Prediction 4095
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Rondônia |
Description:
2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Rondônia
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 44.84 | 37.28 | 37.28 | 37.28 | 37.29 | 152.22 | 173.86 | 174.25 | 174.40 |
2022-10-16 | 8.53 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 284.06 | 323.33 | 324.91 | 325.82 |
2022-10-23 | 14.87 | 0.55 | 0.56 | 0.57 | 0.59 | 380.63 | 435.71 | 437.59 | 438.61 |
2022-10-30 | 15.31 | 2.33 | 2.34 | 2.35 | 2.38 | 430.13 | 491.72 | 493.74 | 494.79 |
2022-11-06 | 13.05 | 2.08 | 2.08 | 2.09 | 2.11 | 432.57 | 493.29 | 495.30 | 496.33 |
2022-11-13 | 10.06 | 1.70 | 1.70 | 1.71 | 1.73 | 404.73 | 459.95 | 461.84 | 462.80 |
2022-11-20 | 23.59 | 3.79 | 3.80 | 3.83 | 3.89 | 425.52 | 481.80 | 483.74 | 484.74 |
2022-11-27 | 30.63 | 5.32 | 5.34 | 5.38 | 5.46 | 497.05 | 562.60 | 564.75 | 565.78 |
2022-12-04 | 30.77 | 6.24 | 6.27 | 6.31 | 6.41 | 525.35 | 593.15 | 595.38 | 596.38 |
2022-12-11 | 28.92 | 7.24 | 7.28 | 7.32 | 7.43 | 520.91 | 586.55 | 588.73 | 589.74 |
2022-12-18 | 85.45 | 11.46 | 11.51 | 11.59 | 11.75 | 555.74 | 623.58 | 625.85 | 626.88 |
2022-12-25 | 194.26 | 15.66 | 15.73 | 15.82 | 16.03 | 599.75 | 671.38 | 673.81 | 674.81 |
2023-01-01 | 264.94 | 16.22 | 16.29 | 16.37 | 16.58 | 585.19 | 653.11 | 655.53 | 656.54 |
2023-01-08 | 411.73 | 28.55 | 28.67 | 28.81 | 29.14 | 629.45 | 699.79 | 702.44 | 703.40 |
2023-01-15 | 592.24 | 41.91 | 42.07 | 42.25 | 42.69 | 695.76 | 771.85 | 774.68 | 775.68 |
2023-01-22 | 764.67 | 52.09 | 52.26 | 52.44 | 52.88 | 793.81 | 831.63 | 834.58 | 835.66 |
2023-01-29 | 793.86 | 89.92 | 91.17 | 92.60 | 96.51 | 981.91 | 988.75 | 991.83 | 994.21 |
2023-02-05 | 800.10 | 220.68 | 222.84 | 225.32 | 231.29 | 1150.11 | 1157.89 | 1161.40 | 1164.02 |
2023-02-12 | 829.87 | 390.66 | 392.89 | 395.27 | 401.05 | 1364.33 | 1373.16 | 1377.12 | 1380.01 |
2023-02-19 | 870.60 | 542.75 | 544.69 | 546.57 | 551.25 | 1568.16 | 1577.79 | 1582.10 | 1585.24 |
2023-02-26 | 840.32 | 615.98 | 617.15 | 618.24 | 620.88 | 1665.21 | 1674.93 | 1679.24 | 1682.52 |
2023-03-05 | 887.05 | 698.64 | 698.83 | 699.06 | 699.59 | 1890.52 | 1900.61 | 1905.09 | 1908.68 |
2023-03-12 | 941.88 | 706.68 | 707.14 | 707.68 | 708.95 | 2094.76 | 2104.83 | 2109.21 | 2112.68 |
2023-03-19 | 951.25 | 646.20 | 647.13 | 648.26 | 650.82 | 2176.32 | 2185.59 | 2189.62 | 2192.64 |
2023-03-26 | 964.93 | 527.02 | 528.22 | 529.74 | 533.19 | 2238.31 | 2246.33 | 2249.83 | 2252.46 |
2023-04-02 | 1058.41 | 425.20 | 426.61 | 428.08 | 431.76 | 2412.03 | 2419.14 | 2422.15 | 2424.36 |
