Prediction 4090
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Pernambuco
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 363.72 | 357.08 | 357.09 | 357.09 | 358.45 | 364.65 | 369.41 | 369.82 | 371.32 |
2022-10-16 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.51 | 0.57 | 1.19 |
2022-10-23 | 17.12 | 4.32 | 4.36 | 4.46 | 16.95 | 18.26 | 25.09 | 25.22 | 27.47 |
2022-10-30 | 19.69 | 8.70 | 8.91 | 9.51 | 19.49 | 21.73 | 29.68 | 29.72 | 29.73 |
2022-11-06 | 21.98 | 9.57 | 9.79 | 10.43 | 21.74 | 24.45 | 35.09 | 35.13 | 35.15 |
2022-11-13 | 21.00 | 7.66 | 7.90 | 8.65 | 20.75 | 23.49 | 38.91 | 38.96 | 38.99 |
2022-11-20 | 13.16 | 1.84 | 2.12 | 3.26 | 13.07 | 14.36 | 36.86 | 36.91 | 36.94 |
2022-11-27 | 28.84 | 11.71 | 12.04 | 12.61 | 28.48 | 32.41 | 59.86 | 59.93 | 59.98 |
2022-12-04 | 32.65 | 13.41 | 13.75 | 14.38 | 32.25 | 36.60 | 73.85 | 73.95 | 74.00 |
2022-12-11 | 25.84 | 8.42 | 8.72 | 9.79 | 25.61 | 28.51 | 77.40 | 77.51 | 77.57 |
2022-12-18 | 23.56 | 6.74 | 7.04 | 8.26 | 23.40 | 25.69 | 85.90 | 86.02 | 86.08 |
2022-12-25 | 25.99 | 8.12 | 8.41 | 9.61 | 25.81 | 28.32 | 101.20 | 101.34 | 101.42 |
2023-01-01 | 32.47 | 11.67 | 11.98 | 13.12 | 32.22 | 35.54 | 124.89 | 125.06 | 125.15 |
2023-01-08 | 32.18 | 11.26 | 11.58 | 12.82 | 31.97 | 34.97 | 140.32 | 140.50 | 140.60 |
2023-01-15 | 43.91 | 17.26 | 17.66 | 18.91 | 43.56 | 48.01 | 180.16 | 180.38 | 180.50 |
2023-01-22 | 46.04 | 17.94 | 18.33 | 19.74 | 45.72 | 50.06 | 282.29 | 284.37 | 285.54 |
2023-01-29 | 41.92 | 15.45 | 15.83 | 17.40 | 41.69 | 45.02 | 725.49 | 729.35 | 731.47 |
2023-02-05 | 39.00 | 13.73 | 14.10 | 15.80 | 38.84 | 41.34 | 1147.51 | 1151.74 | 1154.04 |
2023-02-12 | 52.68 | 20.50 | 20.92 | 22.77 | 52.42 | 56.31 | 1698.97 | 1703.58 | 1706.10 |
2023-02-19 | 41.35 | 14.77 | 15.20 | 17.11 | 41.22 | 43.19 | 2166.00 | 2170.75 | 2173.48 |
2023-02-26 | 75.72 | 31.20 | 31.81 | 34.17 | 75.33 | 80.91 | 2817.36 | 2822.35 | 2825.09 |
2023-03-05 | 94.01 | 39.36 | 40.13 | 42.97 | 93.54 | 100.32 | 3527.72 | 3532.61 | 3535.35 |
2023-03-12 | 79.11 | 31.92 | 32.56 | 35.58 | 78.85 | 82.86 | 4065.70 | 4070.19 | 4072.75 |
2023-03-19 | 47.84 | 17.32 | 18.00 | 20.75 | 47.39 | 48.13 | 4199.74 | 4203.49 | 4205.55 |
2023-03-26 | 45.07 | 16.65 | 17.33 | 20.02 | 44.71 | 65.71 | 4241.65 | 4244.72 | 4246.41 |
2023-04-02 | 64.53 | 26.44 | 27.16 | 30.24 | 64.24 | 163.04 | 4132.31 | 4134.34 | 4135.57 |
2023-04-09 | 218.37 | 50.73 | 51.61 | 55.86 | 202.94 | 442.33 | 4235.02 | 4236.30 | 4237.04 |
