Prediction 4076
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Alagoas
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 370.52 | 291.07 | 292.07 | 293.21 | 361.00 | 376.49 | 387.53 | 392.99 | 397.91 |
2022-10-16 | 197.39 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 142.96 | 215.11 | 233.60 | 264.28 | 274.43 |
2022-10-23 | 327.70 | 0.18 | 0.42 | 0.99 | 262.27 | 345.23 | 371.93 | 407.88 | 419.32 |
2022-10-30 | 318.56 | 0.70 | 0.79 | 1.00 | 254.70 | 337.70 | 356.72 | 394.41 | 402.09 |
2022-11-06 | 295.73 | 1.85 | 1.96 | 2.11 | 235.75 | 316.23 | 334.73 | 364.68 | 370.00 |
2022-11-13 | 294.80 | 2.10 | 2.17 | 2.33 | 235.82 | 316.07 | 333.67 | 353.96 | 361.24 |
2022-11-20 | 364.31 | 8.01 | 9.33 | 10.82 | 304.06 | 389.39 | 407.25 | 417.16 | 430.52 |
2022-11-27 | 420.11 | 6.67 | 7.61 | 8.82 | 362.07 | 450.44 | 468.61 | 476.56 | 489.47 |
2022-12-04 | 465.78 | 7.61 | 8.63 | 10.02 | 413.89 | 504.89 | 525.62 | 534.51 | 539.78 |
2022-12-11 | 485.72 | 3.93 | 4.13 | 4.72 | 437.63 | 529.93 | 554.41 | 560.42 | 564.69 |
2022-12-18 | 487.77 | 5.09 | 5.48 | 6.26 | 450.13 | 547.41 | 571.37 | 578.75 | 584.30 |
2022-12-25 | 528.28 | 6.86 | 7.53 | 8.68 | 492.88 | 596.89 | 624.03 | 631.02 | 636.03 |
2023-01-01 | 571.00 | 8.41 | 9.24 | 10.72 | 536.21 | 649.36 | 680.30 | 687.64 | 692.45 |
2023-01-08 | 632.60 | 10.04 | 11.05 | 12.83 | 599.26 | 722.14 | 758.88 | 766.45 | 771.29 |
2023-01-15 | 685.13 | 9.36 | 10.24 | 11.73 | 639.21 | 781.95 | 823.95 | 831.22 | 835.98 |
2023-01-22 | 738.09 | 10.30 | 11.24 | 12.85 | 675.61 | 840.68 | 888.10 | 895.28 | 899.62 |
2023-01-29 | 793.58 | 10.12 | 10.94 | 12.46 | 712.13 | 902.78 | 955.66 | 962.49 | 966.77 |
2023-02-05 | 829.68 | 9.49 | 10.07 | 11.46 | 731.62 | 944.89 | 1003.50 | 1009.67 | 1013.87 |
2023-02-12 | 879.37 | 11.27 | 12.04 | 13.71 | 764.24 | 1002.90 | 1067.38 | 1072.96 | 1077.06 |
2023-02-19 | 922.27 | 10.81 | 11.41 | 12.94 | 788.25 | 1052.81 | 1123.77 | 1129.05 | 1132.80 |
2023-02-26 | 1022.10 | 19.20 | 20.91 | 23.85 | 865.75 | 1164.62 | 1244.48 | 1249.61 | 1253.27 |
2023-03-05 | 1130.75 | 20.24 | 21.94 | 24.91 | 950.09 | 1288.12 | 1378.13 | 1382.97 | 1386.90 |
2023-03-12 | 1128.63 | 4.83 | 4.96 | 5.35 | 938.83 | 1291.79 | 1387.18 | 1392.02 | 1395.23 |
2023-03-19 | 1129.05 | 14.35 | 14.96 | 16.88 | 920.48 | 1301.07 | 1405.03 | 1409.19 | 1412.15 |
2023-03-26 | 1167.23 | 7.51 | 7.82 | 15.09 | 938.47 | 1345.69 | 1457.42 | 1461.03 | 1464.29 |
2023-04-02 | 1147.15 | 13.68 | 14.16 | 27.70 | 899.25 | 1328.32 | 1446.62 | 1450.17 | 1453.10 |
2023-04-09 | 1206.85 | 12.15 | 12.79 | 67.83 | 933.83 | 1395.75 | 1522.25 | 1526.01 | 1529.00 |
2023-04-16 | 971.24 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 6.11 | 715.16 | 1143.19 | 1261.82 | 1265.00 | 1267.55 |
2023-04-23 | 748.86 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 508.45 | 903.15 | 1014.05 | 1016.81 | 1019.22 |
2023-04-30 | 589.63 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 362.30 | 731.97 | 837.30 | 840.40 | 843.50 |
2023-05-07 | 509.81 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 287.62 | 647.73 | 750.71 | 754.23 | 759.66 |
2023-05-14 | 419.14 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 203.80 | 549.84 | 649.22 | 652.89 | 658.66 |
2023-05-21 | 346.91 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 137.01 | 471.90 | 568.76 | 572.49 | 578.31 |
2023-05-28 | 271.10 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 68.79 | 390.72 | 484.18 | 488.14 | 494.32 |
2023-06-04 | 175.21 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 3.64 | 286.50 | 374.92 | 379.08 | 385.56 |
2023-06-11 | 91.31 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.34 | 195.06 | 278.82 | 283.07 | 290.38 |
2023-06-18 | 8.84 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.30 | 95.14 | 173.51 | 177.52 | 185.37 |
2023-06-25 | 0.34 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.16 | 0.28 | 33.54 | 108.60 | 112.77 | 120.61 |
2023-07-02 | 0.31 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.26 | 0.35 | 48.51 | 52.70 | 60.49 |
2023-07-09 | 0.29 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.24 | 0.32 | 2.82 | 4.03 | 7.33 |
2023-07-16 | 0.27 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.22 | 0.30 | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.32 |
2023-07-23 | 0.25 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.20 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
2023-07-30 | 0.22 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.26 |
2023-08-06 | 0.59 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.46 | 0.66 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.74 |
2023-08-13 | 0.91 | 0.58 | 0.60 | 0.62 | 0.69 | 1.02 | 1.12 | 1.13 | 1.15 |
2023-08-20 | 0.16 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.19 |
2023-08-27 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.18 |
2023-09-03 | 0.14 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 |
2023-09-10 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 |
2023-09-17 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
2023-09-24 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.33 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.37 |
2023-10-01 | 0.12 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 |
2023-10-08 | 0.24 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.20 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.30 |