2023-04-09 | 1081.95 | 312.41 | 313.59 | 314.82 | 318.05 | 2411.47 | 2417.68 | 2419.94 | 2422.12 |
2023-04-16 | 1062.69 | 186.26 | 187.03 | 188.06 | 190.50 | 2288.07 | 2293.13 | 2295.05 | 2296.89 |
2023-04-23 | 1138.62 | 113.02 | 113.60 | 114.31 | 116.06 | 2226.48 | 2231.39 | 2233.54 | 2235.03 |
2023-04-30 | 1238.33 | 77.94 | 78.39 | 78.91 | 80.16 | 2211.78 | 2217.34 | 2219.79 | 2221.74 |
2023-05-07 | 1199.65 | 24.75 | 25.01 | 25.30 | 26.04 | 2007.78 | 2014.42 | 2017.62 | 2019.85 |
2023-05-14 | 1153.56 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 1705.82 | 1713.38 | 1716.90 | 1719.24 |
2023-05-21 | 1176.33 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.01 | 1.04 | 1523.19 | 1531.66 | 1535.49 | 1538.28 |
2023-05-28 | 1004.03 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 1154.81 | 1162.69 | 1166.31 | 1168.85 |
2023-06-04 | 829.10 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 838.50 | 843.55 | 845.91 | 847.77 |
2023-06-11 | 628.58 | 3.92 | 3.93 | 3.94 | 3.98 | 715.93 | 739.15 | 741.79 | 743.67 |
2023-06-18 | 493.24 | 2.54 | 2.55 | 2.55 | 2.57 | 646.07 | 675.61 | 677.98 | 679.53 |
2023-06-25 | 400.17 | 3.24 | 3.25 | 3.26 | 3.28 | 604.76 | 639.29 | 641.32 | 642.76 |
2023-07-02 | 283.16 | 1.54 | 1.54 | 1.55 | 1.56 | 519.95 | 559.99 | 561.62 | 562.79 |
2023-07-09 | 207.31 | 2.98 | 2.99 | 3.00 | 3.03 | 471.71 | 515.92 | 517.34 | 518.41 |
2023-07-16 | 154.73 | 8.61 | 8.62 | 8.63 | 8.67 | 443.92 | 492.00 | 493.34 | 494.23 |
2023-07-23 | 113.47 | 2.34 | 2.34 | 2.35 | 2.36 | 424.59 | 475.48 | 476.72 | 477.60 |
2023-07-30 | 44.15 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.44 | 360.19 | 414.73 | 415.70 | 416.45 |
2023-08-06 | 8.16 | 1.60 | 1.88 | 2.25 | 3.51 | 322.28 | 379.98 | 380.87 | 381.57 |
2023-08-13 | 16.34 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 334.58 | 396.33 | 397.27 | 397.95 |
2023-08-20 | 1.29 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 284.68 | 347.67 | 348.62 | 349.17 |
2023-08-27 | 23.75 | 8.35 | 8.36 | 8.38 | 8.43 | 199.61 | 265.74 | 266.67 | 267.29 |
2023-09-03 | 23.24 | 4.68 | 4.69 | 4.70 | 4.73 | 246.35 | 315.94 | 316.90 | 317.63 |
2023-09-10 | 8.81 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 237.70 | 308.94 | 309.91 | 310.58 |
2023-09-17 | 2.08 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 211.20 | 284.85 | 285.92 | 286.59 |
2023-09-24 | 0.92 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 162.58 | 238.17 | 239.35 | 240.11 |
2023-10-01 | 0.20 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 110.80 | 187.61 | 188.91 | 189.84 |
2023-10-08 | 0.19 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 46.87 | 123.69 | 125.20 | 126.21 |