Prediction 4102
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Alagoas
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 331.80 | 330.56 | 330.58 | 330.60 | 331.17 | 403.75 | 642.93 | 677.91 | 687.57 |
2024-10-13 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 192.53 | 670.59 | 675.00 | 680.07 |
2024-10-20 | 8.25 | 7.12 | 7.13 | 7.16 | 7.81 | 319.90 | 800.57 | 812.89 | 821.29 |
2024-10-27 | 24.75 | 23.21 | 23.23 | 23.27 | 24.16 | 369.69 | 825.41 | 841.20 | 848.48 |
2024-11-03 | 27.03 | 24.76 | 24.79 | 24.85 | 26.13 | 492.32 | 929.19 | 954.20 | 960.69 |
2024-11-10 | 19.77 | 18.46 | 18.48 | 18.52 | 19.33 | 526.90 | 934.39 | 962.97 | 969.16 |
2024-11-17 | 29.57 | 27.33 | 27.37 | 27.43 | 28.76 | 614.70 | 995.20 | 1032.45 | 1038.72 |
2024-11-24 | 36.58 | 33.98 | 34.03 | 34.10 | 35.67 | 735.01 | 1085.84 | 1137.67 | 1144.78 |
2024-12-01 | 29.62 | 28.24 | 28.28 | 28.34 | 29.16 | 790.61 | 1109.76 | 1168.75 | 1176.22 |
2024-12-08 | 30.46 | 29.39 | 29.42 | 29.48 | 30.05 | 835.25 | 1122.76 | 1185.97 | 1194.77 |
2024-12-15 | 45.20 | 43.28 | 43.33 | 43.42 | 44.55 | 925.75 | 1180.67 | 1252.50 | 1264.77 |
2024-12-22 | 34.27 | 33.15 | 33.26 | 33.48 | 33.71 | 978.62 | 1207.88 | 1284.27 | 1298.33 |
2024-12-29 | 71.81 | 39.07 | 39.13 | 39.20 | 51.64 | 1009.93 | 1207.38 | 1286.18 | 1301.05 |
2025-01-05 | 187.00 | 112.15 | 113.43 | 115.51 | 159.76 | 1112.04 | 1276.13 | 1364.70 | 1383.31 |
2025-01-12 | 279.82 | 207.66 | 209.09 | 211.19 | 255.15 | 1158.37 | 1295.21 | 1387.73 | 1408.82 |
2025-01-19 | 401.20 | 330.82 | 332.37 | 334.77 | 378.24 | 1240.91 | 1347.79 | 1447.76 | 1470.61 |
2025-01-26 | 516.34 | 449.33 | 450.90 | 453.45 | 494.53 | 1298.27 | 1377.93 | 1483.01 | 1507.12 |
2025-02-02 | 699.73 | 634.05 | 635.76 | 638.52 | 678.46 | 1444.81 | 1487.92 | 1606.88 | 1634.61 |
2025-02-09 | 870.43 | 809.37 | 811.38 | 814.34 | 848.74 | 1551.48 | 1570.69 | 1696.28 | 1724.65 |
2025-02-16 | 998.96 | 946.32 | 948.17 | 951.27 | 978.13 | 1584.71 | 1611.09 | 1720.07 | 1749.69 |
2025-02-23 | 1135.36 | 1089.57 | 1091.62 | 1094.31 | 1110.16 | 1624.72 | 1666.96 | 1762.77 | 1793.93 |
2025-03-02 | 1160.57 | 1116.29 | 1122.13 | 1126.61 | 1136.19 | 1569.83 | 1611.88 | 1702.18 | 1732.30 |
2025-03-09 | 1317.84 | 1266.43 | 1270.52 | 1282.79 | 1297.43 | 1627.88 | 1673.06 | 1750.57 | 1782.47 |
2025-03-16 | 1366.67 | 1309.91 | 1315.39 | 1323.82 | 1352.20 | 1615.11 | 1658.96 | 1734.96 | 1766.70 |
2025-03-23 | 1440.53 | 1376.44 | 1381.09 | 1388.68 | 1429.38 | 1622.16 | 1664.13 | 1736.35 | 1768.61 |
