Prediction 4091

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 Piauí

Description:

2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Piauí


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 316.68 132.12 132.68 185.99 307.59 335.43 340.48 342.52 344.12
2022-10-16 236.36 0.11 0.11 41.26 206.49 296.65 317.23 324.82 331.69
2022-10-23 202.50 0.10 0.10 1.78 164.81 273.19 296.23 304.34 311.91
2022-10-30 162.70 0.10 0.10 0.22 127.15 229.18 251.02 258.80 266.16
2022-11-06 103.96 0.09 0.09 0.21 70.97 164.13 184.44 191.92 199.18
2022-11-13 71.23 2.47 2.49 4.93 40.00 127.03 146.21 153.54 160.85
2022-11-20 148.96 10.08 10.10 21.03 115.52 206.77 227.98 235.76 243.78
2022-11-27 189.90 7.36 7.43 14.61 155.44 248.05 269.50 277.78 286.06
2022-12-04 211.31 4.83 4.93 8.70 176.61 267.58 290.14 298.63 306.74
2022-12-11 205.49 2.61 2.74 3.84 171.81 259.70 281.97 290.38 298.80
2022-12-18 282.51 14.05 14.13 28.21 248.12 336.65 360.23 369.45 379.04
2022-12-25 428.86 18.08 18.19 36.24 390.42 486.39 512.79 523.82 534.57
2023-01-01 392.31 0.66 0.68 1.04 355.77 445.84 471.58 482.78 492.85
2023-01-08 359.75 5.06 5.20 8.71 325.87 406.85 431.96 443.58 453.06
2023-01-15 397.81 7.60 7.76 13.38 363.28 442.42 467.54 479.90 489.24
2023-01-22 407.74 6.43 6.59 10.76 372.82 449.62 474.89 487.03 496.44
2023-01-29 420.91 4.10 4.24 6.34 386.09 460.41 485.67 497.86 507.64
2023-02-05 392.18 1.81 1.88 2.79 359.03 429.13 452.90 464.92 474.08
2023-02-12 415.97 7.99 8.17 13.57 383.26 450.06 474.00 486.08 495.11
2023-02-19 398.42 0.51 0.59 0.65 365.87 429.62 453.18 464.91 473.81
2023-02-26 396.61 7.61 7.80 12.61 365.27 425.38 447.66 459.78 467.92
2023-03-05 410.60 4.53 4.70 6.62 379.51 437.61 459.74 471.71 479.95
2023-03-12 387.40 0.68 0.72 0.80 357.85 413.02 434.21 445.63 453.21
2023-03-19 365.11 1.53 1.60 2.02 336.73 389.10 408.33 420.01 427.08
2023-03-26 305.05 1.00 1.04 1.25 278.62 326.80 343.40 354.21 361.30
2023-04-02 319.38 9.69 9.89 16.03 294.12 340.32 355.97 366.80 373.39
2023-04-09 345.92 6.40 6.53 19.66 320.51 366.67 381.83 393.04 399.84
2023-04-16 235.09 0.18 0.18 0.34 212.53 253.60 266.35 276.32 282.18
2023-04-23 128.41 0.16 0.17 0.31 108.48 144.16 155.58 163.31 169.78
2023-04-30 11.90 3.46 3.52 5.95 9.00 15.66 18.58 20.52 22.38
2023-05-07 65.45 23.93 24.28 42.82 58.26 71.60 77.93 82.01 85.44
2023-05-14 16.05 0.96 0.98 1.53 8.64 21.23 26.13 29.78 32.78
2023-05-21 0.24 0.09 0.10 0.17 0.23 0.24 0.24 0.25 0.25
2023-05-28 43.80 18.41 18.67 33.19 43.00 44.37 44.84 45.15 45.40
2023-06-04 55.05 23.73 24.07 42.39 54.06 55.73 56.35 56.68 56.97
2023-06-11 1.81 1.34 1.38 1.70 1.74 1.86 1.91 2.00 2.07
2023-06-18 0.27 0.11 0.12 0.21 0.27 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28
2023-06-25 0.20 0.09 0.09 0.16 0.20 0.21 0.21 0.21 0.21
2023-07-02 41.69 19.95 20.28 34.34 41.00 42.21 42.66 42.92 43.07
2023-07-09 16.94 9.17 9.34 15.11 16.63 17.18 17.37 17.51 17.59
2023-07-16 0.22 0.15 0.16 0.17 0.22 0.22 0.22 0.23 0.23
2023-07-23 0.21 0.10 0.10 0.17 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.22 0.22
2023-07-30 0.21 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.60 0.71 0.75
2023-08-06 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.20 0.21 0.28 0.78 0.84
2023-08-13 0.20 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.20 1.15 1.43 1.51
2023-08-20 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.19 0.20 0.80 0.86 0.88
2023-08-27 4.76 4.03 4.13 4.41 4.49 4.91 5.16 5.88 6.08
2023-09-03 3.65 3.21 3.23 3.25 3.31 3.80 5.39 5.87 6.06
2023-09-10 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 1.55 1.87 1.96
2023-09-17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 1.25 1.77 1.86
2023-09-24 0.18 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.19 1.72 2.10 2.20
2023-10-01 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 0.19 3.03 3.13 3.17
2023-10-08 0.18 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.18 0.18 1.21 1.87 1.96
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