Prediction 4103
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Amapá |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Amapá
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 36.08 | 35.80 | 35.84 | 35.89 | 35.97 | 134.42 | 213.88 | 331.60 | 357.80 |
2024-10-13 | 6.32 | 5.97 | 6.01 | 6.08 | 6.18 | 257.54 | 443.23 | 735.31 | 796.87 |
2024-10-20 | 9.11 | 8.84 | 8.88 | 8.92 | 9.00 | 273.19 | 462.25 | 763.31 | 826.02 |
2024-10-27 | 10.95 | 10.60 | 10.67 | 10.71 | 10.81 | 285.30 | 475.63 | 779.72 | 842.22 |
2024-11-03 | 10.23 | 9.87 | 9.92 | 9.97 | 10.08 | 289.88 | 479.83 | 783.02 | 844.82 |
2024-11-10 | 14.01 | 13.52 | 13.59 | 13.66 | 13.80 | 305.59 | 498.37 | 807.86 | 869.79 |
2024-11-17 | 13.03 | 12.54 | 12.61 | 12.68 | 12.83 | 312.50 | 505.74 | 816.03 | 877.57 |
2024-11-24 | 22.66 | 18.13 | 18.67 | 19.33 | 20.59 | 317.56 | 510.81 | 820.06 | 880.62 |
2024-12-01 | 43.82 | 36.01 | 37.37 | 38.46 | 40.70 | 311.67 | 501.13 | 801.68 | 860.27 |
2024-12-08 | 90.09 | 80.43 | 82.28 | 83.51 | 86.29 | 330.14 | 523.14 | 830.87 | 889.74 |
2024-12-15 | 136.45 | 124.13 | 126.89 | 128.63 | 132.08 | 347.69 | 545.03 | 861.80 | 921.62 |
2024-12-22 | 154.60 | 140.67 | 144.16 | 146.07 | 149.94 | 334.90 | 525.71 | 828.60 | 885.63 |
2024-12-29 | 176.87 | 161.84 | 165.63 | 167.66 | 171.86 | 319.60 | 502.08 | 787.53 | 840.93 |
2025-01-05 | 204.24 | 182.20 | 191.45 | 194.21 | 198.87 | 311.30 | 488.05 | 761.63 | 812.36 |
2025-01-12 | 248.49 | 190.68 | 232.66 | 237.18 | 242.54 | 321.71 | 499.29 | 774.20 | 824.18 |
2025-01-19 | 280.88 | 195.23 | 261.59 | 269.27 | 274.85 | 327.28 | 505.25 | 780.84 | 830.46 |
2025-01-26 | 288.68 | 183.36 | 259.48 | 276.46 | 282.43 | 316.86 | 482.45 | 742.64 | 789.35 |
2025-02-02 | 330.41 | 188.49 | 264.79 | 316.12 | 323.84 | 352.34 | 487.82 | 745.91 | 791.42 |
2025-02-09 | 356.06 | 190.37 | 266.61 | 339.96 | 349.25 | 375.85 | 489.37 | 745.98 | 790.86 |
2025-02-16 | 389.97 | 196.85 | 273.52 | 370.53 | 383.07 | 407.96 | 496.90 | 752.68 | 796.65 |
2025-02-23 | 407.30 | 198.83 | 275.41 | 374.50 | 400.52 | 421.59 | 498.50 | 752.50 | 795.81 |
2025-03-02 | 399.81 | 189.50 | 263.21 | 358.79 | 393.57 | 412.20 | 480.54 | 722.22 | 763.17 |
2025-03-09 | 405.70 | 186.36 | 258.34 | 353.25 | 399.70 | 411.20 | 472.37 | 706.29 | 745.55 |
2025-03-16 | 405.58 | 185.49 | 256.41 | 351.13 | 400.51 | 411.00 | 468.32 | 696.03 | 733.73 |
2025-03-23 | 406.94 | 186.74 | 257.21 | 351.99 | 402.58 | 412.20 | 468.19 | 692.61 | 729.38 |
