914.81 | 923.16 | 941.58 |
2024-07-14 | 914.28 | 17.63 | 17.63 | 17.63 | 776.84 | 953.16 | 963.03 | 969.17 | 990.80 |
2024-07-21 | 874.04 | 14.69 | 14.69 | 14.69 | 746.91 | 906.00 | 914.68 | 924.13 | 941.40 |
2024-07-28 | 745.28 | 6.14 | 6.15 | 6.15 | 651.84 | 764.59 | 778.32 | 789.79 | 799.16 |
2024-08-04 | 865.88 | 76.77 | 76.77 | 76.78 | 745.03 | 892.65 | 902.12 | 912.03 | 927.55 |
2024-08-11 | 949.44 | 45.14 | 45.17 | 45.22 | 812.54 | 985.81 | 995.20 | 1002.76 | 1021.99 |
2024-08-18 | 1156.38 | 170.12 | 170.21 | 170.32 | 977.32 | 1217.46 | 1229.49 | 1234.33 | 1245.36 |
2024-08-25 | 1255.42 | 194.39 | 194.47 | 194.58 | 1060.66 | 1328.52 | 1342.05 | 1346.94 | 1352.87 |
2024-09-01 | 1384.94 | 220.87 | 220.94 | 221.04 | 1166.92 | 1468.61 | 1485.52 | 1490.91 | 1494.34 |
2024-09-08 | 1499.23 | 218.21 | 218.27 | 218.35 | 1264.89 | 1593.11 | 1612.18 | 1618.38 | 1621.88 |
2024-09-15 | 1701.13 | 231.16 | 231.19 | 231.23 | 1433.54 | 1812.66 | 1838.65 | 1845.20 | 1848.76 |
2024-09-22 | 1859.65 | 214.85 | 214.87 | 214.89 | 1567.10 | 1984.95 | 2013.57 | 2020.38 | 2023.37 |
2024-09-29 | 2024.89 | 170.49 | 170.50 | 170.52 | 1705.39 | 2160.26 | 2192.42 | 2199.32 | 2202.93 |