Prediction 4105
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Bahia
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 350.55 | 347.31 | 348.76 | 349.49 | 350.03 | 4180.68 | 4267.19 | 4273.31 | 4275.53 |
2024-10-13 | 12.15 | 7.06 | 8.93 | 9.78 | 10.66 | 11956.64 | 12229.03 | 12244.86 | 12251.35 |
2024-10-20 | 50.73 | 45.20 | 47.12 | 47.92 | 48.79 | 13003.59 | 13297.10 | 13313.76 | 13320.61 |
2024-10-27 | 63.26 | 58.12 | 59.70 | 60.36 | 61.12 | 13069.02 | 13359.89 | 13376.47 | 13383.29 |
2024-11-03 | 57.29 | 52.09 | 53.59 | 54.25 | 54.96 | 13040.10 | 13327.90 | 13344.16 | 13350.74 |
2024-11-10 | 39.31 | 35.42 | 36.28 | 36.73 | 37.17 | 12578.62 | 12853.25 | 12868.87 | 12875.11 |
2024-11-17 | 109.11 | 99.18 | 102.30 | 103.56 | 105.02 | 13275.30 | 13559.44 | 13575.04 | 13581.42 |
2024-11-24 | 96.90 | 87.92 | 90.43 | 91.55 | 92.72 | 13630.61 | 13918.49 | 13933.69 | 13940.29 |
2024-12-01 | 106.41 | 96.61 | 99.13 | 100.34 | 101.53 | 13794.35 | 14081.61 | 14096.46 | 14102.97 |
2024-12-08 | 154.54 | 140.52 | 144.21 | 145.94 | 147.68 | 14415.35 | 14710.72 | 14725.61 | 14732.25 |
2024-12-15 | 130.21 | 118.49 | 121.06 | 122.39 | 123.72 | 14713.12 | 15010.63 | 15025.55 | 15032.14 |
2024-12-22 | 106.26 | 96.93 | 98.42 | 99.51 | 100.32 | 14027.66 | 14308.20 | 14322.03 | 14328.42 |
2024-12-29 | 228.31 | 208.60 | 213.06 | 215.31 | 217.56 | 14590.49 | 14875.42 | 14889.17 | 14895.26 |
2025-01-05 | 266.17 | 243.80 | 248.45 | 250.93 | 253.42 | 15442.79 | 15739.04 | 15752.95 | 15759.22 |
2025-01-12 | 350.86 | 279.46 | 283.76 | 286.23 | 288.92 | 16041.48 | 16343.25 | 16357.20 | 16363.61 |
2025-01-19 | 828.59 | 433.61 | 522.39 | 573.03 | 622.56 | 16394.62 | 16697.98 | 16711.90 | 16718.45 |
2025-01-26 | 1651.22 | 1180.99 | 1293.34 | 1349.82 | 1404.76 | 16920.24 | 17225.74 | 17239.35 | 17246.11 |
2025-02-02 | 2765.71 | 2219.39 | 2341.68 | 2404.43 | 2466.80 | 18068.09 | 18386.49 | 18400.33 | 18407.32 |
2025-02-09 | 3764.65 | 3162.20 | 3286.51 | 3352.63 | 3420.37 | 18437.62 | 18754.49 | 18767.94 | 18775.11 |
2025-02-16 | 4970.92 | 4318.09 | 4434.35 | 4502.59 | 4575.45 | 19076.77 | 19396.39 | 19409.60 | 19416.86 |
2025-02-23 | 6171.49 | 5474.48 | 5587.25 | 5669.42 | 5730.70 | 19592.80 | 19913.38 | 19926.48 | 19933.64 |
2025-03-02 | 6896.03 | 6214.06 | 6298.24 | 6380.70 | 6437.00 | 19229.40 | 19537.20 | 19549.65 | 19556.37 |
2025-03-09 | 8248.19 | 7573.42 | 7611.55 | 7701.97 | 7750.58 | 19874.10 | 20180.04 | 20191.98 | 20198.45 |
2025-03-16 | 9278.06 | 8693.49 | 8717.39 | 8793.78 | 8829.93 | 20358.33 | 20662.38 | 20674.02 | 20680.31 |
2025-03-23 | 10170.16 | 9913.13 | 9947.10 | 10006.81 | 10027.59 | 21177.43 | 21483.82 | 21495.28 | 21501.70 |
2025-03-30 | 11086.75 | 10827.65 | 10874.30 | 10894.56 | 10907.69 | 21701.72 | 22005.16 | 22016.20 | 22022.82 |
