Prediction 4064
| Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
|---|---|
| Author | Davide Nicola |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Pernambuco
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 143.81 | 143.81 | 143.81 | 143.81 | 143.81 | 144.77 | 144.78 | 144.78 | 144.78 |
| 2023-10-15 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| 2023-10-22 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 2.10 | 2.12 | 2.13 | 2.14 |
| 2023-10-29 | 2.68 | 2.52 | 2.57 | 2.65 | 2.68 | 7.46 | 7.49 | 7.51 | 7.52 |
| 2023-11-05 | 3.17 | 3.07 | 3.10 | 3.14 | 3.16 | 5.68 | 5.70 | 5.71 | 5.73 |
| 2023-11-12 | 3.04 | 2.95 | 2.98 | 3.02 | 3.03 | 6.99 | 7.02 | 7.04 | 7.05 |
| 2023-11-19 | 2.10 | 2.05 | 2.06 | 2.08 | 2.10 | 5.43 | 5.46 | 5.48 | 5.49 |
| 2023-11-26 | 1.98 | 1.93 | 1.95 | 1.97 | 1.98 | 5.37 | 5.40 | 5.42 | 5.43 |
| 2023-12-03 | 3.61 | 3.51 | 3.54 | 3.58 | 3.60 | 9.90 | 9.94 | 9.97 | 9.99 |
| 2023-12-10 | 4.01 | 3.90 | 3.93 | 3.98 | 4.00 | 10.78 | 10.83 | 10.86 | 10.88 |
| 2023-12-17 | 5.37 | 5.22 | 5.26 | 5.32 | 5.35 | 14.30 | 14.36 | 14.40 | 14.43 |
| 2023-12-24 | 4.78 | 4.66 | 4.69 | 4.74 | 4.76 | 12.09 | 12.16 | 12.19 | 12.22 |
| 2023-12-31 | 8.25 | 8.05 | 8.10 | 8.18 | 8.23 | 20.85 | 20.95 | 21.00 | 21.05 |
| 2024-01-07 | 12.70 | 12.38 | 12.47 | 12.60 | 12.67 | 31.68 | 31.82 | 31.90 | 31.97 |
| 2024-01-14 | 12.45 | 12.16 | 12.24 | 12.35 | 12.41 | 28.99 | 29.13 | 29.21 | 29.27 |
| 2024-01-21 | 15.51 | 15.17 | 15.26 | 15.37 | 15.45 | 34.39 | 34.56 | 34.65 | 34.72 |
| 2024-01-28 | 23.74 | 23.23 | 23.36 | 23.53 | 23.66 | 51.60 | 51.84 | 51.96 | 52.08 |
| 2024-02-04 | 35.09 | 34.39 | 34.56 | 34.79 | 34.97 | 73.71 | 74.05 | 74.22 | 74.39 |
| 2024-02-11 | 39.01 | 38.35 | 38.48 | 38.71 | 38.86 | 74.71 | 75.06 | 75.24 | 75.40 |
| 2024-02-18 | 51.73 | 50.90 | 51.11 | 51.35 | 51.54 | 93.04 | 93.46 | 93.69 | 93.88 |
| 2024-02-25 | 47.13 | 46.52 | 46.64 | 46.79 | 46.95 | 72.05 | 72.37 | 72.54 | 72.69 |
| 2024-03-03 | 98.09 | 96.68 | 97.04 | 97.39 | 97.73 | 160.19 | 160.87 | 161.22 | 161.55 |
| 2024-03-10 | 122.73 | 121.21 | 121.54 | 121.89 | 122.30 | 182.83 | 183.56 | 183.95 | 184.30 |
| 2024-03-17 | 132.37 | 131.04 | 131.21 | 131.53 | 131.92 | 168.54 | 169.16 | 169.50 | 169.78 |
| 2024-03-24 | 169.60 | 168.03 | 168.27 | 168.55 | 169.04 | 222.41 | 226.16 | 228.12 | 230.40 |
| 2024-03-31 | 247.75 | 245.63 | 245.97 | 246.31 | 246.99 | 730.56 | 743.41 | 750.08 | 756.32 |
| 2024-04-07 | 206.25 | 201.75 | 202.42 | 203.14 | 204.55 | 1118.29 | 1131.71 | 1138.86 | 1145.02 |
