Prediction 4086
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Minas Gerais
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 828.14 | 357.75 | 357.77 | 357.78 | 618.01 | 1006.42 | 1089.65 | 1106.90 | 1121.86 |
2022-10-16 | 1182.52 | 23.07 | 23.11 | 23.15 | 1009.30 | 1452.44 | 1518.49 | 1543.40 | 1561.71 |
2022-10-23 | 1497.15 | 86.66 | 86.73 | 86.77 | 1284.78 | 1879.71 | 1926.28 | 1947.95 | 1967.10 |
2022-10-30 | 1843.30 | 126.31 | 126.41 | 126.47 | 1483.31 | 2225.50 | 2305.92 | 2337.39 | 2363.72 |
2022-11-06 | 2564.48 | 209.99 | 210.19 | 210.29 | 1949.39 | 3131.78 | 3288.85 | 3353.83 | 3388.74 |
2022-11-13 | 2634.88 | 94.61 | 94.74 | 94.80 | 2000.67 | 3222.41 | 3387.09 | 3451.20 | 3487.44 |
2022-11-20 | 1965.21 | 44.11 | 44.18 | 44.22 | 1570.08 | 2354.87 | 2440.99 | 2478.32 | 2505.01 |
2022-11-27 | 2107.08 | 215.78 | 216.04 | 216.17 | 1664.84 | 2529.73 | 2621.72 | 2668.04 | 2694.38 |
2022-12-04 | 2212.72 | 160.23 | 160.38 | 160.50 | 1734.11 | 2658.81 | 2760.82 | 2811.70 | 2840.57 |
2022-12-11 | 2305.84 | 247.55 | 247.78 | 247.96 | 1799.96 | 2776.98 | 2886.64 | 2941.58 | 2972.03 |
2022-12-18 | 3095.00 | 481.09 | 481.53 | 481.85 | 2310.65 | 3763.27 | 3976.90 | 4048.12 | 4092.93 |
2022-12-25 | 3388.10 | 449.29 | 449.77 | 450.06 | 2500.52 | 4113.81 | 4362.61 | 4446.82 | 4500.05 |
2023-01-01 | 3528.28 | 465.18 | 466.44 | 467.43 | 2592.12 | 4275.48 | 4540.00 | 4631.65 | 4685.64 |
2023-01-08 | 4404.62 | 2234.77 | 2241.82 | 2247.07 | 3158.12 | 5349.34 | 5728.71 | 5835.28 | 5927.03 |
2023-01-15 | 5178.87 | 3646.09 | 3654.08 | 3660.56 | 3795.08 | 6295.80 | 6775.58 | 6915.81 | 7018.00 |
2023-01-22 | 4208.01 | 3025.54 | 3031.75 | 3037.22 | 3142.81 | 5081.02 | 5425.32 | 5533.75 | 5615.99 |
2023-01-29 | 5474.96 | 3289.95 | 3296.69 | 3302.12 | 3418.71 | 6028.25 | 6623.26 | 6627.81 | 6629.77 |
2023-02-05 | 6171.23 | 3657.17 | 3664.81 | 3671.16 | 3803.62 | 6801.48 | 8626.95 | 8632.17 | 8634.51 |
2023-02-12 | 5895.35 | 3520.91 | 3528.08 | 3534.03 | 3659.36 | 6476.18 | 9660.53 | 9665.98 | 9669.07 |
2023-02-19 | 6988.38 | 4102.07 | 4110.36 | 4116.04 | 4267.13 | 7681.90 | 12980.62 | 12986.78 | 12991.56 |
2023-02-26 | 6503.64 | 3852.55 | 3860.59 | 3865.72 | 4005.24 | 7132.36 | 12628.35 | 12634.19 | 12639.23 |
2023-03-05 | 5612.12 | 3396.22 | 3402.91 | 3407.36 | 3525.67 | 6123.19 | 11831.45 | 11837.08 | 11842.27 |
2023-03-12 | 6835.19 | 4051.67 | 4059.81 | 4064.71 | 4211.43 | 7473.74 | 14884.69 | 14890.84 | 14897.99 |
2023-03-19 | 7709.92 | 4531.27 | 4540.77 | 4546.10 | 4713.35 | 8458.91 | 16566.04 | 16573.89 | 16583.12 |
2023-03-26 | 6864.72 | 4085.43 | 4093.50 | 4098.54 | 4245.15 | 7488.75 | 14507.77 | 14513.97 | 14523.32 |
2023-04-02 | 8085.59 | 4761.60 | 4771.35 | 4777.34 | 4952.16 | 8855.14 | 16063.41 | 16073.80 | 16083.23 |
