Prediction 4092
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Rio de Janeiro
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 444.24 | 346.58 | 353.66 | 363.24 | 427.45 | 454.89 | 456.35 | 456.96 | 457.44 |
2022-10-16 | 341.77 | 207.82 | 217.54 | 230.69 | 318.77 | 356.33 | 358.36 | 359.19 | 359.86 |
2022-10-23 | 119.62 | 82.20 | 84.97 | 88.68 | 113.32 | 123.53 | 124.14 | 124.37 | 124.58 |
2022-10-30 | 180.07 | 132.42 | 135.96 | 140.77 | 172.12 | 184.89 | 185.69 | 186.00 | 186.28 |
2022-11-06 | 22.94 | 19.97 | 20.27 | 20.62 | 22.43 | 23.18 | 23.26 | 23.30 | 23.32 |
2022-11-13 | 0.98 | 0.70 | 0.72 | 0.75 | 0.94 | 1.01 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 |
2022-11-20 | 29.13 | 24.52 | 24.97 | 25.50 | 28.51 | 29.40 | 29.50 | 29.55 | 29.58 |
2022-11-27 | 18.55 | 17.58 | 17.78 | 17.95 | 18.50 | 18.62 | 18.65 | 18.66 | 18.68 |
2022-12-04 | 33.53 | 28.72 | 29.21 | 29.77 | 32.90 | 33.76 | 33.87 | 33.92 | 33.95 |
2022-12-11 | 107.11 | 83.54 | 85.49 | 87.96 | 103.37 | 109.18 | 109.62 | 109.79 | 109.94 |
2022-12-18 | 142.13 | 110.90 | 113.48 | 116.75 | 137.18 | 144.87 | 145.45 | 145.68 | 145.87 |
2022-12-25 | 75.93 | 63.71 | 64.89 | 66.27 | 74.23 | 76.68 | 76.95 | 77.06 | 77.15 |
2023-01-01 | 107.69 | 89.07 | 90.79 | 92.85 | 105.00 | 108.97 | 109.36 | 109.52 | 109.65 |
2023-01-08 | 166.14 | 135.43 | 138.16 | 141.49 | 161.54 | 168.43 | 169.08 | 169.32 | 169.52 |
2023-01-15 | 46.09 | 39.50 | 40.17 | 40.93 | 45.22 | 46.44 | 46.59 | 46.66 | 46.70 |
2023-01-22 | 27.92 | 24.36 | 24.74 | 25.17 | 27.48 | 28.06 | 28.16 | 28.19 | 28.22 |
2023-01-29 | 319.06 | 258.06 | 263.41 | 269.83 | 309.79 | 323.83 | 325.07 | 325.54 | 325.94 |
2023-02-05 | 70.86 | 65.39 | 66.23 | 67.03 | 70.62 | 71.10 | 71.76 | 73.66 | 76.03 |
2023-02-12 | 49.86 | 43.12 | 43.82 | 44.61 | 48.98 | 50.19 | 50.36 | 50.42 | 50.47 |
2023-02-19 | 504.58 | 216.03 | 219.83 | 224.25 | 418.65 | 546.44 | 562.79 | 570.22 | 576.18 |
2023-02-26 | 257.71 | 1.63 | 1.67 | 1.71 | 169.49 | 299.76 | 316.01 | 323.00 | 328.19 |
2023-03-05 | 36.84 | 34.62 | 35.03 | 35.37 | 36.65 | 37.98 | 40.29 | 41.18 | 41.89 |
2023-03-12 | 502.87 | 273.07 | 283.48 | 292.65 | 441.92 | 530.03 | 544.53 | 550.34 | 554.83 |
2023-03-19 | 922.91 | 412.30 | 456.99 | 492.70 | 829.55 | 961.56 | 980.07 | 987.17 | 992.82 |
2023-03-26 | 603.90 | 172.50 | 209.96 | 239.52 | 523.80 | 635.08 | 652.09 | 658.63 | 663.58 |
2023-04-02 | 1003.97 | 544.87 | 587.28 | 619.94 | 922.30 | 1034.51 | 1052.63 | 1059.21 | 1064.66 |
