Prediction 4069
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Rondônia |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Rondônia
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 16.74 | 14.43 | 14.43 | 14.43 | 14.43 | 67.24 | 72.38 | 74.44 | 82.50 |
2023-10-15 | 1.42 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 105.34 | 122.08 | 126.78 | 129.29 |
2023-10-22 | 0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 112.30 | 131.91 | 137.64 | 140.21 |
2023-10-29 | 1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 118.47 | 139.82 | 146.00 | 148.74 |
2023-11-05 | 0.82 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 119.33 | 140.76 | 146.95 | 149.68 |
2023-11-12 | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 108.73 | 126.61 | 131.62 | 134.19 |
2023-11-19 | 0.98 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 99.80 | 114.77 | 118.67 | 120.90 |
2023-11-26 | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 97.61 | 111.66 | 115.39 | 117.40 |
2023-12-03 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.30 | 100.88 | 103.64 | 105.26 |
2023-12-10 | 1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 78.49 | 87.97 | 89.43 | 90.68 |
2023-12-17 | 1.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.11 | 82.55 | 83.80 | 84.82 |
2023-12-24 | 1.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 67.81 | 74.59 | 75.30 | 75.92 |
2023-12-31 | 5.78 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 66.84 | 73.18 | 73.73 | 74.31 |
2024-01-07 | 8.22 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 80.03 | 89.29 | 90.71 | 91.90 |
2024-01-14 | 6.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 78.32 | 87.09 | 88.46 | 89.45 |
2024-01-21 | 6.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.56 | 81.39 | 82.40 | 83.14 |
2024-01-28 | 7.37 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 75.68 | 83.78 | 84.81 | 85.69 |
2024-02-04 | 7.27 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 77.22 | 85.43 | 86.58 | 87.51 |
2024-02-11 | 6.99 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 83.15 | 178.19 | 190.31 | 197.96 |
2024-02-18 | 7.19 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 82.21 | 422.36 | 437.69 | 447.29 |
2024-02-25 | 7.40 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 82.68 | 710.43 | 727.75 | 738.62 |
2024-03-03 | 7.10 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 80.69 | 958.16 | 974.05 | 983.92 |
2024-03-10 | 7.29 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 79.12 | 1155.68 | 1166.32 | 1172.80 |
2024-03-17 | 7.52 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 79.30 | 1244.20 | 1246.29 | 1247.53 |
2024-03-24 | 8.18 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 81.39 | 1220.57 | 1224.85 | 1227.58 |
2024-03-31 | 8.25 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 82.40 | 1078.96 | 1090.29 | 1098.03 |
2024-04-07 | 8.64 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 84.39 | 837.95 | 853.18 | 863.77 |
2024-04-14 | 8.31 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 83.61 | 561.65 | 575.86 | 585.85 |
2024-04-21 | 8.53 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 83.27 | 335.53 | 346.25 | 353.87 |
2024-04-28 | 8.54 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 81.67 | 175.50 | 182.54 | 187.60 |
2024-05-05 | 8.39 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 79.53 | 81.21 | 83.59 | 86.71 |
2024-05-12 | 10.41 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 79.02 | 85.76 | 86.44 | 86.98 |
2024-05-19 | 8.84 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 82.48 | 89.79 | 90.57 | 91.21 |
2024-05-26 | 3.38 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 87.30 | 95.10 | 96.04 | 96.88 |
2024-06-02 | 2.05 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 92.57 | 100.91 | 102.19 | 103.05 |
2024-06-09 | 0.98 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 93.77 | 102.16 | 103.40 | 104.29 |
2024-06-16 | 0.27 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 90.88 | 98.82 | 99.82 | 100.62 |
2024-06-23 | 0.82 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 88.74 | 96.17 | 97.01 | 97.72 |
2024-06-30 | 7.30 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 79.96 | 85.66 | 86.23 | 86.60 |
2024-07-07 | 16.89 | 0.83 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 95.53 | 103.53 | 104.68 | 105.45 |
2024-07-14 | 4.36 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.66 | 100.73 | 109.56 | 110.83 | 111.77 |
2024-07-21 | 3.26 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 102.71 | 111.78 | 113.06 | 114.09 |
2024-07-28 | 1.15 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.63 | 100.28 | 108.64 | 109.80 | 110.64 |
2024-08-04 | 15.69 | 1.83 | 1.84 | 1.84 | 1.87 | 110.97 | 121.40 | 123.17 | 124.22 |
2024-08-11 | 8.15 | 2.03 | 2.03 | 2.04 | 2.07 | 119.62 | 131.60 | 134.01 | 135.19 |
2024-08-18 | 17.96 | 3.23 | 3.24 | 3.25 | 3.29 | 131.97 | 145.71 | 149.00 | 150.44 |
2024-08-25 | 18.22 | 3.96 | 3.97 | 3.98 | 4.03 | 141.72 | 157.21 | 160.97 | 162.63 |
2024-09-01 | 11.63 | 5.06 | 5.07 | 5.09 | 5.15 | 147.33 | 163.63 | 167.57 | 169.29 |
2024-09-08 | 8.59 | 2.13 | 2.20 | 2.31 | 6.02 | 150.99 | 167.65 | 171.68 | 173.39 |
2024-09-15 | 15.08 | 6.67 | 6.70 | 6.76 | 9.79 | 163.21 | 182.16 | 186.65 | 188.58 |
2024-09-22 | 14.35 | 5.98 | 6.11 | 6.29 | 11.83 | 173.22 | 193.89 | 198.88 | 200.84 |
2024-09-29 | 15.62 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 15.01 | 180.35 | 201.95 | 207.20 | 209.16 |