Prediction 4087
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | ParĂ¡ |
Description:
2022-23 Dengue Forecast for ParĂ¡
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 245.93 | 58.37 | 58.37 | 58.37 | 58.37 | 481.90 | 501.13 | 506.06 | 509.00 |
2022-10-16 | 303.07 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 591.87 | 714.75 | 722.03 | 726.80 |
2022-10-23 | 381.75 | 9.44 | 9.48 | 9.54 | 9.64 | 719.67 | 906.11 | 915.11 | 921.03 |
2022-10-30 | 418.28 | 15.84 | 15.89 | 15.96 | 16.09 | 804.26 | 993.00 | 1002.78 | 1009.23 |
2022-11-06 | 444.99 | 20.67 | 20.75 | 20.85 | 21.05 | 867.76 | 1057.70 | 1067.95 | 1074.81 |
2022-11-13 | 480.53 | 30.94 | 31.07 | 31.24 | 31.56 | 954.77 | 1146.98 | 1157.90 | 1165.46 |
2022-11-20 | 481.36 | 40.97 | 41.14 | 41.39 | 41.84 | 954.60 | 1145.71 | 1156.56 | 1164.01 |
2022-11-27 | 550.15 | 74.44 | 74.76 | 75.20 | 76.04 | 1125.03 | 1321.19 | 1333.70 | 1342.12 |
2022-12-04 | 546.39 | 81.03 | 81.41 | 81.91 | 82.89 | 1113.65 | 1308.52 | 1320.77 | 1329.19 |
2022-12-11 | 493.02 | 105.95 | 106.46 | 107.13 | 108.41 | 975.98 | 1164.29 | 1175.20 | 1182.45 |
2022-12-18 | 470.35 | 153.63 | 155.47 | 158.34 | 161.69 | 902.85 | 1086.70 | 1096.76 | 1103.34 |
2022-12-25 | 493.35 | 154.31 | 156.13 | 159.27 | 205.79 | 898.08 | 1080.52 | 1090.38 | 1096.84 |
2023-01-01 | 425.32 | 143.16 | 144.82 | 147.63 | 179.23 | 748.98 | 924.82 | 932.97 | 938.46 |
2023-01-08 | 534.70 | 132.27 | 133.74 | 136.18 | 357.58 | 600.85 | 768.09 | 774.72 | 778.97 |
2023-01-15 | 726.03 | 134.67 | 136.15 | 138.64 | 598.56 | 1051.44 | 1084.86 | 1098.72 | 1270.13 |
2023-01-22 | 714.19 | 134.05 | 135.49 | 137.97 | 589.51 | 1882.97 | 1918.68 | 1933.37 | 2113.91 |
2023-01-29 | 645.09 | 128.73 | 130.11 | 132.40 | 526.69 | 2485.28 | 2517.21 | 2530.27 | 2688.14 |
2023-02-05 | 497.47 | 116.38 | 117.56 | 119.51 | 367.56 | 2847.17 | 2870.20 | 2879.56 | 2988.75 |
2023-02-12 | 452.61 | 113.32 | 114.41 | 116.28 | 319.01 | 3341.82 | 3353.09 | 3357.69 | 3405.09 |
2023-02-19 | 420.05 | 110.83 | 111.88 | 113.67 | 283.77 | 3337.16 | 3339.87 | 3340.91 | 3344.39 |
2023-02-26 | 406.36 | 110.42 | 111.46 | 113.22 | 269.27 | 3273.95 | 3284.02 | 3289.66 | 3294.07 |
2023-03-05 | 379.07 | 108.38 | 109.40 | 111.11 | 239.72 | 2918.18 | 2938.16 | 2948.58 | 2956.36 |
2023-03-12 | 204.65 | 78.54 | 79.24 | 80.17 | 96.34 | 2075.07 | 2098.04 | 2110.16 | 2119.21 |
2023-03-19 | 53.91 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.65 | 4.99 | 1181.73 | 1202.11 | 1212.92 | 1221.01 |
