Prediction 4071
| Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
|---|---|
| Author | Davide Nicola |
| ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Santa Catarina
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 3357.35 | 2269.62 | 2517.14 | 2694.19 | 2963.29 | 3435.61 | 3612.73 | 3620.39 | 3625.98 |
| 2023-10-15 | 8566.84 | 4228.94 | 5234.00 | 5905.87 | 7040.20 | 8871.01 | 9666.97 | 9704.80 | 9723.45 |
| 2023-10-22 | 13259.61 | 6507.64 | 8086.68 | 9117.57 | 10899.00 | 13732.25 | 14987.91 | 15049.03 | 15077.12 |
| 2023-10-29 | 12663.60 | 6245.01 | 7747.67 | 8728.69 | 10421.48 | 13112.21 | 14301.44 | 14358.67 | 14385.31 |
| 2023-11-05 | 10999.40 | 5476.65 | 6773.22 | 7621.29 | 9074.84 | 11383.77 | 12395.58 | 12443.17 | 12466.22 |
| 2023-11-12 | 14831.50 | 7462.01 | 9207.36 | 10330.05 | 12280.26 | 15342.35 | 16696.29 | 16760.34 | 16791.05 |
| 2023-11-19 | 13954.62 | 7066.64 | 8702.52 | 9753.62 | 11575.42 | 14430.61 | 15687.55 | 15746.84 | 15775.21 |
| 2023-11-26 | 17573.70 | 9026.17 | 11076.19 | 12374.15 | 14643.73 | 18160.59 | 19713.07 | 19786.93 | 19820.97 |
| 2023-12-03 | 17072.58 | 8825.72 | 10809.97 | 12063.33 | 14253.06 | 17637.00 | 19125.83 | 19196.14 | 19229.34 |
| 2023-12-10 | 19590.71 | 10307.04 | 12564.95 | 13972.81 | 16444.19 | 20220.55 | 21877.73 | 21955.11 | 21991.85 |
| 2023-12-17 | 21660.29 | 11540.27 | 14020.98 | 15553.78 | 18252.29 | 22342.22 | 24131.54 | 24214.75 | 24254.61 |
| 2023-12-24 | 22763.53 | 12298.45 | 14885.18 | 16470.03 | 19263.72 | 23463.18 | 25291.33 | 25374.44 | 25415.29 |
| 2023-12-31 | 25931.06 | 14213.16 | 17136.65 | 18909.13 | 22042.84 | 26707.77 | 28730.32 | 28820.40 | 28864.27 |
| 2024-01-07 | 34138.37 | 19012.09 | 22828.18 | 25110.69 | 29166.47 | 35130.86 | 37707.87 | 37820.95 | 37875.54 |
| 2024-01-14 | 37059.34 | 20956.24 | 25057.85 | 27488.02 | 31808.42 | 38107.37 | 40811.31 | 40928.82 | 40984.67 |
| 2024-01-21 | 36005.91 | 20706.27 | 24645.07 | 26959.00 | 31065.89 | 36987.71 | 39490.96 | 39602.90 | 39653.71 |
| 2024-01-28 | 47529.64 | 27993.28 | 33108.55 | 36063.45 | 41316.97 | 48759.89 | 51857.63 | 51994.36 | 52058.01 |
| 2024-02-04 | 51615.01 | 30883.67 | 36365.23 | 39513.21 | 45085.60 | 52905.29 | 56113.66 | 56252.83 | 56321.03 |
| 2024-02-11 | 51422.13 | 31502.62 | 36855.58 | 39895.75 | 45241.24 | 52638.92 | 55597.44 | 55718.86 | 55785.19 |
| 2024-02-18 | 60644.16 | 38040.64 | 44235.24 | 47711.04 | 53759.56 | 61991.78 | 65187.12 | 65319.70 | 65387.52 |
| 2024-02-25 | 64666.86 | 41457.67 | 47927.12 | 51521.98 | 57715.44 | 66021.96 | 69134.67 | 69266.92 | 69331.48 |
| 2024-03-03 | 69436.88 | 45574.38 | 52354.31 | 56075.57 | 62427.16 | 70794.54 | 73794.68 | 73922.99 | 73988.10 |
| 2024-03-10 | 77447.38 | 52091.80 | 59449.01 | 63417.72 | 70161.05 | 78846.43 | 81794.01 | 81920.05 | 81992.81 |
| 2024-03-17 | 91442.71 | 63126.81 | 71540.35 | 76020.79 | 83512.03 | 92949.45 | 95931.75 | 96058.34 | 96139.63 |
| 2024-03-24 | 95748.44 | 67664.70 | 76171.13 | 80667.71 | 88063.56 | 97195.25 | 99856.44 | 99962.41 | 100051.67 |
