Prediction 4113
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | ParĂ¡ |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for ParĂ¡
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 722.74 | 149.22 | 149.22 | 149.22 | 428.04 | 994.51 | 1156.42 | 1256.71 | 1415.87 |
2024-10-13 | 1618.13 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 302.76 | 2367.74 | 2926.65 | 3189.64 | 3686.78 |
2024-10-20 | 1853.79 | 16.50 | 16.54 | 16.61 | 317.15 | 2698.82 | 3284.23 | 3501.18 | 4047.00 |
2024-10-27 | 1888.13 | 28.56 | 28.66 | 28.73 | 333.08 | 2732.51 | 3300.70 | 3512.32 | 4055.04 |
2024-11-03 | 1939.78 | 34.13 | 34.25 | 34.35 | 344.59 | 2792.02 | 3331.25 | 3547.31 | 4091.96 |
2024-11-10 | 1975.26 | 46.09 | 46.25 | 46.40 | 353.38 | 2838.69 | 3354.44 | 3575.08 | 4119.80 |
2024-11-17 | 2035.47 | 66.27 | 66.48 | 66.70 | 365.80 | 2929.05 | 3444.77 | 3650.40 | 4203.14 |
2024-11-24 | 2119.37 | 94.02 | 94.31 | 94.62 | 381.58 | 3069.71 | 3590.90 | 3763.12 | 4329.52 |
2024-12-01 | 2112.35 | 116.18 | 116.55 | 116.93 | 383.80 | 3056.21 | 3565.85 | 3738.77 | 4296.56 |
2024-12-08 | 2210.00 | 185.14 | 185.70 | 186.30 | 403.14 | 3218.35 | 3702.72 | 3911.34 | 4436.54 |
2024-12-15 | 2326.86 | 250.19 | 250.89 | 251.65 | 424.44 | 3408.63 | 3852.07 | 4115.30 | 4615.37 |
2024-12-22 | 2325.33 | 283.14 | 284.77 | 286.52 | 427.41 | 3402.28 | 3833.52 | 4104.20 | 4591.43 |
2024-12-29 | 2232.55 | 407.18 | 413.90 | 419.01 | 657.11 | 3243.54 | 3676.05 | 3926.07 | 4398.36 |
2025-01-05 | 2142.78 | 398.83 | 405.05 | 410.11 | 1314.14 | 3088.81 | 3522.16 | 3750.63 | 4209.57 |
2025-01-12 | 2184.21 | 404.82 | 411.40 | 416.26 | 1701.62 | 3086.84 | 3500.47 | 3741.21 | 4180.30 |
2025-01-19 | 2660.78 | 416.22 | 422.92 | 427.90 | 1758.94 | 3176.07 | 3564.47 | 3835.39 | 4255.29 |
2025-01-26 | 2725.72 | 406.50 | 412.97 | 417.75 | 1686.13 | 3021.89 | 3418.44 | 3662.38 | 4076.58 |
2025-02-02 | 2793.43 | 419.15 | 425.72 | 430.57 | 1741.85 | 3097.37 | 3479.07 | 3739.94 | 4131.07 |
2025-02-09 | 2788.67 | 422.15 | 428.66 | 433.49 | 1745.56 | 3088.75 | 3470.45 | 3727.85 | 4110.60 |
2025-02-16 | 2614.57 | 437.79 | 444.45 | 449.41 | 1821.15 | 3193.92 | 3575.51 | 3843.79 | 4201.35 |
2025-02-23 | 2274.34 | 446.09 | 452.54 | 457.49 | 1855.34 | 3237.88 | 3624.58 | 3890.73 | 4235.47 |
2025-03-02 | 2186.77 | 436.28 | 442.78 | 447.63 | 1507.10 | 3095.63 | 3472.46 | 3729.26 | 4071.86 |
2025-03-09 | 2153.15 | 436.73 | 443.15 | 447.92 | 1003.98 | 3030.50 | 3402.51 | 3651.21 | 3983.16 |
2025-03-16 | 2167.14 | 443.10 | 449.56 | 454.35 | 649.98 | 3038.99 | 3415.66 | 3659.29 | 3977.09 |
2025-03-23 | 2178.05 | 386.28 | 389.21 | 392.54 | 457.86 | 3049.27 | 3427.49 | 3667.40 | 3973.88 |
