Prediction 4094

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 Rio Grande do Sul

Description:

2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Rio Grande do Sul


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 174.87 88.59 91.66 102.85 149.19 210.64 234.31 269.34 297.16
2022-10-16 26.48 0.07 0.08 0.59 16.21 40.88 51.12 66.39 78.42
2022-10-23 47.09 11.05 13.56 18.87 37.11 61.22 70.41 84.70 95.31
2022-10-30 63.76 18.68 21.92 28.78 51.69 80.55 91.05 107.80 120.90
2022-11-06 18.64 6.71 7.60 9.48 15.72 22.73 26.80 29.31 44.71
2022-11-13 56.49 21.75 22.68 27.49 46.26 71.18 178.47 179.00 243.92
2022-11-20 86.58 42.39 46.65 60.39 74.43 149.48 426.70 469.95 560.34
2022-11-27 21.17 11.49 14.01 15.36 17.43 151.58 423.34 461.88 549.41
2022-12-04 105.38 50.68 63.25 70.52 84.67 298.64 638.28 713.56 832.36
2022-12-11 295.78 95.54 119.46 133.40 200.57 635.84 1154.12 1314.15 1507.65
2022-12-18 444.62 61.38 75.72 83.86 327.27 791.57 1382.59 1571.56 1790.91
2022-12-25 1167.15 220.34 307.36 502.87 790.03 1524.31 2328.42 2647.60 2986.28
2023-01-01 1854.67 410.70 611.21 878.92 1341.08 2342.76 3208.87 3643.84 4077.28
2023-01-08 2601.27 905.22 997.65 1200.22 2002.47 3309.82 4231.94 4795.71 5326.21
2023-01-15 3303.34 1218.95 1343.86 1563.34 2534.30 4118.55 5090.13 5755.71 6354.49
2023-01-22 4094.90 1525.70 1855.53 2014.40 3316.13 5135.82 6176.62 6969.51 7651.81
2023-01-29 5499.26 2006.36 2434.04 2795.13 4449.86 6739.23 7907.24 8906.13 9729.64
2023-02-05 7682.76 2794.92 3360.28 3907.05 6231.91 9281.70 10650.02 11972.25 13014.74
2023-02-12 9292.25 3434.20 4112.43 4778.94 7618.24 11229.61 12678.33 14216.29 15385.53
2023-02-19 10972.79 4120.98 4889.72 5679.36 9131.22 13231.10 14764.23 16522.63 17863.11
2023-02-26 10651.02 4077.82 4844.15 5608.57 8916.43 12767.63 14206.34 15851.19 17089.40
2023-03-05 13604.16 5443.51 6220.80 7250.84 11559.14 16223.84 17804.21 19790.40 21291.37
2023-03-12 19960.30 8316.17 9153.49 10680.18 17150.56 23717.63 25648.87 28407.64 30485.31
2023-03-19 20828.95 8829.59 9689.24 11278.77 17909.96 24633.60 26556.55 29343.62 31391.93
2023-03-26 23293.26 10110.28 11050.74 12820.07 20046.64 27307.89 29263.42 32192.96 34215.20
2023-04-02 25187.05 11068.34 12072.90 13981.13 21779.02 29396.29 31409.55 34477.53 36530.83
2023-04-09 18015.69 7856.58 8832.60 10189.14 15668.94 20969.31 22559.97 24700.24 26093.77
2023-04-16 13202.98 5872.25 6675.57 7661.16 11610.13 15300.52 16603.04 18110.68 19048.77
2023-04-23 18341.40 8272.14 9247.46 10618.30 16029.06 21137.24 22680.69 24699.09 25910.24
2023-04-30 19265.54 8724.35 9745.25 11184.49 16852.99 22158.84 23746.11 25835.58 27071.64
2023-05-07 11366.05 5142.96 5920.89 6726.07 9994.35 13013.56 14189.23 15394.88 16090.10
2023-05-14 7125.69 3364.27 3870.52 4368.95 6160.99 8116.91 9050.53 9754.79 10181.79
2023-05-21 8076.42 3805.12 4369.50 4935.23 7033.04 9145.57 10148.03 10929.63 11392.61
2023-05-28 5005.68 2505.79 2868.32 3216.45 4369.19 5717.80 6530.95 6976.62 7281.82
2023-06-04 1754.84 689.48 999.37 1232.36 1504.55 2027.07 2641.07 2726.73 2832.75
2023-06-11 3206.83 1734.13 1934.66 2074.72 2762.86 3620.42 4345.18 4582.10 4777.14
2023-06-18 6410.33 3122.07 3577.35 4024.19 5578.35 7280.99 8153.33 8730.14 9096.44
2023-06-25 7810.48 3731.66 4276.87 4823.36 6813.79 8829.90 9801.47 10522.37 10956.53
2023-07-02 1970.25 1022.10 1205.96 1360.90 1679.18 2213.08 2875.27 2975.64 3086.22
2023-07-09 0.34 0.22 0.26 0.27 0.30 61.02 68.03 82.42 88.10
2023-07-16 766.09 409.14 432.45 480.77 685.58 861.29 959.35 1021.41 1064.14
2023-07-23 4601.64 2363.25 2695.59 3013.24 4035.27 5217.63 5999.83 6370.77 6640.13
2023-07-30 1525.67 625.13 853.76 1071.95 1307.57 1839.79 2376.04 2427.28 2522.41
2023-08-06 2808.44 1575.77 1678.73 1820.37 2410.07 3143.69 3841.57 4019.92 4179.11
2023-08-13 1937.97 854.64 1161.09 1356.28 1655.62 2189.34 2831.27 2920.68 3032.85
2023-08-20 301.38 0.63 76.25 140.17 242.96 579.45 723.55 736.13 736.47
2023-08-27 1963.41 1160.93 1224.59 1314.42 1677.26 2169.44 2701.92 2799.63 2900.47
2023-09-03 1439.67 435.63 788.72 1033.66 1243.73 1761.76 2267.40 2305.72 2392.28
2023-09-10 2085.85 990.82 1270.51 1431.16 1787.90 2323.36 2990.87 3090.81 3203.69
2023-09-17 2004.05 916.50 1221.31 1393.48 1714.86 2247.37 2899.81 2991.24 3105.13
2023-09-24 2091.57 991.73 1276.57 1437.42 1794.65 2327.51 2994.41 3092.23 3206.52
2023-10-01 2867.33 1615.09 1713.49 1881.84 2472.63 3202.53 3898.90 4073.05 4231.72
2023-10-08 1900.09 833.50 1148.81 1351.23 1635.20 2162.52 2781.15 2858.09 2973.35
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