2025-04-06 | 12131.39 | 11834.14 | 11869.67 | 11876.27 | 11885.93 | 22713.99 | 23020.24 | 23030.51 | 23037.59 |
2025-04-13 | 11786.89 | 11456.21 | 11478.74 | 11483.87 | 11493.28 | 22039.59 | 22330.82 | 22340.39 | 22347.43 |
2025-04-20 | 11543.38 | 11112.76 | 11116.45 | 11119.12 | 11126.13 | 21624.81 | 21894.73 | 21903.15 | 21910.00 |
2025-04-27 | 11217.78 | 10840.86 | 10843.36 | 10845.77 | 10852.06 | 21636.44 | 21897.95 | 21905.95 | 21912.54 |
2025-05-04 | 10436.98 | 10221.19 | 10222.79 | 10224.55 | 10229.36 | 21409.18 | 21658.70 | 21665.98 | 21672.74 |
2025-05-11 | 9222.57 | 9151.94 | 9153.05 | 9154.33 | 9157.51 | 20676.63 | 20906.29 | 20912.70 | 20919.24 |
2025-05-18 | 7676.28 | 7616.40 | 7617.88 | 7619.86 | 7661.28 | 19138.37 | 19342.49 | 19348.08 | 19354.21 |
2025-05-25 | 6238.95 | 6104.18 | 6105.45 | 6107.70 | 6223.41 | 17583.81 | 17760.63 | 17765.68 | 17771.41 |
2025-06-01 | 5399.67 | 5215.01 | 5216.32 | 5218.82 | 5384.37 | 16963.92 | 17128.26 | 17132.71 | 17138.64 |
2025-06-08 | 4444.78 | 4233.02 | 4234.59 | 4237.16 | 4429.80 | 15983.81 | 16131.39 | 16135.45 | 16140.87 |
2025-06-15 | 3587.28 | 3363.85 | 3365.44 | 3368.01 | 3572.93 | 15009.82 | 15141.61 | 15145.42 | 15150.51 |
2025-06-22 | 2867.02 | 2640.55 | 2642.19 | 2644.60 | 2853.44 | 14155.43 | 14273.39 | 14277.05 | 14281.48 |
2025-06-29 | 2139.35 | 1919.97 | 1921.54 | 1923.71 | 2126.90 | 13083.89 | 13186.92 | 13190.27 | 13194.39 |
2025-07-06 | 1728.08 | 1511.76 | 1513.21 | 1515.26 | 1716.56 | 12640.44 | 12734.83 | 12737.97 | 12742.03 |
2025-07-13 | 1269.19 | 1062.51 | 1063.83 | 1065.77 | 1259.06 | 11957.26 | 12041.43 | 12044.47 | 12048.36 |
2025-07-20 | 798.41 | 604.93 | 606.10 | 607.88 | 789.66 | 11116.03 | 11189.19 | 11192.06 | 11195.78 |
2025-07-27 | 588.33 | 399.34 | 400.53 | 402.22 | 580.51 | 11007.69 | 11074.45 | 11077.36 | 11080.64 |
2025-08-03 | 484.37 | 297.63 | 298.79 | 300.50 | 477.09 | 10938.77 | 11002.82 | 11005.64 | 11008.88 |
2025-08-10 | 211.84 | 62.60 | 63.25 | 64.18 | 205.41 | 10458.92 | 10515.63 | 10518.59 | 10521.25 |
2025-08-17 | 1.79 | 1.72 | 1.72 | 1.72 | 1.79 | 9532.48 | 9579.07 | 9581.61 | 9584.26 |
2025-08-24 | 1.65 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 1.59 | 1.65 | 8802.25 | 8840.71 | 8842.96 | 8845.51 |
2025-08-31 | 4.10 | 3.88 | 3.92 | 3.92 | 4.05 | 8283.91 | 8315.26 | 8317.50 | 8319.71 |
2025-09-07 | 43.95 | 42.17 | 42.18 | 42.20 | 43.91 | 8546.52 | 8575.97 | 8578.15 | 8580.78 |
2025-09-14 | 76.06 | 72.89 | 72.91 | 72.94 | 75.99 | 9225.23 | 9255.30 | 9257.51 | 9260.42 |
2025-09-21 | 32.02 | 30.58 | 30.58 | 30.60 | 31.96 | 9630.77 | 9659.85 | 9661.91 | 9665.08 |
2025-09-28 | 38.47 | 36.42 | 36.43 | 36.46 | 38.38 | 9910.79 | 9936.22 | 9938.51 | 9941.43 |