Prediction 4083
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Maranhão |
Description:
2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Maranhão
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 267.16 | 40.48 | 40.48 | 40.49 | 40.49 | 334.91 | 336.52 | 337.75 | 338.23 |
2022-10-16 | 238.50 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 306.71 | 308.76 | 310.01 | 310.64 |
2022-10-23 | 216.55 | 1.05 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.08 | 261.58 | 265.34 | 266.32 | 267.79 |
2022-10-30 | 292.50 | 3.70 | 3.71 | 3.72 | 3.74 | 356.24 | 360.52 | 361.77 | 363.36 |
2022-11-06 | 330.44 | 3.91 | 3.92 | 3.93 | 3.95 | 402.52 | 406.99 | 408.36 | 410.02 |
2022-11-13 | 346.48 | 4.14 | 4.15 | 4.17 | 4.20 | 421.31 | 425.81 | 427.21 | 428.88 |
2022-11-20 | 436.37 | 7.35 | 7.37 | 7.39 | 7.45 | 533.69 | 538.78 | 540.41 | 542.14 |
2022-11-27 | 537.90 | 10.30 | 10.33 | 10.36 | 10.45 | 660.58 | 666.23 | 668.18 | 670.14 |
2022-12-04 | 641.03 | 15.59 | 15.63 | 15.68 | 15.82 | 788.94 | 795.11 | 797.41 | 799.50 |
2022-12-11 | 730.43 | 21.66 | 21.72 | 21.79 | 21.99 | 899.57 | 906.25 | 908.70 | 910.92 |
2022-12-18 | 870.92 | 37.69 | 37.79 | 37.93 | 38.28 | 1074.49 | 1081.57 | 1084.66 | 1087.08 |
2022-12-25 | 971.88 | 47.54 | 47.68 | 47.86 | 48.31 | 1199.43 | 1206.74 | 1210.29 | 1212.81 |
2023-01-01 | 884.78 | 51.46 | 51.61 | 51.81 | 52.30 | 1087.13 | 1094.10 | 1097.00 | 1099.44 |
2023-01-08 | 967.33 | 102.92 | 103.21 | 103.59 | 104.53 | 1186.89 | 1193.97 | 1197.13 | 1199.66 |
2023-01-15 | 1051.62 | 132.83 | 133.17 | 133.66 | 134.84 | 1290.01 | 1297.27 | 1300.70 | 1303.38 |
2023-01-22 | 1106.79 | 189.88 | 190.35 | 190.99 | 192.57 | 1356.11 | 1363.46 | 1367.07 | 1369.78 |
2023-01-29 | 1165.57 | 250.46 | 251.01 | 251.74 | 253.56 | 1426.54 | 1433.98 | 1437.77 | 1440.55 |
2023-02-05 | 1189.96 | 568.94 | 573.81 | 581.00 | 599.96 | 1453.58 | 1461.05 | 1464.78 | 1467.60 |
2023-02-12 | 1523.08 | 788.21 | 862.77 | 935.14 | 1436.04 | 1567.13 | 1574.84 | 1578.86 | 1581.77 |
2023-02-19 | 1541.29 | 777.48 | 850.67 | 921.77 | 1526.16 | 1964.82 | 1985.26 | 1992.80 | 1998.83 |
2023-02-26 | 1207.89 | 627.36 | 685.17 | 740.40 | 1196.53 | 2141.17 | 2155.60 | 2160.82 | 2164.94 |
2023-03-05 | 1189.18 | 624.04 | 681.05 | 735.68 | 1178.38 | 2623.24 | 2630.91 | 2633.68 | 2635.77 |
2023-03-12 | 1211.90 | 637.72 | 695.80 | 751.72 | 1201.06 | 2783.28 | 2784.22 | 2784.59 | 2784.83 |
2023-03-19 | 1169.35 | 620.45 | 676.61 | 730.61 | 1159.10 | 2653.79 | 2659.19 | 2661.33 | 2662.88 |
2023-03-26 | 1092.24 | 588.51 | 641.16 | 691.66 | 1083.06 | 2326.85 | 2338.76 | 2343.49 | 2347.17 |
2023-04-02 | 1091.01 | 592.02 | 644.66 | 695.32 | 1082.11 | 1991.98 | 2007.69 | 2014.06 | 2018.81 |
