Prediction 4079
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Bahia
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 531.44 | 513.34 | 514.09 | 515.23 | 531.35 | 1281.91 | 1282.93 | 1283.50 | 1283.90 |
2022-10-16 | 4.36 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 4.26 | 1410.38 | 1416.81 | 1419.51 | 1422.92 |
2022-10-23 | 62.05 | 17.47 | 20.46 | 23.16 | 61.84 | 2221.11 | 2229.81 | 2233.98 | 2238.42 |
2022-10-30 | 50.47 | 32.47 | 35.05 | 36.29 | 50.35 | 2254.58 | 2262.66 | 2267.18 | 2270.86 |
2022-11-06 | 65.27 | 38.45 | 41.98 | 43.92 | 65.12 | 2389.38 | 2397.02 | 2401.25 | 2404.55 |
2022-11-13 | 72.20 | 41.87 | 46.00 | 48.29 | 72.01 | 2570.88 | 2578.35 | 2582.46 | 2585.72 |
2022-11-20 | 63.83 | 39.76 | 43.54 | 45.42 | 63.67 | 2633.56 | 2640.79 | 2644.68 | 2647.80 |
2022-11-27 | 77.79 | 49.43 | 54.02 | 56.18 | 77.59 | 2617.69 | 2624.49 | 2628.23 | 2630.93 |
2022-12-04 | 144.74 | 87.90 | 96.16 | 100.44 | 144.39 | 3144.03 | 3150.90 | 3154.55 | 3157.04 |
2022-12-11 | 103.80 | 71.95 | 77.85 | 79.93 | 103.54 | 3224.03 | 3230.93 | 3234.49 | 3236.56 |
2022-12-18 | 138.74 | 97.18 | 104.89 | 107.70 | 138.40 | 3301.59 | 3308.24 | 3311.36 | 3313.52 |
2022-12-25 | 131.27 | 99.16 | 105.44 | 108.29 | 130.96 | 3468.62 | 3475.03 | 3478.33 | 3480.57 |
2023-01-01 | 105.82 | 90.90 | 94.23 | 98.00 | 105.57 | 3294.47 | 3300.81 | 3303.76 | 3306.17 |
2023-01-08 | 171.46 | 137.83 | 143.86 | 148.80 | 171.08 | 3348.30 | 3354.79 | 3357.59 | 3359.72 |
2023-01-15 | 210.46 | 172.55 | 179.46 | 185.73 | 210.00 | 3630.18 | 3636.96 | 3639.69 | 3642.08 |
2023-01-22 | 125.10 | 124.26 | 124.40 | 124.50 | 124.66 | 3507.09 | 3513.68 | 3516.33 | 3518.55 |
2023-01-29 | 523.39 | 242.92 | 250.06 | 257.38 | 513.72 | 3737.79 | 3744.40 | 3747.07 | 3748.86 |
2023-02-05 | 1085.76 | 255.99 | 259.33 | 271.94 | 1074.41 | 3958.48 | 3965.39 | 3968.03 | 3969.84 |
2023-02-12 | 1861.06 | 492.49 | 693.86 | 797.73 | 1848.22 | 4369.95 | 4377.09 | 4380.14 | 4381.89 |
2023-02-19 | 2551.55 | 1176.64 | 1406.67 | 1562.05 | 2537.53 | 4558.37 | 4565.91 | 4569.11 | 4570.64 |
2023-02-26 | 3535.53 | 2226.25 | 2434.60 | 2656.52 | 3520.00 | 5004.63 | 5012.66 | 5015.96 | 5017.58 |
2023-03-05 | 4219.28 | 3105.85 | 3311.82 | 3521.13 | 4202.86 | 5099.05 | 5107.16 | 5110.31 | 5112.05 |
2023-03-12 | 4551.12 | 3724.67 | 3851.67 | 4054.62 | 4534.74 | 4837.37 | 4845.18 | 4848.05 | 4849.93 |
2023-03-19 | 5415.37 | 4868.37 | 4961.52 | 5025.46 | 5035.57 | 5449.91 | 5460.37 | 5465.47 | 5471.34 |
2023-03-26 | 5633.95 | 4866.56 | 4869.23 | 4873.44 | 4880.89 | 5652.21 | 5664.38 | 5711.49 | 5899.72 |
2023-04-02 | 6375.84 | 4936.39 | 4939.43 | 4943.34 | 4950.73 | 6391.89 | 6448.79 | 6732.63 | 6979.03 |
