Prediction 4066

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 Rio de Janeiro

Description:

2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Rio de Janeiro


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 517.75 177.48 177.48 178.08 329.92 854.43 965.61 967.90 968.55
2023-10-15 674.07 0.06 0.06 0.07 212.85 1955.75 2080.64 2087.56 2153.38
2023-10-22 1009.54 0.01 0.01 0.02 155.08 2787.07 3059.40 3070.30 3083.30
2023-10-29 1438.67 0.01 0.01 0.23 141.43 3595.70 4009.03 4022.54 4034.59
2023-11-05 1242.36 0.68 0.69 0.87 130.85 3200.49 3541.73 3554.49 3566.61
2023-11-12 1775.50 1.78 1.78 3.04 177.74 4182.77 4693.76 4708.49 4716.94
2023-11-19 1720.20 0.24 0.24 0.24 176.40 4057.85 4545.78 4559.33 4568.42
2023-11-26 2313.10 1.75 1.75 3.12 230.82 5124.57 5790.53 5808.23 5815.36
2023-12-03 2585.46 0.33 0.33 0.43 258.71 5595.27 6337.91 6357.22 6363.57
2023-12-10 2683.36 0.32 0.32 0.55 274.91 5724.35 6482.95 6503.01 6509.28
2023-12-17 3406.25 0.70 0.70 1.42 784.26 6987.53 7955.64 7979.36 7985.85
2023-12-24 3308.20 0.04 0.04 0.08 734.57 6766.12 7691.60 7714.52 7720.42
2023-12-31 3847.10 0.24 0.25 0.58 1165.49 7647.72 8712.59 8737.17 8743.99
2024-01-07 4646.17 0.62 0.62 1.55 1571.71 9013.51 10299.31 10327.11 10334.55
2024-01-14 5455.21 0.33 0.33 1.02 2110.46 10440.37 11954.33 11985.49 11993.78
2024-01-21 6364.91 0.13 0.13 0.58 2431.70 11751.30 13474.82 13508.13 13516.20
2024-01-28 8059.14 0.59 0.59 1.97 3184.33 14292.67 16426.58 16464.66 16474.50
2024-02-04 8059.06 0.01 0.01 0.02 3200.88 14168.26 16267.23 16304.17 16314.10
2024-02-11 7957.72 0.15 0.15 0.58 3195.12 13792.57 15802.28 15836.90 15846.19
2024-02-18 9249.37 0.29 0.29 1.06 3827.52 15835.90 18161.05 18199.04 18208.47
2024-02-25 10040.22 0.20 0.20 0.74 4223.37 17088.52 19596.24 19635.14 19645.47
2024-03-03 11189.74 0.23 0.23 0.80 4918.21 18930.57 21710.03 21750.71 21761.73
2024-03-10 11780.65 0.14 0.14 0.60 5260.41 19795.59 22679.48 22719.86 22731.90
2024-03-17 13572.53 0.50 0.50 1.76 6189.87 22662.05 25960.78 26006.04 26018.56
2024-03-24 15009.63 0.24 0.24 1.01 7035.61 24874.58 28468.18 28517.12 28529.48
2024-03-31 14739.72 0.01 0.01 0.03 6945.95 24280.91 27748.04 27794.62 27806.93
2024-04-07 14166.11 0.01 0.01 0.02 6765.04 23134.86 26371.17 26413.19 26424.39
2024-04-14 14012.40 0.01 0.01 0.02 6740.68 22761.13 25892.21 25930.47 25941.81
2024-04-21 13378.87 0.01 0.01 0.02 6492.45 21595.13 24503.68 24537.95 24548.70
2024-04-28 12544.65 0.01 0.01 0.02 6107.92 20116.44 22762.70 22793.31 22803.04
2024-05-05 11896.94 0.01 0.01 0.02 5793.38 18960.70 21398.82 21426.66 21436.01
2024-05-12 10576.14 0.01 0.01 0.02 5136.82 16752.13 18838.23 18862.64 18870.97
2024-05-19 10753.97 0.27 0.27 0.81 5292.82 16915.78 18980.50 19003.97 19012.34
2024-05-26 11407.12 0.35 0.35 1.02 5679.69 17877.98 20047.57 20070.99 20079.42
2024-06-02 11367.84 0.01 0.01 0.03 5688.40 17767.64 19904.73 19927.33 19935.58
2024-06-09 10421.27 0.01 0.01 0.02 5206.37 16200.85 18090.46 18111.13 18118.57
2024-06-16 8028.06 0.00 0.00 0.01 3903.81 12388.72 13733.38 13750.58 13756.06
2024-06-23 7230.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 3534.90 11093.05 12243.90 12259.04 12264.01
2024-06-30 5943.06 0.00 0.00 0.01 2795.63 9052.55 9917.92 9931.39 9935.84
2024-07-07 5424.00 0.29 0.29 0.84 2543.93 8210.61 8952.12 8963.63 8967.62
2024-07-14 6210.67 0.34 0.34 0.98 3026.59 9410.93 10301.00 10313.96 10318.48
2024-07-21 5080.80 0.00 0.00 0.01 2393.93 7659.45 8316.36 8327.07 8331.01
2024-07-28 3896.83 0.00 0.00 0.01 1774.19 6074.52 6521.09 6529.40 6533.60
2024-08-04 3821.83 0.52 0.52 1.47 1747.50 5951.78 6375.02 6382.81 6386.88
2024-08-11 4762.78 0.43 0.43 1.23 2288.45 7175.61 7749.24 7758.40 7762.24
2024-08-18 6204.73 0.95 0.95 2.70 3069.39 9301.32 10132.79 10144.40 10149.07
2024-08-25 6702.17 0.27 0.27 0.75 3375.85 10048.34 10963.54 10975.15 10980.07
2024-09-01 6079.80 0.14 0.14 0.40 3033.51 9058.57 9835.88 9846.16 9850.78
2024-09-08 6629.53 0.47 0.47 1.32 3380.88 9850.88 10701.65 10712.39 10717.05
2024-09-15 6803.38 0.14 0.14 0.39 3484.91 10084.85 10949.50 10960.23 10964.66
2024-09-22 6123.37 0.06 0.06 0.15 3127.11 9015.77 9737.37 9746.86 9751.21
2024-09-29 6528.21 0.45 0.45 1.25 3392.62 9569.59 10328.64 10338.18 10342.35
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