Prediction 4080

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 Ceará

Description:

2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Ceará


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 362.32 307.19 307.22 307.25 324.91 400.28 2454.13 3169.22 3455.99
2022-10-16 50.20 0.12 0.12 0.12 8.00 93.02 5489.31 7526.03 8455.66
2022-10-23 95.36 2.74 2.96 3.16 79.27 111.58 6002.34 8222.13 9249.16
2022-10-30 120.88 15.55 15.80 16.04 106.93 135.00 6574.85 8986.37 10118.82
2022-11-06 133.98 15.76 15.97 16.15 121.81 146.35 6948.07 9482.36 10686.34
2022-11-13 170.86 17.79 18.14 18.46 158.70 183.28 7472.28 10183.02 11486.49
2022-11-20 246.51 22.52 23.07 23.52 204.68 293.93 8093.29 11012.18 12431.74
2022-11-27 472.94 25.84 26.52 27.04 229.91 727.32 8533.65 11592.96 13093.08
2022-12-04 944.34 34.87 35.76 36.46 575.15 1318.27 9086.26 12322.30 13921.61
2022-12-11 1633.25 46.62 47.78 48.68 1283.71 1988.57 9650.79 13063.70 14761.39
2022-12-18 2505.51 65.28 66.81 68.01 2184.14 2834.10 10418.22 14073.89 15904.25
2022-12-25 3639.21 93.50 95.55 97.17 3350.60 3937.19 11477.61 15469.99 17485.41
2023-01-01 4380.33 89.91 91.63 92.95 4140.56 4626.69 11621.66 15628.75 17658.39
2023-01-08 5220.39 121.88 123.96 125.51 4997.73 5444.12 11989.35 16084.11 18164.09
2023-01-15 6200.01 169.01 171.45 173.37 5935.68 6457.27 12710.12 17007.62 19198.08
2023-01-22 7083.57 205.17 207.09 208.98 6696.84 7445.33 13431.16 17924.20 20219.70
2023-01-29 7377.47 185.82 186.20 186.99 6836.78 7893.82 13548.80 18044.63 20341.05
2023-02-05 7249.14 345.33 379.53 407.92 6609.57 8079.81 13395.59 17775.75 20029.59
2023-02-12 7465.55 932.26 968.86 999.75 6603.54 8750.88 14040.69 18513.28 20887.68
2023-02-19 7153.97 1237.03 1261.95 1288.88 6085.96 8580.51 13815.33 18164.08 20498.84
2023-02-26 6611.26 1549.28 1561.39 1582.66 5222.59 8180.37 13363.28 17490.02 19743.58
2023-03-05 5990.69 1571.77 1575.91 1592.68 4321.09 7617.38 12816.48 16695.80 18848.81
2023-03-12 5072.35 1537.37 1541.22 1552.87 3346.89 6761.93 11939.24 15497.15 17474.93
2023-03-19 4595.76 1752.49 1754.92 1756.80 2744.45 6414.76 11932.81 15447.57 17360.14
2023-03-26 4351.76 1828.44 1829.87 1834.50 2418.23 6256.38 12064.54 15581.58 17490.56
2023-04-02 3413.85 1440.27 1443.52 1449.53 1621.94 5183.37 10870.45 13989.61 15687.77
2023-04-09 2816.58 1060.47 1060.85 1061.94 1065.35 4395.08 10084.18 12922.93 14477.02
2023-04-16 2337.62 612.88 613.17 614.11 617.01 3689.86 9348.58 11932.11 13352.61
2023-04-23 1923.37 262.83 263.09 263.83 266.27 3086.37 8706.17 11080.71 12372.17
2023-04-30 1541.03 13.01 13.09 13.26 13.91 2535.64 8080.52 10260.01 11424.85
2023-05-07 1316.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 1.07 2191.69 7761.84 9834.14 10922.54
2023-05-14 1015.68 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.98 1761.81 7238.32 9150.55 10134.30
2023-05-21 769.12 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.90 1398.69 6790.12 8564.40 9457.56
2023-05-28 530.75 0.83 0.83 0.83 0.83 1042.12 6303.42 7932.19 8732.63
2023-06-04 335.02 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 677.63 5750.49 7219.00 7920.62
2023-06-11 204.60 0.70 0.70 0.70 0.70 416.36 5362.35 6709.73 7345.29
2023-06-18 96.06 0.66 0.66 0.66 0.66 198.87 5031.43 6274.71 6854.37
2023-06-25 11.46 0.63 0.63 0.63 0.63 25.13 4700.74 5844.11 6367.82
2023-07-02 1.02 0.59 0.59 0.59 0.59 1.05 4334.97 5374.11 5836.41
2023-07-09 0.98 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 11.48 4038.31 4992.12 5403.88
2023-07-16 5.09 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 38.39 3966.92 4889.60 5279.22
2023-07-23 0.91 0.55 0.55 0.55 0.55 7.17 3850.33 4735.64 5101.10
2023-07-30 0.85 0.52 0.52 0.52 0.52 4.68 3574.77 4382.81 4703.43
2023-08-06 0.81 0.78 0.78 0.79 0.80 32.00 3420.36 4180.76 4472.03
2023-08-13 0.77 0.51 0.51 0.51 0.51 9.38 3301.78 4023.78 4290.80
2023-08-20 0.73 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 1.02 3089.14 3751.54 3984.11
2023-08-27 19.95 12.25 12.26 12.26 12.29 69.85 2969.34 3589.64 3796.07
2023-09-03 12.73 4.35 4.36 4.36 4.37 55.28 3018.30 3639.71 3842.38
2023-09-10 10.70 0.68 0.68 0.68 0.68 53.67 2966.47 3563.47 3751.99
2023-09-17 1.33 0.66 0.67 0.67 0.67 61.54 2904.40 3471.27 3642.21
2023-09-24 7.32 0.64 0.64 0.64 0.64 119.22 2785.01 3307.45 3457.41
2023-10-01 1.75 0.61 0.61 0.61 0.61 135.61 2686.51 3173.04 3306.10
2023-10-08 0.57 0.49 0.49 0.49 0.49 59.37 2466.60 2869.41 2973.59
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