Prediction 4098

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 São Paulo

Description:

2022-23 Dengue Forecast for São Paulo


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 2446.40 2386.82 2387.14 2390.61 2395.21 3514.72 3774.78 3777.15 3819.84
2022-10-16 4559.01 4198.35 4204.81 4220.13 4338.60 6097.12 7147.86 7850.98 8129.88
2022-10-23 5133.55 4692.46 4698.76 4718.53 4869.16 7054.07 8089.70 8931.48 9256.74
2022-10-30 8391.49 7438.53 7448.20 7489.82 7808.10 12897.08 13210.22 14762.80 15158.17
2022-11-06 8563.55 7597.66 7607.31 7649.49 7971.85 13159.53 13394.81 14965.83 15362.13
2022-11-13 7458.25 6684.58 6692.77 6726.57 6986.22 11093.13 11546.75 12851.45 13205.29
2022-11-20 7499.10 6738.91 6746.67 6780.31 7035.08 11100.22 11481.15 12766.82 13100.45
2022-11-27 7539.72 6783.39 6790.98 6824.77 7077.93 11136.85 11483.82 12764.43 13089.35
2022-12-04 7966.64 7154.85 7163.06 7199.79 7470.38 11857.50 12064.07 13416.02 13743.46
2022-12-11 9150.75 8165.05 8173.67 8218.06 8545.56 13947.40 14040.73 15415.82 15800.43
2022-12-18 10750.27 9529.34 9539.33 9596.24 9996.91 16767.63 16865.19 18112.29 18568.44
2022-12-25 11873.22 10494.84 10505.42 10571.04 11021.57 18534.38 18797.70 19941.90 20431.72
2023-01-01 13021.42 11481.08 11492.10 11566.55 12068.45 20298.24 20782.92 21835.55 22352.64
2023-01-08 14995.38 13178.58 13192.39 13279.71 13870.79 23270.95 24158.77 25028.59 25563.86
2023-01-15 16494.30 14470.12 14484.95 14583.35 15240.27 25502.32 26698.35 27446.02 28012.46
2023-01-22 15195.95 13386.22 13399.85 13487.58 14075.29 23298.80 24249.94 25031.95 25560.80
2023-01-29 18608.11 16322.54 16339.59 16449.47 17187.72 28399.64 30031.93 30554.65 31153.40
2023-02-05 18766.98 16478.22 16495.22 16606.02 17343.77 28490.79 30138.57 30633.93 31225.30
2023-02-12 18563.47 16330.08 16346.04 16455.05 17174.90 27980.83 29564.50 30054.47 30631.46
2023-02-19 22216.29 19482.44 19501.21 19635.11 20514.51 33374.48 35623.72 35876.31 36486.90
2023-02-26 19331.35 17032.77 17048.65 17160.57 17901.53 28810.21 30466.25 30902.83 31466.16
2023-03-05 16725.30 14831.07 14844.46 14935.14 15548.08 24617.16 25719.46 26323.75 26836.85
2023-03-12 20797.59 18350.84 18368.23 18486.49 19275.99 30573.48 32366.01 32737.53 33300.68
2023-03-19 24720.05 21740.09 21761.55 21906.06 22866.00 36327.40 38764.80 38932.07 39552.34
2023-03-26 21608.70 19087.99 19105.53 19227.67 20041.86 31484.95 33280.60 33663.99 34230.16
2023-04-02 23113.09 20425.40 20444.17 20575.34 21442.99 33409.59 35321.11 35680.92 36260.21
2023-04-09 21005.06 18622.45 18638.28 18754.60 19524.91 30177.46 31669.40 32172.34 32716.77
2023-04-16 16477.12 14740.02 14752.15 14838.37 15400.42 23303.22 23933.24 24762.17 25186.54
2023-04-23 16063.49 14406.32 14417.29 14500.99 15037.39 22517.98 22983.75 23898.63 24287.40
2023-04-30 17007.26 15234.13 15245.63 15336.22 15909.45 23809.43 24371.34 25258.05 25668.94
2023-05-07 13600.75 12297.42 12306.53 12372.22 12796.31 18651.41 18730.60 19846.74 20165.46
2023-05-14 10153.75 9323.40 9330.65 9372.46 9644.87 12973.85 13355.09 14336.92 14557.35
2023-05-21 10269.36 9433.02 9440.14 9482.33 9756.72 13048.88 13458.84 14428.02 14644.67
2023-05-28 6012.28 5742.91 5747.58 5762.33 5852.26 6444.88 7432.02 7740.24 7894.42
2023-06-04 7707.43 7221.95 7227.29 7251.97 7413.84 8881.64 9787.84 10322.52 10489.27
2023-06-11 12947.84 11771.88 11780.57 11839.75 12221.64 17138.10 17214.10 18446.96 18723.56
2023-06-18 11266.53 10316.59 10324.04 10372.38 10683.14 14418.46 14744.85 15803.60 16031.33
2023-06-25 9712.69 8974.45 8981.02 9018.26 9261.39 11872.99 12522.15 13314.89 13518.38
2023-07-02 5671.37 5560.06 5564.64 5577.46 5620.22 6159.30 6980.64 7193.53 7346.95
2023-07-09 7180.66 6788.08 6793.08 6814.00 6945.14 7772.14 8901.32 9282.05 9440.46
2023-07-16 7153.40 6766.48 6771.42 6792.13 6921.41 7706.13 8849.69 9219.74 9379.43
2023-07-23 7729.22 7272.99 7278.12 7301.86 7454.01 8537.60 9616.00 10048.86 10202.60
2023-07-30 7181.38 6798.52 6803.32 6824.01 6951.94 7683.27 8840.08 9191.15 9352.46
2023-08-06 4929.15 4112.65 4115.41 4142.27 4881.37 5228.21 5735.63 5831.26 5929.55
2023-08-13 7942.44 7471.67 7476.91 7501.65 7658.26 8722.39 9829.11 10249.04 10407.07
2023-08-20 5903.71 5669.39 5672.47 5701.03 5802.16 6380.78 7149.64 7318.80 7454.08
2023-08-27 3506.25 2008.61 2009.86 2021.35 3425.72 3543.66 3559.11 3592.61 3612.22
2023-09-03 8854.79 8279.42 8284.93 8313.98 8505.38 9997.56 11010.36 11519.54 11681.04
2023-09-10 12266.72 11264.00 11271.77 11323.69 11650.67 15115.90 15656.33 16606.86 16824.49
2023-09-17 12733.53 11680.63 11688.49 11744.71 12086.27 15722.01 16239.69 17224.89 17447.71
2023-09-24 10132.87 9422.29 9428.12 9466.57 9699.67 11641.19 12596.55 13172.14 13356.15
2023-10-01 14905.66 13618.66 13627.50 13696.88 14112.80 18574.81 18961.88 20115.97 20341.75
2023-10-08 14407.78 13193.81 13202.58 13268.04 13660.55 17700.80 18219.78 19256.24 19498.26
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