Prediction 4097

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 Santa Catarina

Description:

2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Santa Catarina


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 1405.99 930.00 947.18 995.86 1150.22 1788.40 2756.81 2774.20 2785.88
2022-10-16 2593.17 1316.31 1362.42 1496.81 1917.79 3612.79 6202.39 6256.21 6287.42
2022-10-23 2982.96 1515.54 1568.56 1723.79 2209.10 4152.12 7109.74 7170.74 7206.90
2022-10-30 4200.82 2156.58 2230.56 2448.83 3128.58 5822.16 9898.39 9984.21 10035.14
2022-11-06 4304.12 2231.55 2306.70 2529.03 3220.05 5942.32 10038.33 10124.71 10177.07
2022-11-13 4466.06 2346.49 2423.56 2652.59 3362.35 6122.49 10221.79 10307.55 10362.01
2022-11-20 5449.25 2891.44 2984.66 3263.15 4123.49 7433.62 12309.19 12412.77 12477.89
2022-11-27 5407.79 2892.60 2984.37 3259.21 4106.86 7349.89 12094.86 12195.97 12259.30
2022-12-04 5989.81 3243.03 3343.55 3646.06 4576.25 8090.54 13172.83 13282.04 13349.01
2022-12-11 7667.55 4189.83 4317.34 4703.10 5885.83 10309.50 16652.16 16785.79 16871.33
2022-12-18 8338.25 4605.21 4742.35 5159.06 6433.41 11152.33 17846.88 17988.11 18077.57
2022-12-25 11761.85 6572.31 6763.04 7347.31 9127.95 15640.59 24770.30 24962.57 25083.48
2023-01-01 14316.15 8106.60 8334.51 9039.45 11180.82 18911.52 29593.20 29818.09 29955.86
2023-01-08 16498.46 9490.63 9747.36 10550.51 12981.13 21619.02 33347.87 33591.95 33741.72
2023-01-15 18705.72 10917.32 11202.12 12102.67 14818.56 24331.99 37015.83 37276.48 37437.40
2023-01-22 20501.52 12138.88 12444.05 13419.58 16351.35 26474.60 39705.07 39976.83 40139.62
2023-01-29 24795.64 14883.23 15244.24 16410.83 19904.50 31795.83 47023.59 47332.25 47517.44
2023-02-05 26777.87 16298.01 16678.86 17923.19 21636.51 34090.14 49687.85 49996.69 50187.37
2023-02-12 29646.62 18304.22 18715.45 20074.86 24116.40 37458.51 53766.61 54081.92 54280.57
2023-02-19 38703.55 24211.90 24736.22 26489.04 31678.55 48555.38 68693.16 69080.86 69316.58
2023-02-26 35867.80 22639.94 23117.77 24727.06 29472.05 44776.21 62729.19 63081.32 63279.36
2023-03-05 37995.87 24521.96 25006.63 26671.37 31526.39 46865.13 64107.01 64444.98 64619.60
2023-03-12 53487.49 35019.80 35682.58 37989.19 44664.87 65409.20 87890.47 88332.04 88541.92
2023-03-19 61033.36 40639.92 41369.62 43949.10 51348.58 73908.89 97505.05 97959.74 98176.06
2023-03-26 62104.21 42170.20 42880.40 45440.06 52705.16 74402.40 96296.58 96700.81 96884.81
2023-04-02 66658.28 45927.50 46663.73 49357.27 56939.34 79112.86 100230.52 100600.05 100760.03
2023-04-09 54117.34 37683.72 38265.83 40419.22 46444.95 63832.96 79776.87 80039.15 80163.24
2023-04-16 42566.75 30073.98 30514.73 32172.91 36768.88 49782.30 61135.20 61301.20 61390.19
2023-04-23 48300.03 34698.90 35176.74 37014.72 42035.81 55931.90 67295.18 67452.90 67534.47
2023-04-30 54766.99 39629.60 40160.79 42222.59 47822.16 63148.93 75368.40 75531.90 75616.79
2023-05-07 41387.19 30143.20 30537.06 32078.77 36245.65 47536.71 56243.78 56356.43 56406.87
2023-05-14 33311.63 24510.38 24817.63 26037.81 29309.07 38040.93 44427.84 44522.05 44555.61
2023-05-21 32912.95 24472.87 24766.50 25950.91 29098.10 37352.53 43067.91 43150.33 43180.33
2023-05-28 26987.79 20140.58 20378.54 21343.10 23899.07 30564.47 35065.15 35134.58 35161.03
2023-06-04 18657.93 14025.58 14186.21 14843.85 16577.21 21038.29 23912.28 23952.38 23975.07
2023-06-11 24332.50 18376.98 18583.15 19434.02 21665.78 27360.89 30942.44 30992.64 31022.37
2023-06-18 28452.69 21564.46 21802.75 22791.38 25375.69 31926.92 35963.90 36021.91 36055.28
2023-06-25 28592.84 21732.94 21970.08 22958.12 25534.35 32029.39 35959.91 36012.89 36047.87
2023-07-02 14571.10 11138.87 11257.32 11754.30 13045.80 16267.74 18099.56 18123.65 18144.34
2023-07-09 8191.81 6325.64 6389.75 6662.64 7367.04 9090.55 9957.20 9966.63 9982.53
2023-07-16 10198.75 7882.74 7962.21 8301.74 9176.09 11313.04 12396.76 12407.86 12427.39
2023-07-23 18949.01 14606.16 14755.37 15391.45 17029.90 21055.03 23222.58 23247.36 23277.03
2023-07-30 12552.76 9710.76 9808.28 10225.82 11299.17 13918.89 15254.22 15266.68 15290.10
2023-08-06 14244.33 11050.21 11159.69 11630.93 12838.47 15769.37 17236.95 17251.32 17277.29
2023-08-13 13642.26 10597.59 10701.90 11151.81 12303.37 15089.67 16464.45 16478.58 16502.76
2023-08-20 9192.20 7178.85 7247.67 7546.72 8309.52 10130.22 10956.96 10967.25 10984.12
2023-08-27 10216.44 7996.78 8072.53 8403.44 9245.06 11245.05 12141.39 12153.31 12171.12
2023-09-03 15358.32 12002.94 12117.55 12617.63 13889.43 16927.67 18353.32 18369.03 18395.87
2023-09-10 18589.92 14557.38 14694.96 15297.96 16827.65 20468.35 22161.39 22180.38 22212.27
2023-09-17 18564.70 14574.95 14710.88 15309.60 16824.44 20409.35 22033.45 22054.31 22085.37
2023-09-24 16404.71 12962.46 13079.18 13600.30 14910.28 17964.19 19242.80 19265.37 19293.18
2023-10-01 20175.05 16009.80 16150.49 16785.44 18373.14 22041.18 23518.58 23549.84 23579.96
2023-10-08 16796.94 13386.83 13501.60 14024.53 15326.47 18300.94 19412.81 19447.18 19466.41
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