2023-04-09 | 1064.11 | 582.18 | 633.63 | 683.14 | 1055.80 | 1557.52 | 1573.73 | 1580.31 | 1585.32 |
2023-04-16 | 886.13 | 501.21 | 544.43 | 585.41 | 879.69 | 979.46 | 993.21 | 999.01 | 1003.20 |
2023-04-23 | 501.51 | 353.95 | 380.34 | 387.86 | 397.02 | 569.40 | 571.69 | 572.93 | 574.09 |
2023-04-30 | 259.74 | 60.48 | 60.52 | 60.78 | 62.60 | 267.78 | 269.36 | 270.12 | 270.68 |
2023-05-07 | 210.32 | 6.37 | 6.88 | 7.53 | 9.32 | 213.17 | 214.78 | 216.24 | 218.79 |
2023-05-14 | 20.96 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.76 | 22.28 | 82.85 | 85.53 | 86.69 |
2023-05-21 | 0.61 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.70 | 8.17 | 9.74 | 14.49 |
2023-05-28 | 42.02 | 20.39 | 22.50 | 24.44 | 41.63 | 90.47 | 90.51 | 90.52 | 90.53 |
2023-06-04 | 75.58 | 47.16 | 48.18 | 49.86 | 74.89 | 139.49 | 139.50 | 139.51 | 139.51 |
2023-06-11 | 10.34 | 2.90 | 2.90 | 2.91 | 2.92 | 18.35 | 24.88 | 27.55 | 35.03 |
2023-06-18 | 1.05 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 1.64 | 13.79 | 17.46 | 25.85 |
2023-06-25 | 0.52 | 0.32 | 0.33 | 0.51 | 0.51 | 0.84 | 0.84 | 1.41 | 6.35 |
2023-07-02 | 0.49 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 0.29 | 0.49 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.83 |
2023-07-09 | 0.47 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.28 | 0.47 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.82 |
2023-07-16 | 0.45 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.44 | 0.81 | 0.82 | 0.83 | 0.83 |
2023-07-23 | 0.43 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.25 | 0.43 | 8.39 | 8.47 | 8.49 | 8.51 |
2023-07-30 | 0.41 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.41 | 12.84 | 12.89 | 12.91 | 12.92 |
2023-08-06 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.40 | 15.66 | 15.73 | 15.76 | 15.78 |
2023-08-13 | 0.39 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.38 | 7.43 | 7.48 | 7.50 | 7.51 |
2023-08-20 | 0.38 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.37 | 18.76 | 18.83 | 18.85 | 18.87 |
2023-08-27 | 0.89 | 0.68 | 0.73 | 0.77 | 0.88 | 31.56 | 31.63 | 31.65 | 31.67 |
2023-09-03 | 0.36 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 0.22 | 0.36 | 10.95 | 11.55 | 11.77 | 11.93 |
2023-09-10 | 0.66 | 0.55 | 0.59 | 0.62 | 0.65 | 72.71 | 73.51 | 73.79 | 74.02 |
2023-09-17 | 0.35 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.34 | 48.32 | 49.13 | 49.42 | 49.65 |
2023-09-24 | 2.79 | 1.76 | 1.91 | 2.05 | 2.78 | 99.69 | 100.56 | 100.87 | 101.13 |
2023-10-01 | 0.33 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.20 | 0.33 | 117.05 | 117.92 | 118.24 | 118.48 |
2023-10-08 | 0.32 | 0.16 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.32 | 100.04 | 100.88 | 101.19 | 101.43 |