2023-04-16 | 289.24 | 12.92 | 13.48 | 15.66 | 272.59 | 509.31 | 3959.08 | 3960.26 | 3960.90 |
2023-04-23 | 244.91 | 0.82 | 0.90 | 1.15 | 229.63 | 452.18 | 3281.33 | 3282.63 | 3283.40 |
2023-04-30 | 351.67 | 33.56 | 34.41 | 37.98 | 337.27 | 547.30 | 2732.70 | 2734.17 | 2735.20 |
2023-05-07 | 566.11 | 39.60 | 40.52 | 44.43 | 552.35 | 762.68 | 2491.68 | 2493.43 | 2494.60 |
2023-05-14 | 538.51 | 1.42 | 1.59 | 1.98 | 525.89 | 724.97 | 2007.50 | 2009.35 | 2010.58 |
2023-05-21 | 564.92 | 14.44 | 15.09 | 17.09 | 553.46 | 732.79 | 1503.94 | 1505.80 | 1506.96 |
2023-05-28 | 597.83 | 10.00 | 10.61 | 12.08 | 587.54 | 753.43 | 1126.98 | 1128.78 | 1129.88 |
2023-06-04 | 618.04 | 8.95 | 9.37 | 10.54 | 608.61 | 763.04 | 785.89 | 787.50 | 788.53 |
2023-06-11 | 591.21 | 3.52 | 3.92 | 4.54 | 472.19 | 601.11 | 730.03 | 733.31 | 735.60 |
2023-06-18 | 575.26 | 9.99 | 10.32 | 11.26 | 198.37 | 584.80 | 696.83 | 700.07 | 702.45 |
2023-06-25 | 612.06 | 11.55 | 11.91 | 12.94 | 39.57 | 619.87 | 721.70 | 724.91 | 727.36 |
2023-07-02 | 498.35 | 0.67 | 0.68 | 0.73 | 1.10 | 506.10 | 594.44 | 597.45 | 599.84 |
2023-07-09 | 440.47 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 8.12 | 448.73 | 520.55 | 523.40 | 525.76 |
2023-07-16 | 408.84 | 0.97 | 0.97 | 0.97 | 1.48 | 417.40 | 479.32 | 482.08 | 484.36 |
2023-07-23 | 338.90 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 2.91 | 348.07 | 397.37 | 399.99 | 402.21 |
2023-07-30 | 305.50 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 0.87 | 1.38 | 314.84 | 353.45 | 356.00 | 358.17 |
2023-08-06 | 252.23 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 0.83 | 3.26 | 262.69 | 290.38 | 292.88 | 294.98 |
2023-08-13 | 231.74 | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.32 | 9.91 | 243.19 | 259.25 | 261.73 | 263.78 |
2023-08-20 | 289.65 | 5.74 | 5.75 | 5.76 | 21.90 | 302.15 | 307.98 | 310.19 | 312.14 |
2023-08-27 | 233.88 | 0.77 | 0.77 | 0.77 | 7.66 | 244.11 | 248.58 | 250.62 | 251.91 |
2023-09-03 | 225.19 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 0.76 | 8.82 | 232.69 | 239.99 | 243.41 | 244.91 |
2023-09-10 | 266.18 | 11.64 | 11.65 | 11.66 | 34.20 | 281.03 | 290.55 | 294.33 | 295.26 |
2023-09-17 | 320.98 | 8.87 | 8.88 | 8.89 | 33.25 | 345.24 | 355.78 | 359.74 | 360.69 |
2023-09-24 | 407.38 | 12.51 | 12.52 | 12.53 | 38.91 | 441.17 | 453.54 | 457.68 | 458.63 |
2023-10-01 | 451.78 | 9.63 | 9.64 | 9.65 | 39.27 | 496.56 | 510.11 | 514.03 | 515.56 |
2023-10-08 | 531.83 | 16.68 | 16.69 | 16.71 | 49.72 | 588.83 | 604.09 | 607.74 | 609.78 |