| 2024-04-14 | 467.77 | 440.98 | 444.13 | 450.64 | 458.54 | 1394.04 | 1407.11 | 1414.28 | 1420.34 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1308.25 | 1277.82 | 1282.30 | 1287.76 | 1297.33 | 2143.08 | 2157.09 | 2164.77 | 2171.19 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1819.71 | 1788.50 | 1794.02 | 1798.85 | 1808.03 | 2421.26 | 2434.35 | 2441.60 | 2447.43 |
| 2024-05-05 | 2237.10 | 2208.23 | 2211.98 | 2217.36 | 2226.00 | 2563.87 | 2575.32 | 2581.74 | 2586.60 |
| 2024-05-12 | 2739.58 | 2712.92 | 2715.58 | 2720.83 | 2729.02 | 2815.15 | 2825.03 | 2830.42 | 2834.55 |
| 2024-05-19 | 3486.06 | 3331.66 | 3334.63 | 3338.16 | 3346.18 | 3495.58 | 3504.44 | 3512.82 | 3526.30 |
| 2024-05-26 | 3648.71 | 3354.22 | 3356.45 | 3359.17 | 3365.40 | 3655.80 | 3663.79 | 3676.49 | 3689.28 |
| 2024-06-02 | 3571.24 | 3168.01 | 3169.15 | 3170.73 | 3174.63 | 3575.56 | 3582.74 | 3599.07 | 3612.18 |
| 2024-06-09 | 3393.71 | 2925.20 | 2925.60 | 2926.21 | 2927.85 | 3395.13 | 3402.95 | 3422.52 | 3433.36 |
| 2024-06-16 | 3061.91 | 2603.92 | 2604.69 | 2605.68 | 2608.17 | 3065.48 | 3072.97 | 3087.95 | 3098.46 |
| 2024-06-23 | 2677.24 | 2277.16 | 2278.86 | 2280.56 | 2284.37 | 2683.05 | 2691.47 | 2702.86 | 2710.90 |
| 2024-06-30 | 2292.73 | 1973.98 | 1976.35 | 1978.57 | 1983.44 | 2299.85 | 2306.98 | 2316.55 | 2325.74 |
| 2024-07-07 | 2162.10 | 1931.42 | 1934.46 | 1937.20 | 1943.14 | 2169.98 | 2178.02 | 2184.81 | 2191.68 |
| 2024-07-14 | 1887.63 | 1755.03 | 1758.36 | 1761.38 | 1767.84 | 1896.02 | 1903.44 | 1909.73 | 1915.86 |
| 2024-07-21 | 1515.41 | 1475.19 | 1478.55 | 1481.74 | 1488.41 | 1523.26 | 1530.48 | 1536.33 | 1539.59 |
| 2024-07-28 | 1287.76 | 1267.95 | 1271.30 | 1274.18 | 1279.90 | 1319.88 | 1327.02 | 1330.24 | 1332.63 |
| 2024-08-04 | 988.32 | 970.03 | 973.25 | 975.65 | 981.17 | 1080.85 | 1087.98 | 1091.12 | 1093.48 |
| 2024-08-11 | 733.65 | 717.23 | 719.69 | 722.13 | 727.22 | 867.52 | 874.39 | 877.44 | 879.79 |
| 2024-08-18 | 515.37 | 501.05 | 502.93 | 505.29 | 509.76 | 677.14 | 683.75 | 686.61 | 688.92 |
| 2024-08-25 | 610.78 | 596.51 | 598.60 | 601.11 | 605.48 | 814.60 | 821.54 | 824.45 | 826.86 |
| 2024-09-01 | 539.01 | 525.89 | 527.74 | 530.14 | 534.16 | 759.13 | 765.91 | 768.79 | 771.15 |
| 2024-09-08 | 498.11 | 485.52 | 487.47 | 489.94 | 493.64 | 746.39 | 753.07 | 755.93 | 758.25 |
| 2024-09-15 | 466.55 | 454.64 | 456.72 | 459.13 | 462.45 | 736.46 | 742.99 | 745.82 | 748.08 |
| 2024-09-22 | 429.59 | 418.09 | 420.74 | 423.00 | 425.95 | 719.86 | 726.20 | 728.99 | 731.06 |
| 2024-09-29 | 459.05 | 448.34 | 451.35 | 453.13 | 455.83 | 783.97 | 790.07 | 792.73 | 794.68 |
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