Prediction 4078
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Amazonas
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 477.07 | 94.31 | 94.31 | 94.31 | 454.91 | 520.61 | 533.66 | 555.72 | 575.96 |
2022-10-16 | 929.73 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 697.66 | 1259.07 | 1300.97 | 1370.97 | 1434.78 |
2022-10-23 | 946.68 | 5.44 | 5.45 | 5.47 | 704.02 | 1291.72 | 1335.05 | 1407.32 | 1473.13 |
2022-10-30 | 933.16 | 11.51 | 11.52 | 11.56 | 696.11 | 1269.00 | 1311.37 | 1382.03 | 1446.36 |
2022-11-06 | 883.81 | 10.66 | 10.68 | 10.71 | 664.79 | 1190.91 | 1230.45 | 1296.32 | 1356.33 |
2022-11-13 | 778.14 | 9.30 | 9.32 | 9.36 | 597.54 | 1025.31 | 1058.85 | 1115.04 | 1166.35 |
2022-11-20 | 695.98 | 16.66 | 16.70 | 16.76 | 545.09 | 896.99 | 925.61 | 974.28 | 1018.83 |
2022-11-27 | 678.48 | 25.12 | 25.17 | 25.26 | 533.66 | 869.36 | 896.92 | 943.75 | 986.62 |
2022-12-04 | 644.58 | 23.11 | 23.16 | 23.26 | 511.87 | 816.13 | 841.80 | 885.40 | 925.35 |
2022-12-11 | 556.03 | 23.10 | 23.16 | 23.26 | 455.52 | 677.79 | 698.59 | 734.27 | 767.15 |
2022-12-18 | 487.92 | 34.41 | 34.49 | 34.63 | 412.16 | 571.59 | 588.42 | 618.03 | 645.45 |
2022-12-25 | 443.93 | 44.79 | 44.90 | 45.08 | 384.09 | 502.95 | 517.25 | 542.87 | 566.71 |
2023-01-01 | 426.91 | 70.15 | 70.31 | 70.59 | 373.05 | 476.25 | 489.50 | 513.45 | 535.77 |
2023-01-08 | 418.06 | 76.42 | 76.60 | 76.90 | 367.27 | 462.36 | 475.07 | 498.10 | 519.60 |
2023-01-15 | 374.12 | 76.49 | 76.66 | 76.95 | 339.34 | 395.25 | 404.40 | 423.22 | 441.22 |
2023-01-22 | 319.01 | 106.23 | 106.81 | 107.78 | 310.31 | 328.78 | 334.90 | 345.42 | 359.84 |
2023-01-29 | 298.71 | 283.85 | 285.54 | 287.21 | 293.50 | 304.34 | 316.11 | 321.11 | 326.23 |
2023-02-05 | 281.65 | 254.19 | 255.27 | 256.67 | 264.19 | 288.14 | 615.69 | 621.67 | 625.59 |
2023-02-12 | 235.94 | 201.83 | 202.83 | 204.00 | 209.89 | 265.45 | 860.13 | 866.39 | 870.49 |
2023-02-19 | 209.62 | 164.56 | 165.56 | 166.60 | 170.94 | 249.95 | 1230.85 | 1237.39 | 1241.66 |
2023-02-26 | 183.63 | 122.72 | 123.46 | 124.57 | 127.67 | 232.58 | 1415.00 | 1420.88 | 1424.72 |
2023-03-05 | 153.07 | 73.34 | 74.02 | 74.74 | 77.04 | 212.25 | 1608.97 | 1613.83 | 1617.00 |
2023-03-12 | 141.55 | 54.36 | 54.92 | 55.53 | 57.72 | 204.44 | 1869.11 | 1872.59 | 1874.88 |
2023-03-19 | 122.05 | 19.84 | 21.56 | 22.91 | 25.88 | 191.43 | 1832.09 | 1834.50 | 1836.06 |
2023-03-26 | 101.42 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.51 | 177.61 | 1803.29 | 1803.56 | 1803.81 |
2023-04-02 | 81.84 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 164.41 | 1669.71 | 1670.90 | 1671.82 |
2023-04-09 | 63.06 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 144.72 | 1358.42 | 1360.62 | 1362.34 |
2023-04-16 | 52.37 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 120.64 | 957.61 | 960.25 | 962.31 |
2023-04-23 | 50.91 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 117.15 | 876.14 | 879.16 | 881.48 |
2023-04-30 | 49.71 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 114.30 | 776.57 | 779.69 | 782.11 |
2023-05-07 | 46.22 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 106.20 | 596.72 | 599.66 | 601.96 |
2023-05-14 | 42.39 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 97.36 | 427.09 | 429.74 | 431.84 |
2023-05-21 | 39.39 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 90.41 | 302.76 | 305.11 | 306.99 |
2023-05-28 | 35.76 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 82.07 | 171.04 | 173.08 | 174.69 |
2023-06-04 | 33.33 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 76.44 | 95.85 | 97.61 | 98.99 |
2023-06-11 | 32.68 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 74.89 | 84.61 | 86.20 | 87.46 |
2023-06-18 | 14.20 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 69.84 | 70.59 | 70.95 | 71.32 |
2023-06-25 | 1.05 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 65.93 | 66.63 | 66.97 | 67.31 |
2023-07-02 | 0.29 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 59.23 | 59.86 | 60.17 | 60.47 |
2023-07-09 | 2.38 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 56.22 | 56.81 | 57.10 | 57.39 |
2023-07-16 | 1.49 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 54.43 | 55.01 | 55.29 | 55.56 |
2023-07-23 | 0.29 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 52.29 | 52.84 | 53.10 | 53.38 |
2023-07-30 | 0.28 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 49.34 | 49.87 | 50.11 | 50.37 |
2023-08-06 | 1.25 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 46.65 | 47.15 | 47.38 | 47.62 |
2023-08-13 | 9.93 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 45.36 | 45.83 | 46.06 | 46.29 |
2023-08-20 | 1.22 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 43.38 | 43.83 | 44.05 | 44.27 |
2023-08-27 | 2.77 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 37.57 | 37.95 | 38.14 | 38.32 |
2023-09-03 | 16.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.75 | 36.55 | 36.93 | 37.11 | 37.28 |
2023-09-10 | 8.23 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 36.49 | 36.86 | 37.05 | 37.22 |
2023-09-17 | 2.27 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 34.86 | 35.22 | 35.39 | 35.56 |
2023-09-24 | 0.27 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 31.83 | 32.15 | 32.31 | 32.46 |
2023-10-01 | 10.61 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 29.37 | 29.66 | 29.81 | 29.94 |
2023-10-08 | 3.80 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 28.50 | 28.79 | 28.93 | 29.05 |