2025-03-30 | 391.80 | 181.18 | 249.76 | 343.69 | 387.48 | 397.11 | 456.72 | 672.45 | 707.52 |
2025-04-06 | 394.89 | 189.78 | 259.26 | 353.94 | 391.66 | 401.67 | 467.44 | 683.60 | 717.95 |
2025-04-13 | 391.74 | 193.58 | 263.18 | 358.26 | 388.81 | 398.93 | 471.56 | 687.43 | 721.30 |
2025-04-20 | 376.58 | 195.85 | 265.00 | 360.13 | 374.35 | 383.01 | 471.07 | 684.00 | 716.74 |
2025-04-27 | 357.93 | 194.70 | 263.05 | 352.76 | 356.31 | 362.74 | 466.61 | 676.70 | 708.56 |
2025-05-04 | 333.60 | 193.82 | 260.97 | 331.31 | 332.60 | 339.41 | 461.17 | 667.18 | 697.81 |
2025-05-11 | 309.03 | 194.38 | 260.54 | 307.96 | 308.51 | 321.15 | 457.68 | 659.92 | 689.29 |
2025-05-18 | 277.64 | 190.15 | 254.63 | 276.30 | 277.07 | 315.51 | 447.82 | 643.35 | 671.27 |
2025-05-25 | 256.77 | 193.27 | 252.31 | 254.69 | 255.92 | 318.95 | 449.79 | 642.17 | 669.13 |
2025-06-01 | 228.38 | 189.13 | 223.23 | 225.76 | 227.28 | 313.56 | 440.33 | 628.26 | 654.11 |
2025-06-08 | 200.28 | 187.99 | 195.30 | 197.24 | 198.86 | 311.61 | 433.13 | 615.92 | 640.35 |
2025-06-15 | 179.41 | 171.67 | 174.20 | 176.19 | 177.84 | 310.76 | 429.93 | 610.33 | 634.11 |
2025-06-22 | 155.17 | 146.92 | 149.62 | 151.70 | 153.52 | 307.79 | 423.81 | 599.13 | 621.81 |
2025-06-29 | 134.57 | 126.25 | 128.71 | 130.98 | 132.84 | 309.39 | 422.34 | 593.51 | 615.01 |
2025-07-06 | 120.20 | 112.82 | 114.43 | 116.51 | 118.37 | 315.53 | 428.36 | 597.64 | 618.42 |
2025-07-13 | 103.31 | 95.85 | 97.46 | 99.59 | 101.47 | 315.26 | 427.33 | 593.69 | 613.85 |
2025-07-20 | 89.09 | 81.77 | 83.22 | 85.32 | 87.23 | 323.70 | 434.93 | 598.79 | 618.01 |
2025-07-27 | 75.53 | 68.33 | 69.76 | 71.81 | 73.67 | 329.31 | 439.65 | 601.29 | 619.85 |
2025-08-03 | 69.96 | 62.87 | 64.10 | 66.17 | 68.05 | 353.72 | 466.31 | 632.86 | 651.08 |
2025-08-10 | 64.32 | 57.16 | 58.34 | 60.46 | 62.37 | 368.38 | 481.52 | 648.63 | 666.24 |
2025-08-17 | 52.09 | 45.07 | 46.17 | 48.31 | 50.17 | 371.42 | 484.53 | 648.92 | 665.88 |
2025-08-24 | 38.05 | 31.31 | 32.35 | 34.41 | 36.19 | 384.73 | 497.37 | 659.38 | 675.22 |
2025-08-31 | 34.99 | 28.22 | 29.27 | 31.33 | 33.12 | 412.36 | 527.13 | 693.24 | 708.36 |
2025-09-07 | 28.77 | 22.08 | 23.11 | 25.15 | 26.91 | 435.92 | 552.00 | 720.07 | 734.42 |
2025-09-14 | 28.20 | 21.47 | 22.51 | 24.53 | 26.34 | 476.74 | 596.10 | 771.37 | 785.14 |
2025-09-21 | 23.97 | 17.33 | 18.37 | 20.36 | 22.14 | 504.42 | 626.40 | 803.04 | 816.05 |
2025-09-28 | 19.75 | 13.22 | 14.18 | 16.20 | 17.94 | 543.95 | 669.78 | 849.64 | 862.83 |