Prediction 4096
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Roraima |
Description:
2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Roraima
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 16.95 | 11.31 | 11.31 | 11.31 | 11.31 | 17.06 | 17.13 | 17.17 | 17.20 |
2022-10-16 | 4.73 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 4.84 | 4.91 | 4.95 | 4.98 |
2022-10-23 | 3.23 | 2.52 | 2.53 | 2.54 | 2.56 | 3.26 | 3.29 | 3.30 | 3.31 |
2022-10-30 | 0.92 | 0.90 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 3.66 | 3.69 | 3.71 | 3.72 |
2022-11-06 | 0.27 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 5.15 | 5.20 | 5.23 | 5.25 |
2022-11-13 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 6.78 | 6.86 | 6.89 | 6.93 |
2022-11-20 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 8.24 | 8.34 | 8.38 | 8.42 |
2022-11-27 | 0.77 | 0.73 | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.75 | 15.10 | 15.28 | 15.35 | 15.43 |
2022-12-04 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.32 | 20.63 | 20.87 | 20.97 | 21.08 |
2022-12-11 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 25.54 | 26.11 | 26.37 | 26.77 |
2022-12-18 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 75.31 | 78.07 | 79.18 | 80.47 |
2022-12-25 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 161.86 | 165.29 | 166.65 | 168.24 |
2023-01-01 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 257.95 | 261.73 | 263.18 | 264.92 |
2023-01-08 | 0.38 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.36 | 347.69 | 351.16 | 352.51 | 354.03 |
2023-01-15 | 0.59 | 0.55 | 0.55 | 0.56 | 0.57 | 403.22 | 405.61 | 406.52 | 407.27 |
2023-01-22 | 0.88 | 0.81 | 0.82 | 0.83 | 0.85 | 411.31 | 413.38 | 414.33 | 415.14 |
2023-01-29 | 1.77 | 1.69 | 1.70 | 1.72 | 1.74 | 382.79 | 385.81 | 387.20 | 388.32 |
2023-02-05 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 282.84 | 286.63 | 288.42 | 289.80 |
2023-02-12 | 0.54 | 0.50 | 0.51 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 161.90 | 165.18 | 166.66 | 167.93 |
2023-02-19 | 1.94 | 1.84 | 1.86 | 1.87 | 1.90 | 104.89 | 107.49 | 108.63 | 109.64 |
2023-02-26 | 0.27 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 58.17 | 59.96 | 60.75 | 61.46 |
2023-03-05 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 20.33 | 21.43 | 21.91 | 22.36 |
2023-03-12 | 0.75 | 0.68 | 0.70 | 0.71 | 0.73 | 0.84 | 1.05 | 1.14 | 1.24 |
2023-03-19 | 1.12 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 1.16 | 1.19 | 1.21 | 1.22 |
2023-03-26 | 0.14 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.18 |
2023-04-02 | 0.10 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.13 |
2023-04-09 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
2023-04-16 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
2023-04-23 | 1.06 | 1.00 | 1.01 | 1.02 | 1.03 | 6.11 | 6.13 | 6.14 | 6.15 |
2023-04-30 | 1.75 | 1.66 | 1.67 | 1.69 | 1.72 | 7.83 | 7.85 | 7.86 | 7.86 |
2023-05-07 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
2023-05-14 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
2023-05-21 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 4.18 | 4.20 | 4.21 | 4.22 |
2023-05-28 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.56 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 |
2023-06-04 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 2.01 | 2.02 | 2.03 | 2.03 |
2023-06-11 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.16 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 |
2023-06-18 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 |
2023-06-25 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 |
2023-07-02 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 2.82 | 2.83 | 2.84 | 2.84 |
2023-07-09 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.90 | 0.91 | 0.91 | 0.91 |
2023-07-16 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.66 |
2023-07-23 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 3.08 | 3.09 | 3.09 | 3.10 |
2023-07-30 | 0.28 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 7.30 | 7.32 | 7.32 | 7.33 |
2023-08-06 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
2023-08-13 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 6.22 | 6.22 | 6.23 | 6.23 |
2023-08-20 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 7.01 | 7.01 | 7.01 | 7.01 |
2023-08-27 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.37 |
2023-09-03 | 0.49 | 0.44 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 0.47 | 17.65 | 17.98 | 18.09 | 18.19 |
2023-09-10 | 0.95 | 0.86 | 0.88 | 0.89 | 0.91 | 53.51 | 53.91 | 54.04 | 54.17 |
2023-09-17 | 0.22 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 63.42 | 63.68 | 63.77 | 63.85 |
2023-09-24 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 35.06 | 35.19 | 35.24 | 35.27 |
2023-10-01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 31.59 | 31.66 | 31.69 | 31.71 |
2023-10-08 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 39.73 | 39.94 | 40.02 | 40.09 |