2025-03-30 | 1485.10 | 1411.63 | 1418.08 | 1424.16 | 1472.07 | 1619.23 | 1660.09 | 1732.89 | 1765.27 |
2025-04-06 | 1610.40 | 1524.80 | 1530.68 | 1537.88 | 1592.70 | 1703.88 | 1745.43 | 1816.53 | 1851.01 |
2025-04-13 | 1688.14 | 1592.96 | 1599.33 | 1608.84 | 1667.77 | 1762.97 | 1804.82 | 1877.43 | 1913.39 |
2025-04-20 | 1597.39 | 1499.00 | 1507.27 | 1515.70 | 1575.29 | 1659.86 | 1697.77 | 1781.78 | 1814.82 |
2025-04-27 | 1502.76 | 1396.71 | 1405.28 | 1416.36 | 1475.47 | 1557.19 | 1590.01 | 1686.36 | 1717.16 |
2025-05-04 | 1461.67 | 1349.08 | 1359.31 | 1372.01 | 1431.02 | 1529.91 | 1550.92 | 1657.90 | 1687.75 |
2025-05-11 | 1436.72 | 1318.28 | 1333.21 | 1345.61 | 1402.67 | 1531.68 | 1546.59 | 1669.30 | 1698.53 |
2025-05-18 | 1342.28 | 1225.91 | 1243.23 | 1255.09 | 1308.90 | 1453.18 | 1483.07 | 1600.65 | 1628.69 |
2025-05-25 | 1091.66 | 986.42 | 1004.39 | 1015.71 | 1061.62 | 1219.59 | 1289.45 | 1384.16 | 1407.28 |
2025-06-01 | 930.64 | 833.09 | 850.72 | 861.86 | 901.80 | 1072.55 | 1171.68 | 1252.20 | 1271.54 |
2025-06-08 | 824.79 | 733.35 | 751.06 | 761.15 | 797.17 | 982.72 | 1102.68 | 1174.57 | 1190.66 |
2025-06-15 | 707.44 | 623.26 | 640.53 | 649.59 | 681.50 | 878.25 | 1019.56 | 1081.33 | 1094.90 |
2025-06-22 | 611.17 | 533.47 | 550.16 | 558.43 | 587.00 | 793.66 | 952.99 | 1006.57 | 1018.19 |
2025-06-29 | 518.84 | 447.19 | 463.19 | 470.96 | 496.34 | 710.19 | 886.46 | 931.94 | 941.25 |
2025-07-06 | 445.83 | 379.33 | 394.65 | 402.13 | 424.95 | 645.26 | 835.68 | 874.85 | 883.05 |
2025-07-13 | 374.88 | 313.54 | 327.91 | 335.17 | 356.03 | 580.12 | 783.85 | 816.79 | 822.97 |
2025-07-20 | 294.38 | 238.38 | 251.64 | 258.66 | 276.85 | 501.08 | 718.57 | 743.66 | 747.87 |
2025-07-27 | 243.21 | 190.94 | 203.55 | 210.36 | 226.90 | 453.07 | 680.84 | 699.87 | 703.92 |
2025-08-03 | 196.43 | 147.26 | 159.42 | 166.16 | 181.03 | 408.35 | 645.54 | 660.22 | 663.19 |
2025-08-10 | 150.65 | 104.32 | 116.05 | 122.64 | 136.16 | 363.04 | 608.71 | 619.18 | 621.84 |
2025-08-17 | 72.09 | 30.16 | 40.80 | 46.92 | 59.08 | 277.13 | 532.67 | 537.11 | 539.04 |
2025-08-24 | 13.32 | 0.39 | 0.63 | 1.70 | 5.83 | 210.66 | 472.48 | 475.74 | 477.06 |
2025-08-31 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 170.18 | 437.20 | 440.19 | 441.82 |
2025-09-07 | 3.42 | 3.33 | 3.35 | 3.36 | 3.38 | 147.69 | 420.18 | 423.40 | 425.20 |
2025-09-14 | 13.44 | 13.06 | 13.16 | 13.21 | 13.28 | 178.89 | 454.96 | 458.29 | 459.75 |
2025-09-21 | 8.38 | 8.08 | 8.14 | 8.16 | 8.20 | 207.47 | 486.69 | 490.43 | 491.56 |
2025-09-28 | 3.78 | 3.66 | 3.68 | 3.69 | 3.71 | 191.63 | 475.02 | 479.32 | 480.23 |