Prediction 4073

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Sergipe


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 17.80 17.64 17.64 17.64 17.75 53.09 69.63 74.70 77.15
2023-10-15 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 62.73 79.61 85.22 88.07
2023-10-22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.70 101.21 108.02 110.08
2023-10-29 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.97 88.54 93.58 94.51
2023-11-05 0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.63 61.96 65.49 68.67
2023-11-12 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.73 37.21 40.46 49.79
2023-11-19 0.32 0.10 0.10 0.11 0.11 21.04 27.70 31.39 43.14
2023-11-26 0.58 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.22 41.41 55.23 57.66 62.78
2023-12-03 0.30 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 39.34 52.17 54.43 60.50
2023-12-10 0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.51 36.63 39.62 49.10
2023-12-17 0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.84 27.02 30.63 42.56
2023-12-24 0.87 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 21.80 27.96 31.51 42.99
2023-12-31 1.62 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 34.08 43.42 46.01 53.43
2024-01-07 2.52 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 54.90 70.08 72.89 74.00
2024-01-14 3.05 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 55.86 71.04 73.69 75.19
2024-01-21 4.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.03 69.97 72.64 73.99
2024-01-28 6.55 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.05 54.01 68.61 71.14 72.49
2024-02-04 12.29 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.23 72.85 91.54 96.86 99.69
2024-02-11 17.65 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.12 81.38 101.03 107.73 110.81
2024-02-18 28.87 0.16 0.16 0.16 0.17 95.21 117.48 125.72 129.72
2024-02-25 30.03 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 99.12 121.63 130.20 134.51
2024-03-03 32.95 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 139.22 180.46 182.06 183.18
2024-03-10 37.14 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 158.33 550.88 554.20 556.46
2024-03-17 37.29 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.09 158.65 985.62 989.44 992.11
2024-03-24 38.98 0.18 0.19 0.19 0.19 164.84 1444.28 1447.77 1450.22
2024-03-31 43.28 0.25 0.25 0.26 0.26 183.95 1810.52 1812.27 1813.47
2024-04-07 42.79 0.10 0.11 0.11 0.11 181.38 1794.60 1794.78 1794.91
2024-04-14 40.93 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 171.73 1557.71 1559.84 1561.27
2024-04-21 43.37 0.29 0.30 0.30 0.31 180.61 1199.04 1202.46 1204.81
2024-04-28 41.94 0.04 0.04 0.05 0.05 174.31 784.94 788.31 790.60
2024-05-05 37.94 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 154.52 417.66 420.12 421.82
2024-05-12 33.45 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 132.44 184.87 186.45 187.54
2024-05-19 32.88 0.29 0.29 0.30 0.31 102.85 122.32 131.24 136.03
2024-05-26 14.02 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 107.43 127.42 136.55 141.75
2024-06-02 0.16 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 96.28 114.47 122.84 127.13
2024-06-09 0.21 0.10 0.10 0.10 0.10 87.03 103.68 111.05 114.94
2024-06-16 0.19 0.09 0.09 0.09 0.09 78.82 94.30 100.24 103.87
2024-06-23 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.32 79.58 83.25 86.38
2024-06-30 0.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.44 55.71 58.41 59.53
2024-07-07 1.87 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 29.86 34.05 36.38 42.82
2024-07-14 7.65 0.30 0.30 0.30 0.31 29.06 33.26 35.60 42.10
2024-07-21 1.50 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 25.44 29.48 33.08 39.13
2024-07-28 0.94 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.08 19.12 25.01 28.29 34.40
2024-08-04 0.13 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 3.57 14.93 20.20 23.43
2024-08-11 0.06 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 1.08 6.35 13.50 16.02
2024-08-18 0.52 0.26 0.27 0.27 0.27 9.53 11.13 11.14 12.68
2024-08-25 1.47 0.44 0.44 0.45 0.46 12.93 15.82 15.83 17.21
2024-09-01 1.97 0.55 0.55 0.56 0.57 16.32 16.37 17.98 20.45
2024-09-08 2.37 0.56 0.56 0.57 0.58 10.74 17.06 22.11 24.83
2024-09-15 1.18 0.44 0.45 0.45 0.46 5.21 16.56 21.52 24.07
2024-09-22 1.00 0.52 0.53 0.53 0.55 3.91 15.59 20.84 23.27
2024-09-29 5.94 1.04 1.04 1.05 1.08 23.94 34.86 34.94 35.01
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