Prediction 4088

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 Paraíba

Description:

2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Paraíba


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 373.71 370.02 370.31 370.63 371.29 424.03 536.27 538.54 538.98
2022-10-16 183.91 176.99 177.73 178.35 180.03 193.44 432.73 614.35 701.35
2022-10-23 228.72 107.82 113.15 118.26 222.45 253.01 521.52 746.79 852.64
2022-10-30 269.31 118.63 123.95 129.11 262.99 293.46 544.71 772.33 878.99
2022-11-06 355.97 131.68 137.00 142.23 349.31 380.53 595.13 839.94 953.90
2022-11-13 442.51 141.82 147.13 152.44 435.65 464.84 645.20 906.46 1027.86
2022-11-20 525.63 151.48 156.79 162.15 518.73 546.49 690.96 969.31 1097.60
2022-11-27 637.52 164.40 169.70 175.16 629.87 657.89 755.12 1058.04 1196.36
2022-12-04 754.33 178.28 183.58 189.13 746.13 774.28 822.42 1150.79 1299.42
2022-12-11 870.58 192.57 197.84 203.49 861.57 889.45 908.29 1242.72 1401.30
2022-12-18 977.65 206.44 211.71 217.44 963.99 995.56 1017.32 1326.84 1494.15
2022-12-25 1106.32 223.19 228.44 234.28 1091.99 1124.56 1147.71 1430.90 1609.17
2023-01-01 1174.59 234.02 239.22 245.13 1143.88 1193.34 1216.82 1482.21 1664.66
2023-01-08 1309.02 252.81 257.98 264.02 1237.06 1328.81 1353.08 1595.10 1790.28
2023-01-15 1466.76 275.25 280.36 286.54 1349.58 1487.26 1513.40 1731.79 1942.39
2023-01-22 1615.54 297.89 302.94 309.21 1459.21 1638.21 1664.54 1863.95 2089.10
2023-01-29 1758.59 321.31 326.28 332.63 1569.04 1782.15 1810.19 1995.41 2234.70
2023-02-05 1833.90 338.11 342.97 349.44 1635.55 1858.32 1887.14 2071.57 2318.00
2023-02-12 1978.02 364.64 369.37 376.06 1756.61 2003.95 2034.21 2215.56 2477.00
2023-02-19 2052.16 384.15 388.75 395.49 1833.37 2079.28 2110.31 2303.33 2572.72
2023-02-26 2240.69 420.43 425.03 431.79 2001.31 2271.04 2303.35 2503.80 2794.01
2023-03-05 2307.36 443.13 447.62 454.40 2087.34 2339.75 2372.56 2602.09 2900.65
2023-03-12 2328.80 458.16 462.54 469.39 2132.61 2362.00 2395.35 2653.35 2955.39
2023-03-19 2257.58 462.35 466.69 473.50 2116.56 2291.63 2324.15 2626.71 2922.21
2023-03-26 2119.13 455.37 459.70 466.37 2050.58 2154.17 2184.55 2540.04 2822.99
2023-04-02 1966.13 451.05 455.29 461.87 1948.88 2001.04 2030.15 2449.06 2717.81
2023-04-09 1987.69 473.83 477.98 484.66 1970.46 2026.30 2056.49 2533.97 2808.27
2023-04-16 1891.79 467.72 471.83 478.43 1877.89 1930.14 1960.00 2470.49 2735.80
2023-04-23 1675.13 447.69 451.76 458.18 1664.55 1713.82 1742.57 2300.95 2544.41
2023-04-30 1521.30 438.25 442.26 448.52 1511.59 1561.89 1651.85 2192.57 2420.76
2023-05-07 1454.22 440.75 444.67 450.90 1444.65 1495.94 1640.11 2170.40 2393.47
2023-05-14 1316.44 428.78 432.67 438.80 1307.48 1358.21 1568.57 2068.27 2277.83
2023-05-21 1185.69 417.96 421.81 427.83 1177.07 1226.77 1499.79 1969.70 2166.12
2023-05-28 1055.50 405.72 409.53 415.44 1046.85 1103.70 1426.96 1866.29 2049.32
2023-06-04 959.97 399.26 403.03 408.88 951.73 1008.26 1380.42 1798.57 1972.13
2023-06-11 826.45 383.58 387.35 393.07 818.73 872.68 1296.91 1682.01 1841.32
2023-06-18 667.43 360.68 364.50 370.04 660.33 710.81 1185.69 1529.20 1670.89
2023-06-25 529.81 340.40 344.24 349.64 523.26 570.82 1087.80 1394.88 1521.16
2023-07-02 426.65 325.90 329.76 335.05 420.52 465.80 1015.97 1295.88 1410.62
2023-07-09 349.98 316.21 320.03 325.28 344.15 387.67 965.08 1225.08 1331.25
2023-07-16 301.82 271.90 272.58 273.60 276.36 317.23 916.58 1157.81 1255.94
2023-07-23 199.21 171.12 171.74 172.73 175.30 297.38 836.82 1049.62 1135.91
2023-07-30 115.53 88.92 89.51 90.41 92.83 283.28 772.07 961.62 1038.19
2023-08-06 53.14 27.69 28.25 29.10 31.40 273.51 725.36 897.68 966.99
2023-08-13 11.19 0.73 0.81 0.93 1.25 267.92 695.60 856.23 920.42
2023-08-20 0.49 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 267.58 683.25 837.09 896.85
2023-08-27 0.48 0.47 0.47 0.47 0.47 266.37 673.52 822.56 879.05
2023-09-03 0.46 0.45 0.45 0.45 0.45 259.55 639.50 775.73 825.02
2023-09-10 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.43 0.43 250.22 596.19 716.88 759.99
2023-09-17 0.68 0.67 0.67 0.67 0.67 248.74 580.89 694.28 734.43
2023-09-24 1.07 1.04 1.04 1.04 1.05 253.29 587.44 700.05 739.74
2023-10-01 0.91 0.88 0.89 0.89 0.90 257.67 594.35 706.05 745.27
2023-10-08 0.41 0.40 0.40 0.40 0.40 256.91 585.97 693.61 731.15
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