Prediction 4099
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Sergipe |
Description:
2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Sergipe
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 138.26 | 116.18 | 116.18 | 116.18 | 123.58 | 146.27 | 166.72 | 169.24 | 170.22 |
2022-10-16 | 27.32 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 4.70 | 37.60 | 63.97 | 67.23 | 68.45 |
2022-10-23 | 25.15 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 20.66 | 28.46 | 36.85 | 37.92 | 38.11 |
2022-10-30 | 7.17 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 6.11 | 7.35 | 15.77 | 15.80 | 15.82 |
2022-11-06 | 8.85 | 2.57 | 2.58 | 2.58 | 7.92 | 9.06 | 19.25 | 19.29 | 19.33 |
2022-11-13 | 9.36 | 2.33 | 2.34 | 2.34 | 9.07 | 19.21 | 21.68 | 28.67 | 30.69 |
2022-11-20 | 1.11 | 0.95 | 1.00 | 1.02 | 1.07 | 6.08 | 11.69 | 14.24 | 15.93 |
2022-11-27 | 18.43 | 3.20 | 3.21 | 3.22 | 18.01 | 34.11 | 36.21 | 45.43 | 48.55 |
2022-12-04 | 22.26 | 4.05 | 4.06 | 4.07 | 21.75 | 42.42 | 83.77 | 92.87 | 97.10 |
2022-12-11 | 9.07 | 3.42 | 3.43 | 3.44 | 8.62 | 39.31 | 99.56 | 108.43 | 112.86 |
2022-12-18 | 15.69 | 4.59 | 4.60 | 4.62 | 11.79 | 105.84 | 111.06 | 118.07 | 121.82 |
2022-12-25 | 45.02 | 5.83 | 5.85 | 5.87 | 24.10 | 139.17 | 205.65 | 206.98 | 207.98 |
2023-01-01 | 76.30 | 7.91 | 7.93 | 7.96 | 56.27 | 165.37 | 315.03 | 316.70 | 317.96 |
2023-01-08 | 120.55 | 10.52 | 10.54 | 10.58 | 101.12 | 204.78 | 451.93 | 454.01 | 455.55 |
2023-01-15 | 167.99 | 13.69 | 13.73 | 13.78 | 149.22 | 245.92 | 605.53 | 608.07 | 609.98 |
2023-01-22 | 204.21 | 16.70 | 16.75 | 16.81 | 186.36 | 271.09 | 748.76 | 751.76 | 753.97 |
2023-01-29 | 248.39 | 21.51 | 21.58 | 21.66 | 231.19 | 303.51 | 909.56 | 913.00 | 915.55 |
2023-02-05 | 270.94 | 24.68 | 24.76 | 24.85 | 255.47 | 312.91 | 1030.11 | 1033.84 | 1036.56 |
2023-02-12 | 332.94 | 37.96 | 38.06 | 38.20 | 318.95 | 362.79 | 1221.87 | 1225.98 | 1228.95 |
2023-02-19 | 405.91 | 49.93 | 50.07 | 50.24 | 392.87 | 422.81 | 1425.99 | 1430.43 | 1433.61 |
2023-02-26 | 490.76 | 66.25 | 66.42 | 66.63 | 479.93 | 503.37 | 1647.91 | 1652.43 | 1655.86 |
2023-03-05 | 562.09 | 140.01 | 141.71 | 143.89 | 542.61 | 573.57 | 1814.94 | 1819.42 | 1822.56 |
2023-03-12 | 608.60 | 308.86 | 311.04 | 313.81 | 573.08 | 626.00 | 1890.84 | 1894.74 | 1897.39 |
2023-03-19 | 670.11 | 499.66 | 501.96 | 504.90 | 612.27 | 693.48 | 1950.80 | 1954.14 | 1956.33 |
2023-03-26 | 663.07 | 569.14 | 579.02 | 584.69 | 595.39 | 688.18 | 1875.15 | 1877.95 | 1879.83 |
2023-04-02 | 465.94 | 367.07 | 376.71 | 393.96 | 449.37 | 490.23 | 1400.44 | 1402.19 | 1403.34 |
2023-04-09 | 323.54 | 205.92 | 214.44 | 229.74 | 291.01 | 354.08 | 1023.34 | 1024.46 | 1025.37 |
2023-04-16 | 245.90 | 126.28 | 134.11 | 148.91 | 212.65 | 309.13 | 823.09 | 824.09 | 824.85 |
2023-04-23 | 145.29 | 31.33 | 37.82 | 50.07 | 112.41 | 221.70 | 600.98 | 601.96 | 602.69 |
2023-04-30 | 62.37 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 29.82 | 148.83 | 425.36 | 426.36 | 427.02 |
2023-05-07 | 15.67 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.51 | 110.81 | 316.79 | 317.82 | 318.52 |
2023-05-14 | 0.24 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 43.35 | 185.14 | 186.10 | 186.76 |
2023-05-21 | 0.22 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 7.09 | 98.73 | 99.66 | 100.26 |
2023-05-28 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.28 | 35.44 | 36.33 | 36.89 |
2023-06-04 | 0.18 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.27 |
2023-06-11 | 0.16 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 |
2023-06-18 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.22 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 0.23 |
2023-06-25 | 0.13 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.22 |
2023-07-02 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
2023-07-09 | 0.11 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
2023-07-16 | 0.10 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.19 |
2023-07-23 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 |
2023-07-30 | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.18 |
2023-08-06 | 0.07 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 |
2023-08-13 | 0.07 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.35 |
2023-08-20 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 2.56 | 2.56 | 2.56 |
2023-08-27 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 0.09 | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.06 |
2023-09-03 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 1.93 | 1.93 | 1.93 |
2023-09-10 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.61 | 0.61 | 0.61 |
2023-09-17 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 5.32 | 5.32 | 5.32 |
2023-09-24 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 6.79 | 6.79 | 6.79 |
2023-10-01 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.08 | 8.46 | 8.47 | 8.47 |
2023-10-08 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 9.48 | 9.48 | 9.48 |