2025-03-30 | 2150.00 | 172.94 | 174.33 | 176.45 | 457.87 | 2991.68 | 3367.26 | 3600.62 | 3901.19 |
2025-04-06 | 2169.81 | 53.16 | 54.11 | 55.58 | 465.85 | 3010.61 | 3388.93 | 3617.09 | 3900.74 |
2025-04-13 | 2156.75 | 1.11 | 1.22 | 1.39 | 466.18 | 2983.37 | 3360.62 | 3585.27 | 3864.58 |
2025-04-20 | 2172.21 | 3.44 | 3.47 | 3.51 | 474.56 | 2991.35 | 3361.86 | 3589.12 | 3853.66 |
2025-04-27 | 2204.22 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 1.05 | 484.22 | 3030.83 | 3404.17 | 3626.89 | 3881.29 |
2025-05-04 | 2204.47 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 1.03 | 488.62 | 3018.57 | 3391.91 | 3607.78 | 3857.28 |
2025-05-11 | 2253.18 | 9.97 | 9.99 | 10.02 | 502.77 | 3096.10 | 3475.18 | 3680.69 | 3918.21 |
2025-05-18 | 2197.20 | 4.55 | 4.56 | 4.57 | 496.69 | 2996.49 | 3370.24 | 3570.50 | 3808.11 |
2025-05-25 | 2251.61 | 15.95 | 15.97 | 15.99 | 510.03 | 3043.17 | 3420.76 | 3613.58 | 3838.12 |
2025-06-01 | 2230.91 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.02 | 508.65 | 2999.32 | 3374.57 | 3565.02 | 3786.72 |
2025-06-08 | 2222.60 | 12.41 | 12.42 | 12.43 | 511.88 | 2957.29 | 3330.72 | 3515.25 | 3730.05 |
2025-06-15 | 2338.69 | 42.41 | 42.42 | 42.43 | 540.05 | 3129.92 | 3502.47 | 3697.92 | 3886.25 |
2025-06-22 | 2402.25 | 15.22 | 15.22 | 15.23 | 559.35 | 3232.71 | 3616.78 | 3810.18 | 3980.70 |
2025-06-29 | 2383.89 | 5.23 | 5.23 | 5.24 | 562.05 | 3198.37 | 3581.27 | 3769.44 | 3935.35 |
2025-07-06 | 2472.50 | 27.71 | 27.71 | 27.72 | 589.70 | 3324.84 | 3717.66 | 3923.17 | 4063.10 |
2025-07-13 | 2574.75 | 29.13 | 29.19 | 29.27 | 616.26 | 3476.32 | 3841.76 | 4076.67 | 4193.09 |
2025-07-20 | 2768.91 | 92.65 | 92.77 | 92.95 | 656.82 | 3711.30 | 4101.59 | 4344.33 | 4425.42 |
2025-07-27 | 2816.45 | 67.84 | 67.96 | 68.13 | 671.39 | 3742.32 | 4135.52 | 4374.67 | 4444.21 |
2025-08-03 | 3042.06 | 119.88 | 119.99 | 120.15 | 719.37 | 4011.72 | 4415.59 | 4673.79 | 4707.74 |
2025-08-10 | 3192.73 | 117.87 | 117.97 | 118.13 | 754.31 | 4180.60 | 4601.90 | 4847.58 | 4878.58 |
2025-08-17 | 3270.62 | 91.99 | 92.08 | 92.22 | 776.39 | 4262.11 | 4667.82 | 4903.93 | 4948.70 |
2025-08-24 | 3408.76 | 69.45 | 69.53 | 69.64 | 810.45 | 4412.13 | 4802.74 | 5031.90 | 5096.16 |
2025-08-31 | 3677.50 | 109.05 | 109.10 | 109.20 | 870.25 | 4738.80 | 5112.94 | 5370.52 | 5443.11 |
2025-09-07 | 3865.85 | 97.60 | 97.65 | 97.73 | 916.09 | 4957.79 | 5335.04 | 5584.70 | 5660.26 |
2025-09-14 | 4101.98 | 96.81 | 96.85 | 96.92 | 972.36 | 5234.67 | 5618.90 | 5866.78 | 5939.99 |
2025-09-21 | 4302.06 | 83.39 | 83.43 | 83.48 | 1022.76 | 5448.32 | 5839.39 | 6088.29 | 6156.30 |
2025-09-28 | 4461.98 | 47.49 | 47.52 | 47.56 | 1066.39 | 5592.05 | 5974.88 | 6245.51 | 6309.76 |