2023-04-09 | 722.04 | 324.06 | 360.42 | 390.01 | 650.91 | 748.32 | 765.42 | 771.60 | 776.67 |
2023-04-16 | 292.59 | 10.54 | 22.51 | 45.65 | 239.03 | 312.86 | 328.62 | 333.90 | 338.75 |
2023-04-23 | 326.79 | 68.53 | 81.20 | 98.85 | 279.22 | 345.38 | 361.58 | 366.36 | 370.96 |
2023-04-30 | 453.30 | 180.45 | 206.88 | 227.82 | 407.29 | 470.89 | 487.24 | 492.07 | 496.47 |
2023-05-07 | 114.15 | 16.63 | 23.65 | 29.36 | 92.55 | 123.05 | 131.77 | 134.37 | 136.78 |
2023-05-14 | 1.74 | 1.69 | 1.69 | 1.70 | 1.72 | 1.75 | 1.93 | 1.99 | 2.03 |
2023-05-21 | 64.00 | 60.98 | 61.59 | 62.10 | 63.86 | 64.17 | 64.27 | 64.30 | 64.34 |
2023-05-28 | 1.61 | 1.40 | 1.42 | 1.45 | 1.59 | 1.63 | 1.63 | 1.63 | 1.63 |
2023-06-04 | 115.44 | 105.02 | 106.36 | 107.70 | 114.41 | 115.84 | 116.19 | 116.29 | 116.38 |
2023-06-11 | 204.84 | 183.70 | 186.20 | 188.86 | 202.51 | 205.65 | 206.28 | 206.47 | 206.65 |
2023-06-18 | 1.66 | 1.46 | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.64 | 1.67 | 1.68 | 1.68 | 1.68 |
2023-06-25 | 7.70 | 7.54 | 7.55 | 7.56 | 7.58 | 7.97 | 8.52 | 8.54 | 8.55 |
2023-07-02 | 1.47 | 1.30 | 1.32 | 1.34 | 1.45 | 1.48 | 1.48 | 1.48 | 1.49 |
2023-07-09 | 35.85 | 34.56 | 34.86 | 35.13 | 35.72 | 35.96 | 36.01 | 36.04 | 36.06 |
2023-07-16 | 1.36 | 1.21 | 1.23 | 1.25 | 1.34 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.37 |
2023-07-23 | 138.47 | 127.36 | 128.89 | 130.41 | 137.59 | 138.83 | 139.19 | 139.31 | 139.41 |
2023-07-30 | 14.52 | 13.60 | 13.74 | 13.88 | 14.48 | 14.56 | 14.59 | 14.60 | 14.61 |
2023-08-06 | 26.87 | 25.17 | 25.44 | 25.70 | 26.79 | 26.94 | 26.99 | 27.01 | 27.03 |
2023-08-13 | 237.84 | 218.00 | 220.64 | 223.31 | 236.13 | 238.45 | 239.14 | 239.33 | 239.50 |
2023-08-20 | 15.14 | 14.20 | 14.35 | 14.49 | 15.10 | 15.18 | 15.20 | 15.21 | 15.23 |
2023-08-27 | 116.58 | 107.78 | 109.03 | 110.27 | 115.96 | 116.88 | 117.16 | 117.25 | 117.33 |
2023-09-03 | 280.05 | 258.28 | 261.31 | 264.34 | 278.41 | 280.78 | 281.48 | 281.71 | 281.90 |
2023-09-10 | 134.01 | 127.26 | 128.57 | 129.64 | 133.71 | 134.34 | 134.51 | 134.58 | 134.63 |
2023-09-17 | 42.58 | 42.23 | 42.26 | 42.29 | 42.39 | 42.94 | 43.09 | 43.13 | 43.17 |
2023-09-24 | 28.01 | 27.75 | 27.82 | 27.85 | 27.90 | 28.17 | 28.27 | 28.30 | 28.32 |
2023-10-01 | 23.63 | 23.43 | 23.45 | 23.47 | 23.52 | 23.83 | 23.91 | 23.94 | 23.96 |
2023-10-08 | 1.20 | 1.11 | 1.13 | 1.14 | 1.19 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.21 | 1.21 |