Prediction 4084
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Mato Grosso
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 388.50 | 269.59 | 270.14 | 271.00 | 388.29 | 388.70 | 918.79 | 919.33 | 919.66 |
2022-10-16 | 290.27 | 15.55 | 16.46 | 18.32 | 289.48 | 291.06 | 2115.04 | 2116.68 | 2117.69 |
2022-10-23 | 659.62 | 80.25 | 80.89 | 83.10 | 658.22 | 661.00 | 2506.89 | 2508.74 | 2509.86 |
2022-10-30 | 1224.70 | 107.43 | 108.16 | 110.64 | 1222.74 | 1226.61 | 2901.64 | 2903.63 | 2904.84 |
2022-11-06 | 1787.34 | 124.90 | 130.49 | 147.68 | 1784.71 | 1789.94 | 3104.54 | 3106.61 | 3107.96 |
2022-11-13 | 2429.31 | 336.22 | 348.09 | 384.32 | 2425.94 | 2432.73 | 3316.42 | 3318.59 | 3320.00 |
2022-11-20 | 3236.46 | 657.58 | 669.36 | 710.85 | 3232.27 | 3240.88 | 3629.41 | 3631.73 | 3633.21 |
2022-11-27 | 4130.42 | 1012.36 | 1029.63 | 1072.89 | 3932.81 | 4135.03 | 4138.51 | 4140.58 | 4142.32 |
2022-12-04 | 4681.54 | 1230.90 | 1252.54 | 1292.76 | 3913.41 | 4686.82 | 4690.83 | 4693.27 | 4695.20 |
2022-12-11 | 5187.22 | 1433.82 | 1454.73 | 1495.10 | 3837.17 | 5192.90 | 5197.43 | 5200.10 | 5202.14 |
2022-12-18 | 5864.99 | 1702.44 | 1729.89 | 1764.53 | 3952.73 | 5871.26 | 5876.32 | 5879.34 | 5881.57 |
2022-12-25 | 6517.34 | 1967.73 | 1992.26 | 2019.38 | 4108.71 | 6524.19 | 6529.77 | 6533.13 | 6535.63 |
2023-01-01 | 6982.59 | 2150.70 | 2174.50 | 2193.11 | 4188.00 | 6989.81 | 6995.59 | 6999.02 | 7001.71 |
2023-01-08 | 7432.51 | 2318.23 | 2348.97 | 2356.22 | 4319.70 | 7439.83 | 7445.82 | 7449.37 | 7452.03 |
2023-01-15 | 8237.41 | 2618.87 | 2642.92 | 2649.58 | 4777.46 | 8244.99 | 8251.19 | 8254.66 | 8257.86 |
2023-01-22 | 8198.52 | 2587.29 | 2605.00 | 2613.06 | 4793.51 | 8205.80 | 8211.59 | 8215.16 | 8218.17 |
2023-01-29 | 7723.43 | 2381.47 | 2390.55 | 2398.55 | 4608.72 | 7729.90 | 7735.23 | 7738.58 | 7741.37 |
2023-02-05 | 7121.66 | 2125.15 | 2133.11 | 2140.71 | 4439.19 | 7127.43 | 7131.96 | 7135.01 | 7137.02 |
2023-02-12 | 6528.42 | 1884.25 | 1891.46 | 1898.07 | 4431.02 | 6533.60 | 6537.74 | 6540.25 | 6542.45 |
2023-02-19 | 6203.88 | 1755.43 | 1762.79 | 1768.51 | 4565.37 | 6208.79 | 6212.47 | 6214.89 | 6217.22 |
2023-02-26 | 5407.55 | 1456.10 | 1463.32 | 1468.11 | 4377.69 | 5411.87 | 5415.07 | 5417.26 | 5419.45 |
2023-03-05 | 4871.54 | 1270.75 | 1275.38 | 1280.21 | 4526.00 | 4875.52 | 4878.65 | 4880.62 | 4882.75 |
2023-03-12 | 4418.74 | 1122.07 | 1126.23 | 1131.02 | 4414.48 | 4423.59 | 4660.06 | 4662.86 | 4664.65 |
2023-03-19 | 3734.30 | 886.64 | 890.41 | 894.84 | 3730.38 | 3738.81 | 4517.84 | 4520.58 | 4522.31 |
2023-03-26 | 2690.81 | 507.03 | 510.05 | 513.59 | 2687.53 | 2694.42 | 3825.53 | 3827.90 | 3829.39 |
2023-04-02 | 2178.79 | 345.41 | 348.11 | 351.73 | 2175.84 | 2182.06 | 3690.48 | 3692.79 | 3694.26 |
