Prediction 4100
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
2022-23 Dengue Forecast for Tocantins
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 96.72 | 96.20 | 96.36 | 96.44 | 96.56 | 144.80 | 203.95 | 205.25 | 205.37 |
2022-10-16 | 31.74 | 25.14 | 31.28 | 31.40 | 31.55 | 144.16 | 299.33 | 303.76 | 304.16 |
2022-10-23 | 39.74 | 10.23 | 39.27 | 39.41 | 39.56 | 170.55 | 333.22 | 337.90 | 338.33 |
2022-10-30 | 59.87 | 8.36 | 57.50 | 58.19 | 58.93 | 198.44 | 363.58 | 368.45 | 368.90 |
2022-11-06 | 151.03 | 2.71 | 107.20 | 146.66 | 148.71 | 203.87 | 362.38 | 367.22 | 367.69 |
2022-11-13 | 274.44 | 1.60 | 104.83 | 210.43 | 270.45 | 277.50 | 360.43 | 365.25 | 365.73 |
2022-11-20 | 432.31 | 6.23 | 107.91 | 222.97 | 370.24 | 436.54 | 439.11 | 440.59 | 441.95 |
2022-11-27 | 675.94 | 12.01 | 142.18 | 267.44 | 422.68 | 681.66 | 685.21 | 687.31 | 689.17 |
2022-12-04 | 831.57 | 3.08 | 138.66 | 269.52 | 418.03 | 838.51 | 842.86 | 845.31 | 847.66 |
2022-12-11 | 979.21 | 5.43 | 101.01 | 239.09 | 362.51 | 987.29 | 992.33 | 995.23 | 997.94 |
2022-12-18 | 1296.05 | 9.60 | 124.95 | 274.62 | 398.70 | 1306.33 | 1312.54 | 1316.16 | 1319.49 |
2022-12-25 | 1482.77 | 1.59 | 120.81 | 275.74 | 392.56 | 1494.28 | 1501.27 | 1505.42 | 1508.90 |
2023-01-01 | 1468.74 | 0.15 | 76.45 | 233.27 | 326.09 | 1480.13 | 1487.04 | 1491.22 | 1494.56 |
2023-01-08 | 1629.10 | 4.04 | 50.00 | 213.04 | 286.08 | 1641.06 | 1648.38 | 1652.71 | 1656.27 |
2023-01-15 | 1876.75 | 7.89 | 70.59 | 243.96 | 316.17 | 1889.47 | 1897.29 | 1901.88 | 1905.41 |
2023-01-22 | 1869.68 | 0.15 | 55.71 | 229.83 | 293.55 | 1881.96 | 1889.47 | 1893.87 | 1897.00 |
2023-01-29 | 1882.73 | 3.07 | 33.90 | 212.72 | 259.93 | 1893.70 | 1900.46 | 1904.43 | 1907.18 |
2023-02-05 | 1864.51 | 0.30 | 24.46 | 205.78 | 245.18 | 1874.52 | 1880.79 | 1884.41 | 1886.98 |
2023-02-12 | 1860.72 | 5.63 | 22.13 | 211.13 | 240.14 | 1868.91 | 1873.92 | 1877.05 | 1879.39 |
2023-02-19 | 1768.73 | 0.45 | 14.97 | 198.83 | 219.81 | 1775.78 | 1780.25 | 1782.92 | 1784.81 |
2023-02-26 | 1287.00 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 91.18 | 100.71 | 1291.53 | 1294.37 | 1296.05 | 1297.33 |
2023-03-05 | 1270.91 | 16.77 | 21.58 | 105.92 | 120.19 | 1273.90 | 1275.91 | 1277.06 | 1278.06 |
2023-03-12 | 1411.92 | 13.92 | 17.17 | 174.75 | 183.45 | 1414.35 | 1416.12 | 1417.13 | 1418.04 |
2023-03-19 | 1247.52 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 141.16 | 157.69 | 1249.23 | 1250.63 | 1251.44 | 1252.32 |
2023-03-26 | 969.56 | 6.14 | 7.39 | 82.25 | 113.30 | 970.83 | 971.87 | 972.49 | 973.29 |
2023-04-02 | 1124.45 | 26.84 | 34.94 | 186.57 | 212.62 | 1126.50 | 1128.11 | 1129.05 | 1130.08 |
2023-04-09 | 1046.83 | 4.02 | 17.93 | 189.49 | 220.60 | 1049.13 | 1050.88 | 1051.92 | 1052.93 |
2023-04-16 | 727.87 | 0.50 | 0.74 | 96.03 | 142.31 | 730.25 | 731.98 | 733.08 | 733.97 |
2023-04-23 | 616.25 | 10.00 | 12.05 | 101.59 | 156.74 | 619.01 | 620.88 | 622.12 | 623.01 |
2023-04-30 | 626.24 | 15.00 | 19.64 | 157.88 | 215.79 | 629.42 | 631.74 | 633.15 | 634.29 |
2023-05-07 | 590.36 | 5.96 | 21.71 | 176.21 | 239.79 | 593.67 | 596.04 | 597.50 | 598.64 |
2023-05-14 | 413.73 | 0.14 | 0.96 | 115.43 | 186.93 | 416.66 | 418.81 | 420.10 | 421.12 |
2023-05-21 | 258.91 | 7.05 | 8.41 | 66.81 | 148.22 | 261.49 | 263.38 | 264.49 | 265.34 |
2023-05-28 | 245.24 | 7.59 | 8.61 | 96.72 | 184.85 | 247.88 | 249.81 | 250.91 | 251.82 |
2023-06-04 | 194.02 | 1.75 | 3.36 | 89.32 | 184.40 | 196.51 | 198.32 | 199.36 | 200.24 |
2023-06-11 | 152.95 | 2.88 | 4.89 | 94.81 | 150.22 | 155.59 | 197.29 | 199.55 | 200.84 |
2023-06-18 | 105.97 | 0.17 | 0.50 | 89.73 | 103.42 | 108.46 | 196.36 | 198.59 | 199.85 |
2023-06-25 | 51.43 | 0.16 | 1.15 | 47.54 | 49.40 | 72.16 | 187.83 | 189.94 | 191.09 |
2023-07-02 | 13.40 | 0.16 | 2.01 | 10.52 | 11.77 | 67.02 | 190.35 | 192.43 | 193.52 |
2023-07-09 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 61.70 | 190.72 | 192.80 | 193.87 |
2023-07-16 | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 | 54.75 | 190.43 | 192.44 | 193.52 |
2023-07-23 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 46.57 | 188.38 | 190.33 | 191.39 |
2023-07-30 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 38.15 | 187.07 | 188.99 | 189.97 |
2023-08-06 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 34.87 | 190.44 | 192.34 | 193.27 |
2023-08-13 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 48.38 | 215.69 | 217.67 | 218.62 |
2023-08-20 | 0.36 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 73.24 | 253.58 | 255.59 | 256.63 |
2023-08-27 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 83.07 | 275.37 | 277.44 | 278.38 |
2023-09-03 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 92.39 | 297.90 | 299.97 | 300.89 |
2023-09-10 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 107.73 | 329.14 | 331.17 | 332.13 |
2023-09-17 | 0.12 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.12 | 115.45 | 351.80 | 353.82 | 354.78 |
2023-09-24 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 124.06 | 376.66 | 378.67 | 379.66 |
2023-10-01 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 146.37 | 420.74 | 422.78 | 423.82 |
2023-10-08 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 145.49 | 430.29 | 432.25 | 433.27 |