2023-04-09 | 7223.78 | 5319.18 | 5322.57 | 5326.54 | 5334.43 | 7240.78 | 7563.92 | 7852.53 | 8160.35 |
2023-04-16 | 6831.46 | 4817.77 | 4820.75 | 4824.43 | 4831.60 | 6847.22 | 7335.42 | 7574.55 | 7895.77 |
2023-04-23 | 6421.02 | 4262.92 | 4265.63 | 4268.72 | 4275.09 | 6435.11 | 7159.47 | 7330.68 | 7675.12 |
2023-04-30 | 6160.65 | 3881.67 | 3883.98 | 3886.75 | 3892.38 | 6173.42 | 7103.80 | 7239.61 | 7573.57 |
2023-05-07 | 6198.04 | 3829.80 | 3831.93 | 3834.65 | 3840.13 | 6210.06 | 7241.82 | 7376.58 | 7692.61 |
2023-05-14 | 5534.64 | 3308.56 | 3309.98 | 3312.51 | 3317.50 | 5545.18 | 6552.21 | 6680.30 | 6971.70 |
2023-05-21 | 5399.81 | 3196.44 | 3197.86 | 3200.13 | 3205.02 | 5409.65 | 6426.69 | 6547.21 | 6826.75 |
2023-05-28 | 5190.42 | 3060.53 | 3061.80 | 3063.80 | 3068.58 | 5199.53 | 6190.08 | 6306.29 | 6562.86 |
2023-06-04 | 4602.27 | 2663.16 | 2664.40 | 2666.26 | 2670.56 | 4610.27 | 5510.54 | 5616.79 | 5844.67 |
2023-06-11 | 4159.05 | 2379.24 | 2380.31 | 2382.17 | 2386.08 | 4166.19 | 4978.32 | 5074.95 | 5280.71 |
2023-06-18 | 3737.94 | 2118.59 | 2119.71 | 2121.28 | 2125.14 | 3744.28 | 4464.42 | 4544.69 | 4734.75 |
2023-06-25 | 3042.24 | 1651.44 | 1652.55 | 1654.11 | 1657.59 | 3047.81 | 3656.51 | 3726.83 | 3884.42 |
2023-07-02 | 2580.13 | 1348.78 | 1350.02 | 1351.48 | 1354.91 | 2585.08 | 3105.52 | 3163.86 | 3304.31 |
2023-07-09 | 2237.72 | 1132.42 | 1133.68 | 1135.05 | 1138.45 | 2242.32 | 2688.26 | 2736.97 | 2863.56 |
2023-07-16 | 1779.65 | 821.52 | 822.72 | 824.11 | 827.49 | 1783.86 | 2150.03 | 2208.07 | 2305.07 |
2023-07-23 | 1336.24 | 511.64 | 512.63 | 513.98 | 517.29 | 1340.07 | 1639.91 | 1705.44 | 1775.08 |
2023-07-30 | 1023.24 | 293.05 | 294.06 | 295.36 | 298.66 | 1026.81 | 1276.78 | 1346.35 | 1396.64 |
2023-08-06 | 510.61 | 19.42 | 19.73 | 20.07 | 21.02 | 513.75 | 715.40 | 775.77 | 814.10 |
2023-08-13 | 400.93 | 53.76 | 53.78 | 53.82 | 53.86 | 403.93 | 577.18 | 634.08 | 663.81 |
2023-08-20 | 523.28 | 35.86 | 35.88 | 35.90 | 35.93 | 526.34 | 690.99 | 742.82 | 771.03 |
2023-08-27 | 197.56 | 1.51 | 1.51 | 1.51 | 1.51 | 200.35 | 343.00 | 388.01 | 413.62 |
2023-09-03 | 72.91 | 2.26 | 2.26 | 2.26 | 2.27 | 75.59 | 200.50 | 241.35 | 265.26 |
2023-09-10 | 3.43 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 4.17 | 114.05 | 149.28 | 170.58 |
2023-09-17 | 7.07 | 5.26 | 5.27 | 5.27 | 5.28 | 7.10 | 60.64 | 88.68 | 114.54 |
2023-09-24 | 1.81 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.81 | 14.01 | 26.01 | 42.57 |
2023-10-01 | 2.10 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 2.14 | 2.15 | 2.16 | 2.16 |
2023-10-08 | 23.75 | 16.75 | 16.75 | 16.77 | 16.78 | 23.85 | 23.88 | 23.90 | 23.94 |