Prediction 4062

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Paraíba


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 113.72 92.20 92.22 92.23 92.30 381.49 499.68 501.63 1009.56
2023-10-15 20.29 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 529.72 1226.67 1232.69 2354.96
2023-10-22 13.91 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 592.62 1498.89 1505.42 2654.86
2023-10-29 5.09 0.01 0.22 0.84 1.00 602.62 1525.30 1531.79 2653.26
2023-11-05 1.01 0.02 0.12 0.35 0.60 595.17 1492.15 1498.52 2581.64
2023-11-12 1.04 0.01 0.01 0.13 0.93 575.60 1412.09 1418.19 2447.85
2023-11-19 1.16 0.01 0.01 0.14 1.02 570.17 1387.85 1393.87 2379.17
2023-11-26 0.81 0.01 0.01 0.06 0.53 552.93 1319.29 1325.07 2266.60
2023-12-03 2.50 0.01 0.04 0.31 1.52 549.60 1302.75 1308.33 2209.88
2023-12-10 1.17 0.01 0.01 0.11 0.75 541.93 1271.15 1276.59 2144.19
2023-12-17 2.65 0.01 0.07 0.38 2.04 539.50 1257.56 1262.80 2095.25
2023-12-24 1.45 0.01 0.01 0.16 0.49 533.18 1230.91 1236.03 2036.42
2023-12-31 13.45 0.41 0.89 1.69 4.71 555.68 1310.77 1315.83 2069.74
2024-01-07 13.10 0.36 0.87 1.70 5.61 599.50 1471.39 1476.11 2185.53
2024-01-14 5.77 0.05 0.33 0.90 5.52 599.81 1466.18 1470.77 2152.19
2024-01-21 8.58 0.16 0.56 1.29 7.53 610.93 1501.29 1505.75 2132.11
2024-01-28 10.91 0.27 0.76 1.64 9.95 630.53 1567.52 1571.94 2146.57
2024-02-04 15.43 0.45 1.12 2.28 13.99 660.60 1671.90 1676.36 2202.47
2024-02-11 11.49 0.18 0.61 1.44 7.77 671.76 1706.45 1710.79 2207.25
2024-02-18 13.45 0.21 0.67 1.54 7.86 671.49 1695.51 1699.76 2161.46
2024-02-25 7.37 0.01 0.05 0.15 0.44 655.93 1631.10 1635.08 2070.62
2024-03-03 21.81 0.50 1.20 2.43 13.55 650.67 1598.16 1602.05 1992.03
2024-03-10 27.38 0.64 1.48 2.92 16.35 686.00 1716.98 1721.01 2056.53
2024-03-17 20.82 0.22 0.61 1.37 4.01 679.87 1689.16 1693.09 2016.39
2024-03-24 26.12 0.29 0.77 1.64 5.21 671.67 1647.24 1650.96 1951.49
2024-03-31 37.25 0.56 1.32 2.64 11.33 681.11 1667.02 1670.51 1931.22
2024-04-07 30.34 0.18 0.49 1.07 1.67 673.88 1635.14 1638.55 1888.81
2024-04-14 33.32 0.16 0.41 0.91 1.70 648.92 1534.56 1537.79 1785.24
2024-04-21 60.71 0.85 1.89 3.62 15.16 659.42 1556.19 1559.26 1769.14
2024-04-28 101.62 0.22 0.52 1.05 1.93 652.18 1524.83 1527.73 1733.14
2024-05-05 184.67 0.19 0.31 0.31 0.32 626.41 1422.65 1425.27 1635.55
2024-05-12 253.25 0.14 0.31 0.55 0.84 599.26 1316.64 1319.25 1537.79
2024-05-19 254.85 0.78 1.67 3.04 9.11 796.24 1281.03 1283.54 1491.44
2024-05-26 248.78 0.50 1.04 1.71 1.72 978.63 1256.08 1258.51 1460.50
2024-06-02 243.96 0.59 1.22 2.15 2.52 1148.34 1205.80 1208.10 1408.43
2024-06-09 241.58 0.73 1.50 2.62 4.27 1171.00 1308.76 1312.68 1367.98
2024-06-16 236.69 0.61 1.21 1.57 1.58 1131.83 1408.11 1409.83 1411.37
2024-06-23 226.19 0.16 0.19 0.21 0.28 1046.68 1395.87 1396.55 1397.35
2024-06-30 215.98 0.56 0.80 0.81 0.81 950.02 1363.10 1364.79 1366.01
2024-07-07 218.98 1.26 2.50 4.26 9.70 929.80 1398.46 1401.78 1404.51
2024-07-14 214.12 0.83 1.54 2.27 2.84 916.03 1372.08 1375.98 1379.21
2024-07-21 205.17 0.66 1.17 1.52 2.24 839.46 1238.50 1242.92 1246.70
2024-07-28 205.69 1.13 2.12 3.25 6.41 818.00 1154.84 1159.77 1164.05
2024-08-04 192.72 0.55 0.76 0.76 0.77 731.29 978.01 983.09 988.34
2024-08-11 190.48 1.44 2.65 3.88 5.12 690.86 855.24 860.67 935.53
2024-08-18 189.60 1.72 3.14 4.58 6.85 669.89 749.05 754.53 912.03
2024-08-25 198.62 2.62 4.87 7.44 15.34 687.66 696.61 699.15 917.71
2024-09-01 200.13 2.86 5.22 7.62 14.09 617.09 706.64 709.26 915.49
2024-09-08 205.28 3.53 6.36 9.22 16.71 546.24 728.47 731.03 918.24
2024-09-15 210.35 4.21 7.48 10.72 18.23 480.85 753.38 755.51 923.60
2024-09-22 202.44 4.73 8.23 11.32 17.13 483.91 760.27 762.33 918.65
2024-09-29 174.32 6.44 11.17 15.45 25.20 498.01 795.32 797.46 927.42
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