Prediction 4070
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Roraima |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Roraima
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 5.89 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.60 | 3.26 | 7.84 | 8.87 | 9.21 | 9.43 |
2023-10-15 | 3.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.06 | 4.87 | 5.73 | 6.01 | 6.19 |
2023-10-22 | 2.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.88 | 2.90 | 3.35 | 3.50 | 3.59 |
2023-10-29 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
2023-11-05 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
2023-11-12 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
2023-11-19 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
2023-11-26 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
2023-12-03 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
2023-12-10 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
2023-12-17 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
2023-12-24 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 |
2023-12-31 | 0.81 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.40 | 1.10 | 1.26 | 1.31 | 1.34 |
2024-01-07 | 0.62 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.83 | 0.95 | 0.98 | 1.01 |
2024-01-14 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
2024-01-21 | 0.22 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.25 | 0.62 | 0.64 | 0.65 |
2024-01-28 | 0.20 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.23 | 0.96 | 0.99 | 1.01 |
2024-02-04 | 0.22 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.25 | 1.52 | 1.56 | 1.59 |
2024-02-11 | 0.27 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.31 | 2.45 | 2.52 | 2.57 |
2024-02-18 | 0.47 | 0.15 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.55 | 4.28 | 4.40 | 4.50 |
2024-02-25 | 0.24 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.27 | 6.70 | 6.90 | 7.05 |
2024-03-03 | 0.16 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 10.83 | 11.15 | 11.41 |
2024-03-10 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 16.12 | 16.60 | 16.97 |
2024-03-17 | 0.41 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.26 | 0.47 | 28.22 | 29.03 | 29.66 |
2024-03-24 | 0.18 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 53.02 | 57.53 | 60.99 |
2024-03-31 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 162.20 | 171.40 | 178.39 |
2024-04-07 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 284.99 | 295.80 | 303.90 |
2024-04-14 | 0.29 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.33 | 452.61 | 463.74 | 471.89 |
2024-04-21 | 0.16 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 585.30 | 592.84 | 598.14 |
2024-04-28 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 607.72 | 608.68 | 609.40 |
2024-05-05 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 579.36 | 582.45 | 583.94 |
2024-05-12 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 477.19 | 485.37 | 489.73 |
2024-05-19 | 0.21 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.24 | 355.92 | 365.94 | 371.48 |
2024-05-26 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 226.34 | 235.09 | 240.00 |
2024-06-02 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 131.43 | 137.76 | 141.28 |
2024-06-09 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 68.06 | 72.13 | 74.41 |
2024-06-16 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 27.39 | 29.81 | 31.20 |
2024-06-23 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 8.35 | 9.79 | 10.62 |
2024-06-30 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 |
2024-07-07 | 0.14 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 1.31 | 1.39 | 1.45 |
2024-07-14 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.28 | 0.31 | 0.33 |
2024-07-21 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.30 |
2024-07-28 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 |
2024-08-04 | 0.18 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 2.57 | 2.59 | 2.60 |
2024-08-11 | 0.18 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.20 | 1.87 | 1.89 | 1.90 |
2024-08-18 | 0.65 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.34 | 0.44 | 0.74 | 5.26 | 5.28 | 5.29 |
2024-08-25 | 0.25 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 1.17 | 1.18 | 1.18 |
2024-09-01 | 0.23 | 0.10 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.28 |
2024-09-08 | 0.85 | 0.34 | 0.39 | 0.45 | 0.58 | 0.96 | 5.03 | 5.06 | 5.09 |
2024-09-15 | 0.31 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.24 | 0.34 | 1.65 | 1.78 | 1.88 |
2024-09-22 | 0.39 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.43 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.68 |
2024-09-29 | 0.79 | 0.34 | 0.39 | 0.45 | 0.56 | 0.89 | 3.54 | 3.67 | 3.77 |