| 2024-03-31 | 85151.47 | 61355.05 | 68715.30 | 72568.78 | 78791.01 | 86335.52 | 88344.83 | 88434.29 | 88504.44 |
| 2024-04-07 | 88385.61 | 66294.39 | 73454.59 | 77123.01 | 82806.55 | 89398.42 | 90724.20 | 90803.63 | 90863.89 |
| 2024-04-14 | 84744.36 | 64344.94 | 71032.80 | 74447.01 | 79682.54 | 85660.95 | 86716.76 | 86792.17 | 86847.23 |
| 2024-04-21 | 71895.93 | 55794.25 | 61244.26 | 63965.79 | 68063.82 | 72581.04 | 73139.28 | 73195.65 | 73237.83 |
| 2024-04-28 | 60685.96 | 48200.05 | 52569.03 | 54728.90 | 57855.58 | 61183.26 | 61371.86 | 61417.08 | 61447.03 |
| 2024-05-05 | 52989.36 | 42686.73 | 46371.76 | 48183.93 | 50731.65 | 53337.40 | 53402.71 | 53428.12 | 53456.14 |
| 2024-05-12 | 35513.58 | 29017.26 | 31392.71 | 32562.83 | 34141.56 | 35663.61 | 35732.81 | 35756.23 | 35773.16 |
| 2024-05-19 | 31089.52 | 25813.81 | 27811.77 | 28793.55 | 30065.54 | 31244.14 | 31307.12 | 31325.21 | 31337.91 |
| 2024-05-26 | 25056.08 | 21001.70 | 22576.79 | 23353.81 | 24329.02 | 25219.73 | 25266.93 | 25279.22 | 25289.94 |
| 2024-06-02 | 31887.11 | 26927.11 | 28894.51 | 29856.28 | 31052.55 | 32120.70 | 32175.71 | 32190.73 | 32203.69 |
| 2024-06-09 | 27710.65 | 23507.54 | 25198.97 | 26028.40 | 27041.47 | 27940.35 | 27986.13 | 27998.22 | 28009.37 |
| 2024-06-16 | 14384.90 | 12408.39 | 13250.24 | 13673.68 | 14144.06 | 14553.10 | 14572.41 | 14579.34 | 14584.44 |
| 2024-06-23 | 13747.72 | 11931.40 | 12716.49 | 13111.91 | 13538.05 | 13897.73 | 13915.08 | 13921.24 | 13925.40 |
| 2024-06-30 | 7213.03 | 6360.41 | 6743.03 | 6942.62 | 7101.14 | 7267.53 | 7274.56 | 7277.68 | 7280.09 |
| 2024-07-07 | 11467.84 | 10024.86 | 10658.50 | 10977.39 | 11314.74 | 11576.55 | 11589.61 | 11594.53 | 11598.16 |
| 2024-07-14 | 12901.59 | 11262.34 | 11980.13 | 12342.85 | 12724.92 | 13027.59 | 13042.54 | 13048.08 | 13052.28 |
| 2024-07-21 | 7296.37 | 6463.59 | 6843.04 | 7039.19 | 7171.82 | 7344.91 | 7351.57 | 7354.39 | 7356.85 |
| 2024-07-28 | 3886.49 | 3539.51 | 3718.14 | 3730.96 | 3792.74 | 3891.67 | 3895.58 | 3898.19 | 3906.21 |
| 2024-08-04 | 8955.54 | 7906.63 | 8378.04 | 8620.11 | 8822.53 | 9022.23 | 9030.62 | 9034.23 | 9036.98 |
| 2024-08-11 | 10680.77 | 9400.27 | 9971.88 | 10260.85 | 10533.63 | 10768.51 | 10779.04 | 10783.17 | 10786.49 |
| 2024-08-18 | 22239.26 | 19399.53 | 20643.04 | 21253.77 | 21920.04 | 22463.01 | 22487.96 | 22497.46 | 22503.99 |
| 2024-08-25 | 19658.24 | 17202.03 | 18285.26 | 18819.78 | 19388.93 | 19843.17 | 19864.98 | 19873.77 | 19879.33 |
| 2024-09-01 | 18313.96 | 16147.70 | 17121.21 | 17598.30 | 18082.27 | 18460.74 | 18478.62 | 18485.09 | 18490.37 |
| 2024-09-08 | 18303.99 | 16203.68 | 17157.18 | 17621.72 | 18059.16 | 18435.27 | 18451.98 | 18458.02 | 18463.46 |
| 2024-09-15 | 17767.79 | 15806.99 | 16709.04 | 17148.42 | 17512.57 | 17876.61 | 17891.55 | 17896.95 | 17902.64 |
| 2024-09-22 | 17886.27 | 16016.41 | 16894.17 | 17320.56 | 17596.06 | 17976.37 | 17989.61 | 17994.42 | 17999.94 |
| 2024-09-29 | 19044.77 | 17138.29 | 18048.05 | 18487.64 | 18705.84 | 19125.11 | 19138.35 | 19142.57 | 19147.74 |
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