Prediction 4072
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for São Paulo
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 1924.02 | 1740.99 | 1741.48 | 1742.48 | 1820.86 | 1975.44 | 1991.79 | 1992.83 | 1993.56 |
2023-10-15 | 1374.32 | 1166.30 | 1166.85 | 1167.97 | 1257.00 | 1432.93 | 1451.58 | 1452.73 | 1453.59 |
2023-10-22 | 1382.34 | 1257.10 | 1262.64 | 1267.40 | 1297.88 | 1399.68 | 1407.90 | 1416.57 | 1427.67 |
2023-10-29 | 1273.41 | 1167.37 | 1212.93 | 1231.78 | 1256.83 | 1292.38 | 1348.79 | 1426.57 | 1436.98 |
2023-11-05 | 574.08 | 524.16 | 526.82 | 530.83 | 541.47 | 580.37 | 583.73 | 585.26 | 586.86 |
2023-11-12 | 3318.29 | 3055.13 | 3067.22 | 3080.09 | 3137.88 | 3355.60 | 3374.38 | 3393.14 | 3423.13 |
2023-11-19 | 2554.75 | 2373.74 | 2388.68 | 2416.15 | 2447.08 | 2579.05 | 2605.09 | 2644.65 | 2672.35 |
2023-11-26 | 5517.68 | 5000.78 | 5009.72 | 5022.16 | 5175.51 | 5581.47 | 5617.79 | 5628.54 | 5633.44 |
2023-12-03 | 6450.13 | 5830.31 | 5838.42 | 5850.84 | 6031.46 | 6530.42 | 6576.21 | 6586.75 | 6592.93 |
2023-12-10 | 7090.47 | 6422.98 | 6430.80 | 6443.90 | 6647.66 | 7194.94 | 7246.85 | 7257.66 | 7263.66 |
2023-12-17 | 9875.91 | 8931.48 | 8940.09 | 8954.78 | 9305.24 | 10083.94 | 10166.73 | 10179.90 | 10186.76 |
2023-12-24 | 8920.82 | 8089.05 | 8097.39 | 8111.45 | 8403.76 | 9087.36 | 9159.22 | 9171.38 | 9177.92 |
2023-12-31 | 10169.97 | 9235.11 | 9243.37 | 9257.30 | 9597.05 | 10374.88 | 10459.80 | 10471.81 | 10478.66 |
2024-01-07 | 14104.76 | 12763.28 | 12772.69 | 12787.82 | 13306.12 | 14431.61 | 14555.31 | 14568.87 | 14577.36 |
2024-01-14 | 16160.46 | 14634.03 | 14643.88 | 14658.89 | 15255.91 | 16553.26 | 16695.40 | 16709.19 | 16718.51 |
2024-01-21 | 19765.57 | 17903.65 | 17914.17 | 17929.64 | 18666.41 | 20272.99 | 20449.07 | 20463.64 | 20474.53 |
2024-01-28 | 25622.94 | 23213.12 | 23224.22 | 23240.84 | 24181.82 | 26319.28 | 26546.93 | 26563.24 | 26575.65 |
2024-02-04 | 26016.57 | 23610.87 | 23621.73 | 23638.32 | 24574.94 | 26718.50 | 26946.73 | 26962.60 | 26975.01 |
2024-02-11 | 24060.39 | 21925.42 | 21935.43 | 21950.47 | 22770.96 | 24685.31 | 24888.59 | 24904.26 | 24915.22 |
2024-02-18 | 29994.97 | 27358.63 | 27369.08 | 27385.41 | 28408.78 | 30791.82 | 31047.84 | 31065.10 | 31077.08 |
2024-02-25 | 31190.07 | 28509.63 | 28520.19 | 28536.11 | 29573.26 | 32003.49 | 32264.58 | 32282.21 | 32293.84 |
2024-03-03 | 32572.53 | 29829.89 | 29839.88 | 29855.89 | 30914.70 | 33407.89 | 33675.47 | 33693.97 | 33705.44 |
2024-03-10 | 37023.98 | 33971.49 | 33981.98 | 33997.38 | 35178.03 | 37961.75 | 38261.25 | 38281.59 | 38293.53 |
2024-03-17 | 44703.46 | 41069.74 | 41081.00 | 41096.89 | 42509.92 | 45830.18 | 46187.86 | 46211.69 | 46226.17 |
2024-03-24 | 52482.98 | 48303.92 | 48316.10 | 48332.60 | 49958.74 | 53784.81 | 54195.68 | 54222.55 | 54239.42 |
2024-03-31 | 47006.11 | 43382.45 | 43393.53 | 43408.60 | 44807.45 | 48126.04 | 48479.49 | 48502.74 | 48516.68 |