2023-04-09 | 1823.20 | 241.19 | 244.01 | 246.80 | 1820.48 | 1826.19 | 3572.16 | 3574.42 | 3575.84 |
2023-04-16 | 1284.20 | 52.57 | 54.32 | 55.93 | 1281.95 | 1286.69 | 3060.78 | 3062.77 | 3064.02 |
2023-04-23 | 928.49 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 926.51 | 930.64 | 2748.42 | 2750.26 | 2751.40 |
2023-04-30 | 779.75 | 0.42 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 777.94 | 781.74 | 2723.27 | 2725.08 | 2726.20 |
2023-05-07 | 497.89 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 496.38 | 499.57 | 2349.22 | 2350.84 | 2351.84 |
2023-05-14 | 247.35 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 246.09 | 248.74 | 1968.06 | 1969.48 | 1970.36 |
2023-05-21 | 103.51 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 102.39 | 104.73 | 1761.93 | 1763.25 | 1764.06 |
2023-05-28 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.65 | 1188.52 | 1189.56 | 1190.19 |
2023-06-04 | 30.88 | 30.83 | 30.84 | 30.84 | 30.86 | 32.75 | 1221.04 | 1222.08 | 1222.71 |
2023-06-11 | 19.59 | 19.56 | 19.57 | 19.57 | 19.58 | 22.29 | 1416.35 | 1417.48 | 1418.16 |
2023-06-18 | 0.38 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 1287.45 | 1288.52 | 1289.15 |
2023-06-25 | 0.34 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 1090.20 | 1091.16 | 1091.74 |
2023-07-02 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.82 | 883.07 | 883.91 | 884.45 |
2023-07-09 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 2.70 | 816.11 | 816.92 | 817.44 |
2023-07-16 | 0.26 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 705.88 | 706.63 | 707.11 |
2023-07-23 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 555.98 | 556.67 | 557.11 |
2023-07-30 | 3.58 | 3.57 | 3.57 | 3.58 | 3.58 | 11.95 | 509.94 | 510.59 | 511.01 |
2023-08-06 | 0.51 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 4.51 | 513.15 | 513.81 | 514.23 |
2023-08-13 | 15.91 | 15.89 | 15.89 | 15.90 | 15.90 | 27.71 | 597.01 | 597.69 | 598.12 |
2023-08-20 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 2.40 | 5.50 | 590.70 | 591.37 | 591.80 |
2023-08-27 | 13.50 | 13.48 | 13.48 | 13.49 | 13.49 | 26.76 | 533.06 | 533.70 | 534.11 |
2023-09-03 | 6.01 | 5.99 | 5.99 | 5.99 | 6.00 | 23.69 | 627.49 | 628.16 | 628.58 |
2023-09-10 | 12.18 | 12.15 | 12.15 | 12.16 | 12.16 | 37.50 | 754.53 | 755.23 | 755.69 |
2023-09-17 | 1.24 | 1.23 | 1.23 | 1.23 | 1.24 | 16.47 | 794.19 | 794.90 | 795.36 |
2023-09-24 | 2.24 | 2.23 | 2.23 | 2.23 | 2.23 | 22.84 | 778.47 | 779.16 | 779.61 |
2023-10-01 | 10.82 | 10.78 | 10.78 | 10.79 | 10.80 | 56.03 | 954.97 | 955.71 | 956.19 |
2023-10-08 | 0.85 | 0.84 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 38.27 | 1030.44 | 1031.19 | 1031.67 |