2023-03-26 | 52.90 | 24.28 | 25.10 | 26.05 | 34.15 | 881.48 | 899.34 | 908.84 | 915.97 |
2023-04-02 | 82.52 | 46.50 | 46.54 | 46.63 | 60.76 | 894.86 | 911.05 | 919.65 | 926.14 |
2023-04-09 | 73.75 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 12.30 | 639.04 | 652.39 | 659.49 | 664.86 |
2023-04-16 | 36.90 | 3.20 | 3.30 | 3.42 | 4.45 | 291.32 | 301.22 | 306.50 | 310.48 |
2023-04-23 | 43.07 | 10.39 | 10.72 | 11.10 | 14.42 | 226.67 | 234.42 | 238.55 | 241.67 |
2023-04-30 | 40.13 | 1.21 | 1.23 | 1.27 | 1.48 | 162.33 | 168.23 | 171.37 | 173.75 |
2023-05-07 | 18.76 | 2.52 | 2.60 | 2.69 | 3.48 | 70.57 | 74.15 | 74.87 | 75.45 |
2023-05-14 | 17.07 | 6.88 | 7.09 | 7.33 | 9.47 | 47.02 | 76.18 | 77.01 | 77.55 |
2023-05-21 | 1.28 | 0.44 | 0.46 | 0.48 | 0.62 | 4.75 | 74.78 | 75.59 | 76.10 |
2023-05-28 | 0.86 | 0.49 | 0.50 | 0.52 | 0.64 | 1.06 | 73.99 | 74.76 | 75.27 |
2023-06-04 | 5.56 | 2.93 | 3.01 | 3.12 | 4.01 | 7.50 | 72.66 | 73.40 | 73.86 |
2023-06-11 | 4.04 | 2.36 | 2.41 | 2.49 | 3.10 | 5.39 | 73.70 | 74.44 | 74.93 |
2023-06-18 | 8.33 | 4.80 | 4.91 | 5.09 | 6.37 | 10.81 | 75.07 | 75.82 | 76.32 |
2023-06-25 | 4.23 | 2.68 | 2.75 | 2.84 | 3.55 | 5.16 | 76.18 | 76.94 | 77.43 |
2023-07-02 | 4.05 | 2.00 | 2.03 | 2.10 | 2.54 | 5.64 | 76.04 | 76.79 | 77.27 |
2023-07-09 | 1.08 | 0.54 | 0.55 | 0.57 | 0.69 | 1.51 | 76.12 | 76.85 | 77.32 |
2023-07-16 | 5.91 | 2.52 | 2.57 | 2.66 | 3.29 | 8.54 | 76.89 | 77.61 | 78.09 |
2023-07-23 | 7.31 | 3.31 | 3.40 | 3.52 | 4.51 | 10.11 | 77.44 | 78.15 | 78.64 |
2023-07-30 | 33.47 | 18.32 | 18.43 | 19.02 | 24.75 | 42.95 | 82.80 | 83.62 | 84.13 |
2023-08-06 | 47.15 | 15.23 | 15.30 | 15.34 | 15.41 | 55.98 | 86.68 | 87.54 | 88.07 |
2023-08-13 | 65.50 | 14.56 | 14.63 | 14.69 | 14.79 | 71.31 | 89.89 | 90.81 | 91.31 |
2023-08-20 | 60.91 | 5.34 | 5.36 | 5.38 | 5.46 | 63.62 | 91.40 | 92.35 | 92.87 |
2023-08-27 | 4.62 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.48 | 23.10 | 88.64 | 89.49 | 90.02 |
2023-09-03 | 16.27 | 12.67 | 12.72 | 12.77 | 12.95 | 35.90 | 91.15 | 92.02 | 92.55 |
2023-09-10 | 23.67 | 11.68 | 11.73 | 11.77 | 11.99 | 55.64 | 94.29 | 95.19 | 95.73 |
2023-09-17 | 44.56 | 13.62 | 13.64 | 13.66 | 21.91 | 77.67 | 97.84 | 98.82 | 99.34 |
2023-09-24 | 17.58 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 11.41 | 71.56 | 97.38 | 98.32 | 98.89 |
2023-10-01 | 1.62 | 1.43 | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.57 | 57.42 | 96.43 | 97.34 | 97.86 |
2023-10-08 | 6.90 | 6.42 | 6.45 | 6.71 | 6.74 | 68.10 | 98.63 | 99.56 | 100.09 |