Prediction 4068

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Sul

Description:

2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Rio Grande do Sul


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 1040.09 419.21 425.14 507.14 679.30 1210.32 1221.24 1250.07 1365.66
2023-10-15 2898.32 231.82 263.66 925.89 1822.89 3864.12 3917.34 3935.98 3948.50
2023-10-22 4049.41 264.98 318.41 1302.74 2591.95 5429.20 5504.34 5530.08 5547.57
2023-10-29 3504.91 233.88 281.87 1131.99 2231.68 4684.78 4749.30 4771.50 4786.75
2023-11-05 3410.24 238.61 285.80 1118.60 2184.48 4540.03 4601.80 4622.94 4637.59
2023-11-12 4576.47 333.76 396.65 1527.31 2995.56 6094.83 6177.07 6205.33 6224.12
2023-11-19 4566.66 343.18 407.12 1543.80 3007.23 6063.46 6144.38 6172.29 6190.37
2023-11-26 5843.82 460.29 552.24 2014.69 3921.43 7740.94 7842.56 7877.23 7900.66
2023-12-03 5691.03 461.39 553.49 1987.10 3837.87 7515.17 7612.58 7645.94 7668.83
2023-12-10 7109.06 611.61 742.15 2550.23 4869.48 9341.07 9458.59 9499.06 9526.59
2023-12-17 7976.55 727.30 871.01 2920.18 5515.39 10435.59 10564.12 10607.57 10637.57
2023-12-24 9277.62 904.64 1064.23 3476.30 6498.92 12077.85 12222.26 12270.75 12305.34
2023-12-31 10856.89 1131.65 1307.22 4162.27 7711.26 14062.20 14225.62 14280.54 14321.49
2024-01-07 13860.04 1557.49 1761.05 5449.24 10000.81 17849.72 18053.49 18120.81 18170.36
2024-01-14 14637.60 1739.73 1960.15 5897.28 10689.58 18752.75 18964.05 19033.22 19083.52
2024-01-21 16266.22 2069.79 2303.75 6732.15 12051.92 20676.96 20905.11 20976.13 21031.35
2024-01-28 20066.06 2714.73 2990.36 8505.86 15071.60 25363.07 25630.62 25714.15 25782.61
2024-02-04 20420.67 2892.78 3180.05 8823.27 15485.45 25696.41 25958.73 26042.30 26107.50
2024-02-11 22599.53 3406.30 3730.71 10050.76 17422.33 28212.61 28491.11 28578.61 28648.08
2024-02-18 26087.36 4138.14 4523.43 11868.09 20368.63 32373.78 32685.47 32784.87 32858.54
2024-02-25 30717.51 5134.92 5604.21 14306.07 24298.76 37896.36 38243.41 38357.61 38442.99
2024-03-03 31889.56 5583.48 6071.36 15148.62 25492.12 39153.22 39501.20 39618.34 39704.69
2024-03-10 33745.63 6281.76 6816.33 16507.62 27383.33 41141.14 41491.38 41612.11 41698.43
2024-03-17 39217.77 7680.63 8303.69 19645.92 32222.17 47523.60 47914.58 48045.92 48146.02
2024-03-24 39899.30 8133.98 8779.77 20363.38 33074.85 48139.51 48524.21 48656.39 48754.07
2024-03-31 37014.72 7888.32 8501.65 19286.73 30965.09 44397.29 44740.14 44861.29 44946.18
2024-04-07 45455.48 10255.70 11020.08 24323.54 38505.13 54165.40 54570.29 54711.28 54807.98
2024-04-14 42335.39 9749.84 10474.07 22883.71 36007.06 50295.94 50665.70 50796.71 50878.69
2024-04-21 36081.15 8619.84 9261.16 19862.10 30899.65 42629.52 42933.21 43041.73 43106.36
2024-04-28 25992.05 6409.60 6884.77 14532.56 22371.84 30551.68 30764.18 30841.09 30882.32
2024-05-05 19480.12 4927.35 5275.10 11025.86 16824.15 22813.98 22969.57 23025.51 23056.63
2024-05-12 8238.66 2062.02 2252.16 4694.61 7057.40 9594.48 9659.38 9682.42 9695.93
2024-05-19 3696.19 924.32 1025.68 2123.80 3108.10 4260.20 4288.74 4298.22 4304.50
2024-05-26 1965.43 497.30 546.83 1134.23 1595.67 2231.68 2246.16 2250.77 2254.07
2024-06-02 6635.94 1690.74 1857.24 3825.50 5686.97 7690.41 7741.65 7758.86 7769.59
2024-06-09 6190.52 1576.99 1734.00 3570.25 5296.93 7168.93 7216.66 7232.62 7242.71
2024-06-16 2079.60 528.68 581.77 1207.24 1697.98 2363.20 2378.51 2383.36 2386.85
2024-06-23 1504.69 385.42 422.79 855.27 1194.78 1690.84 1701.42 1704.82 1707.52
2024-06-30 396.41 109.16 115.00 194.04 231.52 401.06 403.11 404.32 406.71
2024-07-07 3261.12 830.02 918.41 1888.89 2736.19 3742.73 3767.48 3775.40 3780.95
2024-07-14 3293.19 834.98 927.47 1907.51 2764.45 3780.09 3805.08 3813.10 3818.69
2024-07-21 1246.64 319.66 352.00 697.19 968.89 1388.97 1397.59 1400.33 1402.67
2024-07-28 482.42 129.67 138.13 232.46 305.04 495.99 498.48 499.36 500.14
2024-08-04 2740.71 695.57 771.23 1590.34 2280.25 3134.14 3154.71 3161.31 3165.87
2024-08-11 3284.23 834.01 926.34 1903.80 2757.64 3768.78 3793.65 3801.63 3807.19
2024-08-18 8596.31 2223.09 2419.40 4968.36 7415.31 9974.80 10040.76 10063.16 10076.98
2024-08-25 7182.61 1847.01 2025.80 4156.99 6177.16 8319.82 8374.73 8393.16 8404.74
2024-09-01 8533.86 2222.80 2419.34 4949.27 7370.80 9892.13 9957.17 9979.01 9992.73
2024-09-08 6939.24 1798.96 1973.18 4032.21 5973.01 8026.60 8079.35 8096.65 8107.80
2024-09-15 6151.56 1604.58 1762.32 3587.49 5287.29 7100.68 7147.10 7162.02 7171.97
2024-09-22 6647.05 1747.46 1916.48 3888.58 5731.79 7671.61 7721.65 7737.42 7748.06
2024-09-29 7246.46 1915.41 2096.19 4246.10 6265.28 8365.90 8420.42 8437.43 8449.06
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