2024-04-07 | 41675.11 | 38660.13 | 38669.35 | 38682.95 | 39818.68 | 42597.22 | 42882.13 | 42901.75 | 42915.20 |
2024-04-14 | 39682.62 | 36915.52 | 36924.34 | 36937.18 | 37961.39 | 40518.80 | 40779.19 | 40797.49 | 40810.29 |
2024-04-21 | 32722.30 | 30590.41 | 30598.28 | 30609.68 | 31363.62 | 33346.40 | 33543.07 | 33559.73 | 33569.66 |
2024-04-28 | 29811.56 | 27973.83 | 27981.20 | 27991.88 | 28615.33 | 30337.27 | 30502.04 | 30517.81 | 30526.75 |
2024-05-05 | 28061.85 | 26412.69 | 26419.74 | 26430.00 | 26969.67 | 28523.60 | 28667.39 | 28682.83 | 28691.00 |
2024-05-12 | 23172.78 | 21929.33 | 21935.57 | 21945.02 | 22331.36 | 23497.97 | 23604.19 | 23616.91 | 23625.38 |
2024-05-19 | 19278.19 | 18352.12 | 18358.54 | 18366.83 | 18653.72 | 19496.96 | 19573.60 | 19584.65 | 19592.14 |
2024-05-26 | 21493.52 | 20454.43 | 20461.49 | 20470.13 | 20792.32 | 21746.28 | 21830.66 | 21842.67 | 21850.41 |
2024-06-02 | 23819.49 | 22643.70 | 22650.75 | 22660.00 | 23028.21 | 24114.11 | 24209.40 | 24222.06 | 24230.15 |
2024-06-09 | 18561.45 | 17766.17 | 17772.10 | 17780.30 | 18014.26 | 18730.85 | 18790.34 | 18801.29 | 18808.36 |
2024-06-16 | 9300.11 | 9101.09 | 9123.40 | 9183.19 | 9224.27 | 9316.00 | 9328.80 | 9350.25 | 9372.53 |
2024-06-23 | 9657.42 | 9449.08 | 9472.02 | 9536.10 | 9575.43 | 9673.28 | 9685.40 | 9705.38 | 9727.30 |
2024-06-30 | 3204.59 | 3074.08 | 3077.43 | 3083.17 | 3121.85 | 3390.23 | 3593.04 | 3599.82 | 3603.68 |
2024-07-07 | 3567.62 | 3445.54 | 3448.90 | 3454.69 | 3491.82 | 3750.01 | 3939.73 | 3946.55 | 3950.84 |
2024-07-14 | 6586.48 | 6529.38 | 6533.92 | 6539.56 | 6553.83 | 6681.13 | 6750.75 | 6757.63 | 6770.58 |
2024-07-21 | 2427.10 | 2261.82 | 2265.38 | 2270.47 | 2315.89 | 2650.04 | 2869.45 | 2875.98 | 2879.41 |
2024-07-28 | 203.98 | 138.07 | 138.94 | 140.31 | 156.79 | 286.73 | 357.51 | 359.18 | 360.09 |
2024-08-04 | 2955.98 | 2890.73 | 2897.62 | 2918.94 | 2941.76 | 2960.79 | 2964.82 | 2968.04 | 2974.06 |
2024-08-11 | 6741.98 | 6685.23 | 6689.14 | 6694.70 | 6708.89 | 6836.32 | 6906.98 | 6913.88 | 6928.15 |
2024-08-18 | 16838.23 | 16239.39 | 16280.50 | 16293.81 | 16468.24 | 16954.15 | 16987.27 | 16997.23 | 17003.77 |
2024-08-25 | 16437.09 | 15873.26 | 15918.68 | 15934.58 | 16094.58 | 16542.95 | 16571.51 | 16581.32 | 16587.35 |
2024-09-01 | 14769.02 | 14316.72 | 14357.88 | 14403.73 | 14521.07 | 14823.98 | 14842.66 | 14849.00 | 14854.99 |
2024-09-08 | 20940.93 | 20174.98 | 20209.70 | 20219.85 | 20443.74 | 21078.16 | 21122.66 | 21133.89 | 21140.87 |
2024-09-15 | 21909.91 | 21122.10 | 21160.22 | 21169.94 | 21395.11 | 22047.12 | 22091.98 | 22103.38 | 22110.87 |
2024-09-22 | 18861.96 | 18286.95 | 18341.75 | 18371.61 | 18528.49 | 18959.29 | 18983.08 | 18993.03 | 18999.05 |
2024-09-29 | 19201.74 | 18659.41 | 18714.39 | 18760.77 | 18904.35 | 19281.83 | 19301.40 | 19308.33 | 19314.10 |