Prediction 4059
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Mato Grosso do Sul
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 218.79 | 143.17 | 143.18 | 143.18 | 143.20 | 769.72 | 827.48 | 859.66 | 883.67 |
2023-10-15 | 50.09 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 1560.28 | 1706.48 | 1806.45 | 1876.23 |
2023-10-22 | 2.61 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1463.38 | 1602.26 | 1696.77 | 1761.21 |
2023-10-29 | 3.67 | 0.08 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 3.64 | 1222.17 | 1341.66 | 1415.76 | 1471.24 |
2023-11-05 | 14.29 | 2.75 | 8.74 | 8.85 | 14.21 | 1222.00 | 1339.28 | 1413.10 | 1468.05 |
2023-11-12 | 0.53 | 0.07 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.53 | 1099.49 | 1206.56 | 1270.27 | 1320.20 |
2023-11-19 | 9.37 | 0.97 | 3.61 | 3.65 | 9.27 | 919.61 | 1011.64 | 1064.29 | 1103.19 |
2023-11-26 | 12.15 | 0.89 | 3.36 | 3.40 | 12.01 | 924.12 | 1014.98 | 1067.84 | 1106.67 |
2023-12-03 | 6.22 | 0.06 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 6.11 | 814.58 | 894.79 | 941.36 | 974.88 |
2023-12-10 | 17.56 | 0.22 | 1.55 | 1.63 | 17.34 | 773.05 | 847.52 | 893.17 | 923.38 |
2023-12-17 | 17.98 | 0.05 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 7.69 | 732.52 | 801.81 | 846.44 | 873.69 |
2023-12-24 | 16.98 | 0.05 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.28 | 690.89 | 755.03 | 797.44 | 822.48 |
2023-12-31 | 58.90 | 6.77 | 22.06 | 22.35 | 43.99 | 746.51 | 813.57 | 859.28 | 885.54 |
2024-01-07 | 99.97 | 10.58 | 35.17 | 35.62 | 98.74 | 995.97 | 1080.05 | 1139.83 | 1177.26 |
2024-01-14 | 78.54 | 1.15 | 4.54 | 4.59 | 72.61 | 1005.18 | 1088.08 | 1149.00 | 1185.83 |
2024-01-21 | 236.71 | 1.46 | 6.64 | 6.71 | 150.51 | 938.92 | 1014.64 | 1069.76 | 1103.69 |
2024-01-28 | 541.42 | 4.46 | 17.54 | 17.73 | 206.98 | 1022.91 | 1100.27 | 1161.27 | 1197.95 |
2024-02-04 | 827.88 | 1.24 | 5.77 | 5.83 | 230.76 | 1054.13 | 1131.30 | 1194.32 | 1231.84 |
2024-02-11 | 1061.80 | 1.02 | 5.34 | 5.60 | 230.22 | 1119.95 | 1132.41 | 1174.05 | 1210.43 |
2024-02-18 | 1233.88 | 9.95 | 38.34 | 41.19 | 338.95 | 1708.58 | 1717.99 | 1722.05 | 1725.03 |
2024-02-25 | 1389.98 | 5.88 | 23.48 | 87.01 | 437.67 | 2344.73 | 2356.17 | 2361.13 | 2364.75 |
2024-03-03 | 1306.90 | 1.05 | 4.50 | 66.54 | 397.59 | 2582.38 | 2593.96 | 2599.03 | 2602.69 |
2024-03-10 | 1483.78 | 10.67 | 71.82 | 147.54 | 516.84 | 3395.41 | 3408.38 | 3414.14 | 3418.08 |
2024-03-17 | 1585.82 | 6.85 | 122.55 | 198.96 | 589.57 | 3885.55 | 3898.04 | 3903.61 | 3907.33 |
