Prediction 4074
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Tocantins
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023-10-08 | 11.91 | 11.72 | 11.77 | 11.81 | 11.86 | 11.92 | 11.93 | 11.94 | 11.94 |
2023-10-15 | 0.17 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.22 |
2023-10-22 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.15 |
2023-10-29 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
2023-11-05 | 0.63 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.61 | 0.62 | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.65 | 0.65 |
2023-11-12 | 0.60 | 0.56 | 0.57 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.61 | 0.61 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
2023-11-19 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 |
2023-11-26 | 1.03 | 0.96 | 0.98 | 1.00 | 1.02 | 1.05 | 1.06 | 1.07 | 1.08 |
2023-12-03 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.35 |
2023-12-10 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.24 |
2023-12-17 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
2023-12-24 | 0.37 | 0.35 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.38 |
2023-12-31 | 1.14 | 1.07 | 1.09 | 1.11 | 1.12 | 1.15 | 1.17 | 1.18 | 1.18 |
2024-01-07 | 0.88 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.90 | 0.91 | 0.92 |
2024-01-14 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.09 |
2024-01-21 | 0.85 | 0.81 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.84 | 0.87 | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.89 |
2024-01-28 | 1.07 | 1.02 | 1.04 | 1.05 | 1.06 | 1.08 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.11 |
2024-02-04 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.41 |
2024-02-11 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
2024-02-18 | 0.23 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.24 |
2024-02-25 | 0.94 | 0.90 | 0.91 | 0.92 | 0.93 | 0.95 | 0.96 | 0.96 | 0.97 |
2024-03-03 | 1.44 | 1.36 | 1.39 | 1.41 | 1.42 | 1.45 | 1.47 | 1.48 | 1.49 |
2024-03-10 | 0.92 | 0.89 | 0.89 | 0.90 | 0.91 | 0.93 | 0.94 | 0.94 | 0.95 |
2024-03-17 | 0.65 | 0.63 | 0.63 | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.66 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
2024-03-24 | 2.00 | 1.90 | 1.94 | 1.96 | 1.97 | 2.02 | 2.04 | 2.05 | 2.06 |
2024-03-31 | 2.38 | 2.27 | 2.31 | 2.34 | 2.36 | 2.41 | 2.44 | 2.45 | 2.46 |
2024-04-07 | 2.54 | 2.43 | 2.47 | 2.49 | 2.52 | 2.57 | 2.60 | 2.61 | 2.63 |
2024-04-14 | 0.55 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.57 | 0.57 |
2024-04-21 | 1.15 | 1.12 | 1.13 | 1.13 | 1.14 | 1.17 | 1.18 | 1.19 | 1.19 |
2024-04-28 | 2.75 | 2.65 | 2.68 | 2.70 | 2.72 | 2.78 | 2.81 | 2.82 | 2.84 |
2024-05-05 | 2.72 | 2.63 | 2.66 | 2.67 | 2.69 | 2.75 | 2.78 | 2.79 | 2.80 |
2024-05-12 | 2.84 | 2.75 | 2.77 | 2.79 | 2.81 | 2.87 | 2.90 | 2.91 | 2.92 |
2024-05-19 | 4.81 | 4.64 | 4.70 | 4.73 | 4.77 | 4.86 | 4.91 | 4.94 | 4.96 |
2024-05-26 | 3.24 | 3.16 | 3.17 | 3.19 | 3.21 | 3.27 | 3.31 | 3.32 | 3.33 |
2024-06-02 | 5.02 | 4.87 | 4.91 | 4.93 | 4.97 | 5.07 | 5.12 | 5.14 | 5.16 |
2024-06-09 | 5.74 | 5.58 | 5.62 | 5.64 | 5.68 | 5.79 | 5.85 | 5.87 | 5.89 |
2024-06-16 | 5.84 | 5.70 | 5.73 | 5.75 | 5.79 | 5.90 | 5.96 | 5.98 | 6.00 |
2024-06-23 | 3.43 | 3.36 | 3.37 | 3.38 | 3.40 | 3.46 | 3.49 | 3.51 | 3.52 |
2024-06-30 | 5.13 | 5.02 | 5.03 | 5.05 | 5.08 | 5.17 | 5.22 | 5.23 | 5.25 |
2024-07-07 | 7.98 | 7.80 | 7.83 | 7.86 | 7.91 | 8.05 | 8.12 | 8.15 | 8.17 |
2024-07-14 | 11.42 | 11.16 | 11.21 | 11.26 | 11.33 | 11.52 | 11.62 | 11.67 | 11.70 |
2024-07-21 | 10.50 | 10.29 | 10.32 | 10.36 | 10.42 | 10.59 | 10.68 | 10.71 | 10.74 |
2024-07-28 | 14.73 | 14.43 | 14.47 | 14.53 | 14.61 | 14.85 | 14.98 | 15.02 | 15.05 |
2024-08-04 | 17.43 | 17.10 | 17.14 | 17.19 | 17.29 | 17.57 | 17.72 | 17.76 | 17.80 |
2024-08-11 | 24.00 | 23.57 | 23.62 | 23.69 | 23.81 | 24.19 | 24.40 | 24.46 | 24.51 |
2024-08-18 | 30.48 | 29.95 | 30.01 | 30.09 | 30.25 | 30.71 | 30.95 | 31.03 | 31.11 |
2024-08-25 | 59.01 | 52.44 | 53.60 | 54.64 | 56.44 | 61.92 | 65.11 | 66.30 | 67.23 |
2024-09-01 | 133.45 | 122.24 | 124.09 | 125.93 | 129.21 | 137.97 | 142.60 | 144.27 | 145.70 |
2024-09-08 | 240.64 | 228.25 | 229.90 | 232.05 | 235.59 | 246.05 | 251.51 | 253.08 | 254.65 |
2024-09-15 | 366.91 | 353.27 | 354.80 | 356.86 | 361.09 | 372.87 | 379.33 | 380.95 | 382.95 |
2024-09-22 | 460.17 | 445.34 | 447.13 | 449.35 | 453.62 | 466.51 | 473.11 | 475.24 | 477.14 |
2024-09-29 | 543.78 | 528.18 | 529.97 | 532.46 | 536.80 | 550.75 | 557.36 | 559.72 | 562.27 |