2023-04-09 | 8188.69 | 4826.25 | 4835.35 | 4842.15 | 5019.02 | 8962.21 | 15410.75 | 15420.98 | 15434.07 |
2023-04-16 | 6622.61 | 3987.80 | 3994.86 | 4000.47 | 4139.74 | 7178.46 | 11509.60 | 11522.24 | 11537.14 |
2023-04-23 | 5627.59 | 3474.79 | 3480.65 | 3485.80 | 3601.74 | 6070.24 | 8673.51 | 8684.58 | 8703.19 |
2023-04-30 | 5569.99 | 3449.71 | 3455.41 | 3460.64 | 3574.94 | 5997.69 | 7910.19 | 7921.20 | 7941.92 |
2023-05-07 | 4915.12 | 3109.97 | 3115.27 | 3119.92 | 3218.98 | 5274.89 | 6159.47 | 6169.51 | 6188.73 |
2023-05-14 | 3722.60 | 2483.59 | 2487.94 | 2491.55 | 2563.20 | 3848.89 | 3932.44 | 3978.54 | 4031.10 |
2023-05-21 | 3294.86 | 2404.14 | 2408.01 | 2411.64 | 2479.52 | 3636.46 | 3747.23 | 3802.23 | 3850.94 |
2023-05-28 | 2122.96 | 1376.36 | 1378.89 | 1384.00 | 1759.04 | 2400.69 | 2466.29 | 2480.34 | 2488.71 |
2023-06-04 | 1924.52 | 953.45 | 955.75 | 960.52 | 1656.21 | 2191.71 | 2253.37 | 2282.85 | 2290.31 |
2023-06-11 | 3103.77 | 2384.22 | 2388.06 | 2391.66 | 2457.70 | 3572.05 | 3674.47 | 3723.86 | 3772.39 |
2023-06-18 | 2552.23 | 1534.49 | 1536.89 | 1541.81 | 2032.86 | 2888.99 | 2973.27 | 2992.28 | 3019.01 |
2023-06-25 | 1792.89 | 331.84 | 333.79 | 337.81 | 1569.85 | 2006.50 | 2074.05 | 2113.21 | 2121.69 |
2023-07-02 | 1574.53 | 30.41 | 30.43 | 30.45 | 1420.05 | 1709.33 | 1805.15 | 1836.73 | 1845.26 |
2023-07-09 | 1693.80 | 48.08 | 48.13 | 48.18 | 1501.15 | 1862.37 | 1940.90 | 1977.64 | 1986.04 |
2023-07-16 | 1615.43 | 2.62 | 2.62 | 2.62 | 1450.76 | 1757.61 | 1850.59 | 1884.05 | 1892.47 |
2023-07-23 | 1282.76 | 13.31 | 13.33 | 13.34 | 1237.62 | 1359.10 | 1477.61 | 1498.43 | 1505.91 |
2023-07-30 | 1310.13 | 52.48 | 52.50 | 52.50 | 1256.92 | 1388.19 | 1507.25 | 1529.23 | 1536.70 |
2023-08-06 | 803.45 | 2.02 | 2.02 | 2.02 | 591.74 | 883.49 | 888.12 | 891.51 | 899.53 |
2023-08-13 | 1223.79 | 564.46 | 564.53 | 564.71 | 1206.80 | 1295.40 | 1415.31 | 1434.08 | 1443.05 |
2023-08-20 | 1681.66 | 211.17 | 211.19 | 211.26 | 1500.49 | 1827.87 | 1918.25 | 1954.76 | 1962.71 |
2023-08-27 | 953.02 | 159.66 | 159.67 | 159.71 | 773.45 | 986.10 | 1015.95 | 1026.20 | 1032.29 |
2023-09-03 | 1775.85 | 606.99 | 607.05 | 607.23 | 1565.64 | 1940.70 | 2021.52 | 2061.92 | 2070.12 |
2023-09-10 | 2588.10 | 1019.33 | 1020.20 | 1022.59 | 2080.37 | 2907.75 | 2979.76 | 2995.89 | 3009.15 |
2023-09-17 | 3000.70 | 1391.42 | 1392.29 | 1394.73 | 2358.33 | 3401.07 | 3494.74 | 3522.64 | 3560.23 |
2023-09-24 | 3020.89 | 1248.74 | 1249.61 | 1252.05 | 2374.97 | 3420.36 | 3511.73 | 3541.30 | 3577.02 |
2023-10-01 | 3716.49 | 1778.97 | 1779.83 | 1782.30 | 2842.93 | 4279.64 | 4388.72 | 4444.26 | 4492.08 |
2023-10-08 | 3727.35 | 1563.25 | 1564.00 | 1566.31 | 2855.99 | 4286.58 | 4393.11 | 4447.43 | 4494.40 |