2024-03-24 | 1749.05 | 7.65 | 201.24 | 275.21 | 700.30 | 4362.67 | 4373.60 | 4378.42 | 4381.92 |
2024-03-31 | 1735.86 | 4.02 | 207.62 | 284.64 | 704.48 | 4229.23 | 4237.17 | 4240.52 | 4243.26 |
2024-04-07 | 1914.93 | 9.51 | 300.00 | 375.86 | 831.98 | 4273.84 | 4278.84 | 4280.88 | 4282.41 |
2024-04-14 | 1832.60 | 0.12 | 272.12 | 351.83 | 788.22 | 3750.19 | 3753.43 | 3754.77 | 3755.81 |
2024-04-21 | 1596.13 | 0.11 | 182.58 | 271.21 | 652.87 | 2810.07 | 2813.76 | 2815.38 | 2816.64 |
2024-04-28 | 1299.07 | 1.74 | 64.62 | 162.79 | 477.15 | 1908.37 | 1912.46 | 1914.23 | 1915.70 |
2024-05-05 | 1175.07 | 0.09 | 23.83 | 117.98 | 404.05 | 1438.64 | 1442.84 | 1444.63 | 1446.18 |
2024-05-12 | 998.15 | 3.53 | 12.68 | 63.81 | 316.05 | 1010.43 | 1062.47 | 1098.19 | 1120.54 |
2024-05-19 | 855.53 | 2.41 | 8.65 | 77.19 | 332.09 | 1028.32 | 1080.39 | 1116.08 | 1138.16 |
2024-05-26 | 661.56 | 8.09 | 28.77 | 77.81 | 327.52 | 1012.22 | 1062.62 | 1096.81 | 1116.60 |
2024-06-02 | 623.44 | 3.69 | 13.39 | 115.95 | 380.17 | 1086.26 | 1139.06 | 1175.25 | 1197.41 |
2024-06-09 | 299.09 | 0.07 | 0.27 | 25.29 | 201.14 | 810.09 | 851.04 | 876.14 | 887.67 |
2024-06-16 | 9.14 | 1.14 | 3.81 | 3.85 | 7.27 | 384.03 | 400.59 | 408.19 | 417.49 |
2024-06-23 | 35.52 | 6.05 | 20.62 | 20.83 | 30.18 | 396.09 | 413.00 | 420.67 | 429.90 |
2024-06-30 | 22.86 | 3.24 | 10.92 | 11.03 | 16.03 | 69.73 | 82.19 | 95.35 | 107.09 |
2024-07-07 | 139.72 | 21.01 | 71.28 | 72.02 | 104.93 | 336.07 | 347.72 | 354.85 | 363.30 |
2024-07-14 | 18.24 | 2.95 | 9.82 | 9.92 | 14.39 | 352.89 | 364.22 | 371.49 | 380.27 |
2024-07-21 | 19.17 | 2.86 | 9.07 | 9.16 | 13.13 | 185.10 | 200.44 | 208.13 | 212.74 |
2024-07-28 | 2.00 | 0.19 | 0.52 | 0.53 | 0.73 | 49.51 | 60.82 | 70.94 | 83.02 |
2024-08-04 | 121.89 | 17.70 | 58.21 | 58.81 | 85.16 | 203.15 | 210.95 | 215.18 | 220.24 |
2024-08-11 | 75.56 | 11.79 | 38.00 | 38.38 | 55.27 | 346.52 | 357.79 | 365.26 | 373.25 |
2024-08-18 | 222.37 | 20.27 | 64.97 | 65.63 | 148.66 | 679.36 | 709.20 | 727.36 | 733.95 |
2024-08-25 | 96.43 | 0.07 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 61.53 | 563.42 | 587.38 | 599.98 | 606.56 |
2024-09-01 | 96.47 | 14.17 | 42.77 | 43.17 | 94.23 | 619.96 | 644.92 | 659.27 | 665.85 |
2024-09-08 | 97.55 | 3.88 | 9.53 | 9.60 | 94.54 | 663.13 | 687.36 | 703.85 | 709.27 |
2024-09-15 | 179.55 | 17.62 | 52.67 | 84.51 | 176.22 | 853.94 | 887.97 | 905.96 | 913.21 |
2024-09-22 | 179.63 | 9.89 | 28.80 | 136.43 | 177.21 | 938.27 | 974.33 | 992.61 | 1001.04 |
2024-09-29 | 193.81 | 8.97 | 73.95 | 160.69 | 162.00 | 1014.86 | 1051.14 | 1070.85 | 1080.59 |