Prediction 4061

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 Pará

Description:

2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Pará


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 169.23 47.03 47.03 47.03 113.05 318.61 641.77 679.63 688.11
2023-10-15 135.43 0.02 0.02 0.02 67.38 327.52 1786.64 1909.57 1936.58
2023-10-22 37.58 3.72 3.74 3.80 22.55 359.43 2011.13 2153.49 2183.74
2023-10-29 5.20 2.63 2.89 3.29 3.56 357.41 1977.79 2117.85 2147.56
2023-11-05 3.81 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.32 343.11 1869.68 2001.41 2029.64
2023-11-12 6.32 1.08 1.09 1.11 1.14 336.17 1810.72 1938.49 1965.82
2023-11-19 6.29 0.15 0.17 0.21 0.31 327.07 1740.77 1863.52 1889.84
2023-11-26 12.08 3.00 3.32 3.79 4.09 319.33 1678.95 1797.46 1822.85
2023-12-03 18.82 5.09 5.71 6.67 7.81 325.53 1707.64 1829.69 1855.24
2023-12-10 19.16 0.31 0.32 0.32 0.32 321.07 1672.96 1792.54 1817.58
2023-12-17 20.33 0.15 0.17 0.21 0.31 311.22 1601.14 1715.23 1739.28
2023-12-24 20.28 0.15 0.17 0.21 0.31 303.80 1545.41 1655.36 1678.63
2023-12-31 24.11 4.18 4.72 5.57 7.06 300.45 1513.95 1622.01 1644.75
2024-01-07 29.15 8.27 9.34 11.04 14.04 312.85 1580.50 1695.46 1718.78
2024-01-14 23.37 2.12 2.30 2.45 2.49 311.16 1563.93 1677.84 1700.88
2024-01-21 22.49 1.03 1.10 1.14 1.16 315.88 1505.18 1614.51 1636.76
2024-01-28 31.09 9.25 10.42 12.28 15.49 1009.56 1533.19 1646.15 1668.49
2024-02-04 33.11 9.61 10.81 12.72 16.22 1649.72 2350.16 2389.94 2404.95
2024-02-11 24.21 0.17 0.20 0.24 0.34 1570.57 3289.56 3327.71 3341.90
2024-02-18 22.90 0.39 0.39 0.39 0.40 1412.39 3943.57 3972.35 3983.03
2024-02-25 24.97 3.19 3.46 3.83 3.98 1373.93 4622.30 4636.01 4641.13
2024-03-03 26.29 4.10 4.50 5.09 5.64 1368.05 4691.72 4695.07 4696.37
2024-03-10 23.80 0.53 0.54 0.54 0.54 1353.51 4387.96 4405.17 4412.65
2024-03-17 23.65 0.24 0.24 0.24 0.32 1315.99 3629.19 3660.68 3674.61
2024-03-24 26.99 4.26 4.66 5.25 5.81 1299.70 2743.86 2779.70 2795.72
2024-03-31 34.70 10.89 12.19 14.24 17.76 1360.22 1991.11 2024.18 2038.96
2024-04-07 33.26 8.10 8.99 10.36 12.34 1361.25 1416.44 1498.26 1517.81
2024-04-14 26.66 0.19 0.21 0.26 0.34 753.08 1344.64 1446.45 1465.41
2024-04-21 30.86 5.55 6.13 7.00 8.13 323.42 1299.12 1397.34 1415.67
2024-04-28 30.81 4.63 5.02 5.58 6.25 289.95 1316.55 1416.96 1435.34
2024-05-05 5.13 3.95 4.23 4.45 4.50 287.78 1296.76 1395.79 1413.85
2024-05-12 4.03 1.05 1.05 1.05 3.97 288.21 1291.99 1391.05 1408.94
2024-05-19 26.83 16.16 17.99 20.84 25.56 302.46 1363.46 1469.60 1488.02
2024-05-26 17.85 5.19 5.24 5.34 14.55 315.38 1439.01 1541.29 1560.21
2024-06-02 4.49 1.04 1.04 1.04 4.42 314.83 1430.71 1530.89 1549.61
2024-06-09 0.88 0.60 0.61 0.61 0.61 309.13 1389.53 1487.64 1505.84
2024-06-16 8.15 4.90 4.93 4.99 7.64 307.78 1370.10 1466.25 1484.05
2024-06-23 7.22 3.56 3.58 3.63 6.95 309.65 1372.56 1469.14 1486.85
2024-06-30 1.34 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.05 307.00 1351.81 1447.19 1464.59
2024-07-07 26.63 12.89 14.11 15.92 18.28 312.96 1377.46 1470.19 1487.57
2024-07-14 17.02 11.11 12.07 13.48 15.07 321.00 1415.59 1509.69 1527.25
2024-07-21 24.24 14.99 16.37 18.42 21.05 330.26 1458.02 1555.66 1573.44
2024-07-28 10.76 4.31 4.31 4.32 10.09 333.83 1469.19 1568.58 1586.33
2024-08-04 27.28 18.38 20.04 22.51 25.70 347.28 1530.03 1635.80 1653.90
2024-08-11 10.76 6.75 6.75 6.75 10.39 347.98 1525.40 1631.56 1649.49
2024-08-18 33.25 23.08 25.16 28.24 32.28 365.59 1610.04 1720.53 1738.94
2024-08-25 16.22 9.15 9.41 9.99 15.00 371.25 1632.48 1742.64 1761.05
2024-09-01 7.32 2.33 2.33 2.34 7.22 369.35 1614.39 1722.84 1740.94
2024-09-08 20.47 9.26 9.27 9.29 18.58 377.36 1639.86 1752.87 1770.94
2024-09-15 21.95 12.87 12.87 12.89 19.91 382.90 1658.19 1772.73 1790.78
2024-09-22 21.79 15.43 15.54 15.82 19.94 394.43 1710.19 1829.41 1846.20
2024-09-29 27.26 21.49 21.73 21.76 24.60 399.91 1726.00 1850.15 1864.39
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