Prediction 4063

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 Paraná

Description:

2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Paraná


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 1066.24 835.89 836.79 876.14 930.54 1125.77 1133.34 1133.87 1135.12
2023-10-15 436.29 387.11 412.59 418.49 426.50 527.46 699.33 777.21 839.02
2023-10-22 743.85 629.00 630.87 633.51 645.72 1049.84 1489.99 1504.48 1504.65
2023-10-29 656.52 562.31 564.05 566.63 576.63 917.67 1295.70 1296.16 1323.68
2023-11-05 654.03 565.35 567.13 569.76 579.31 897.45 1244.18 1244.93 1286.75
2023-11-12 1121.74 963.12 965.58 971.45 984.94 1544.07 2059.97 2173.80 2174.29
2023-11-19 1072.10 924.73 927.19 933.10 945.74 1467.54 1958.71 2048.61 2049.20
2023-11-26 1725.09 1478.42 1481.85 1489.23 1511.78 2349.27 3005.31 3298.33 3299.33
2023-12-03 1632.10 1403.95 1407.33 1414.70 1435.46 2210.85 2828.18 3081.82 3082.87
2023-12-10 2039.15 1759.05 1763.13 1772.45 1797.21 2745.89 3483.42 3808.69 3810.03
2023-12-17 2418.15 2091.84 2096.57 2108.88 2136.17 3247.87 4114.13 4491.22 4492.84
2023-12-24 2680.64 2327.70 2332.93 2347.24 2375.97 3586.44 4556.73 4932.98 4934.88
2023-12-31 3063.97 2670.10 2676.06 2693.16 2724.41 4086.88 5209.63 5596.31 5598.31
2024-01-07 4004.86 3495.87 3503.29 3525.35 3565.70 5331.29 6782.67 7286.10 7288.79
2024-01-14 4421.96 3868.49 3876.72 3899.04 3945.09 5866.18 7438.23 7983.28 7986.30
2024-01-21 4362.55 3830.94 3839.32 3860.32 3905.38 5748.68 7241.97 7757.49 7760.38
2024-01-28 5449.45 4804.05 4814.48 4836.94 4896.32 7162.63 9014.77 9621.23 9624.95
2024-02-04 5930.88 5241.08 5252.52 5276.87 5340.77 7773.30 9744.24 10398.34 10402.37
2024-02-11 5907.60 5238.86 5250.56 5274.94 5336.42 7694.68 9574.64 10213.24 10217.38
2024-02-18 7676.56 6814.38 6829.45 6860.65 6940.19 9960.34 12426.95 13165.60 13171.12
2024-02-25 8286.78 7366.42 7382.83 7416.83 7500.47 10707.50 13325.66 14085.72 14091.82
2024-03-03 8176.72 7290.33 7306.93 7341.59 7419.88 10491.37 12947.85 13685.32 13691.76
2024-03-10 10366.12 9254.33 9275.42 9319.27 9416.20 13231.89 16309.09 17153.95 17162.53
2024-03-17 12583.39 11250.74 11276.48 11329.95 11445.48 15982.25 19580.67 20595.36 20606.08
2024-03-24 14108.03 12638.86 12668.06 12728.84 12854.08 17819.63 21720.74 22803.89 22816.21
2024-03-31 12079.73 10850.05 10875.65 10929.35 11032.13 15175.52 18372.80 19269.48 19280.38
2024-04-07 12660.90 11414.88 11442.39 11500.45 11602.15 15755.56 18849.88 19748.24 19758.80
2024-04-14 11936.78 10776.47 10802.68 10858.19 10952.03 14811.10 17619.57 18482.73 18492.77
2024-04-21 9301.14 8427.76 8448.86 8494.03 8563.08 11458.45 13495.19 14138.31 14145.37
2024-04-28 7723.35 7024.91 7043.01 7082.10 7136.20 9441.05 11005.03 11508.25 11514.61
2024-05-05 7341.54 6687.52 6704.92 6741.14 6792.82 8945.78 10390.39 10847.97 10854.08
2024-05-12 4788.68 4390.92 4403.01 4422.86 4458.77 5770.76 6564.22 6861.39 6865.55
2024-05-19 4128.16 3798.93 3809.80 3826.18 3856.91 4942.19 5568.80 5807.67 5811.36
2024-05-26 4264.83 3925.02 3936.19 3953.37 3984.65 5101.64 5745.34 5988.90 5992.57
2024-06-02 5254.92 4821.43 4834.64 4855.90 4894.81 6313.50 7160.59 7475.81 7480.33
2024-06-09 3665.53 3382.13 3392.16 3405.44 3433.29 4348.02 4854.06 5040.67 5044.68
2024-06-16 1211.94 1036.54 1168.63 1175.12 1182.98 1307.21 1350.09 1442.05 1521.10
2024-06-23 1165.05 959.29 1123.97 1129.41 1137.53 1225.53 1276.11 1370.48 1448.24
2024-06-30 204.08 73.19 106.60 107.11 173.00 224.04 228.09 228.75 229.46
2024-07-07 1074.84 1041.05 1042.04 1047.75 1054.38 1168.83 1208.63 1264.28 1330.75
2024-07-14 1282.88 1134.25 1236.94 1243.72 1252.11 1407.41 1436.43 1536.61 1613.55
2024-07-21 661.78 272.18 444.02 447.18 639.36 669.35 684.92 710.64 758.22
2024-07-28 159.94 2.36 31.01 31.41 121.35 176.71 179.37 179.93 180.23
2024-08-04 1110.59 1050.35 1054.15 1058.27 1064.06 1249.56 1362.13 1379.04 1405.06
2024-08-11 2068.70 1934.17 1940.60 1947.54 1960.42 2351.32 2569.00 2607.02 2642.26
2024-08-18 5772.73 5299.42 5313.86 5337.93 5378.68 6916.80 7833.42 8164.21 8169.96
2024-08-25 4859.42 4474.26 4486.75 4505.46 4540.79 5793.07 6509.75 6773.44 6778.40
2024-09-01 4486.91 4143.11 4154.94 4172.25 4203.97 5316.87 5931.76 6154.40 6159.11
2024-09-08 4715.01 4353.57 4365.91 4383.71 4417.10 5581.86 6230.03 6459.22 6464.17
2024-09-15 5321.76 4910.90 4924.64 4944.52 4982.02 6298.39 7036.28 7294.56 7301.09
2024-09-22 5436.97 5020.75 5034.81 5055.07 5093.02 6421.41 7160.26 7415.01 7422.32
2024-09-29 5156.31 4770.59 4784.10 4802.30 4838.54 6065.15 6732.07 6956.32 6963.37
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