Prediction 4114
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Paraíba
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 189.14 | 178.20 | 178.22 | 178.28 | 186.63 | 189.28 | 261.88 | 262.40 | 262.72 |
2024-10-13 | 4.20 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 2.00 | 4.37 | 94.74 | 95.35 | 95.72 |
2024-10-20 | 18.60 | 5.56 | 5.57 | 5.64 | 16.46 | 18.75 | 39.77 | 39.89 | 39.96 |
2024-10-27 | 19.52 | 12.92 | 12.92 | 13.01 | 19.02 | 19.59 | 19.87 | 19.90 | 19.92 |
2024-11-03 | 21.92 | 13.05 | 13.06 | 13.16 | 21.21 | 22.01 | 23.34 | 23.38 | 23.40 |
2024-11-10 | 20.28 | 12.68 | 12.69 | 12.80 | 18.51 | 20.52 | 20.56 | 20.59 | 20.60 |
2024-11-17 | 28.24 | 17.18 | 17.19 | 17.35 | 27.53 | 28.36 | 29.55 | 29.59 | 29.62 |
2024-11-24 | 34.10 | 21.52 | 21.53 | 21.73 | 33.39 | 34.23 | 60.56 | 63.65 | 65.28 |
2024-12-01 | 31.36 | 22.24 | 22.27 | 22.45 | 31.26 | 31.44 | 114.55 | 118.12 | 119.88 |
2024-12-08 | 31.89 | 24.62 | 24.66 | 24.84 | 31.78 | 32.34 | 159.56 | 163.00 | 164.75 |
2024-12-15 | 38.05 | 30.22 | 30.28 | 30.48 | 37.93 | 38.66 | 219.12 | 222.46 | 224.16 |
2024-12-22 | 25.22 | 25.05 | 25.07 | 25.08 | 25.11 | 26.89 | 236.00 | 239.11 | 240.82 |
2024-12-29 | 29.91 | 29.65 | 29.66 | 29.68 | 29.72 | 31.65 | 258.47 | 261.33 | 263.04 |
2025-01-05 | 28.89 | 27.69 | 27.70 | 27.71 | 27.74 | 31.42 | 280.04 | 282.81 | 284.47 |
2025-01-12 | 26.74 | 25.36 | 25.37 | 25.38 | 25.41 | 32.15 | 280.69 | 283.30 | 284.89 |
2025-01-19 | 49.53 | 40.96 | 41.36 | 41.95 | 42.54 | 52.01 | 332.71 | 335.19 | 336.74 |
2025-01-26 | 83.07 | 39.69 | 39.74 | 39.92 | 67.82 | 87.26 | 330.48 | 332.79 | 334.26 |
2025-02-02 | 214.12 | 65.65 | 65.76 | 66.01 | 205.81 | 218.47 | 416.55 | 418.82 | 420.32 |
2025-02-09 | 326.36 | 70.36 | 71.21 | 73.20 | 322.53 | 329.81 | 478.49 | 480.65 | 482.12 |
2025-02-16 | 411.41 | 162.12 | 164.88 | 171.54 | 406.73 | 418.82 | 505.89 | 508.09 | 509.47 |
2025-02-23 | 540.59 | 342.14 | 345.10 | 352.49 | 535.93 | 559.14 | 576.05 | 578.15 | 579.59 |
2025-03-02 | 579.00 | 453.20 | 456.50 | 463.74 | 566.53 | 583.12 | 610.19 | 612.03 | 613.52 |
2025-03-09 | 679.51 | 598.06 | 599.53 | 601.64 | 634.50 | 683.50 | 722.14 | 723.95 | 725.28 |
2025-03-16 | 721.75 | 596.58 | 598.09 | 600.15 | 717.72 | 748.03 | 770.59 | 772.29 | 773.58 |
2025-03-23 | 774.08 | 592.51 | 594.05 | 596.00 | 770.35 | 833.92 | 878.17 | 883.29 | 892.65 |
2025-03-30 | 857.68 | 621.89 | 623.41 | 625.47 | 854.15 | 927.15 | 1039.75 | 1046.55 | 1057.91 |
2025-04-06 | 944.46 | 658.82 | 660.40 | 662.46 | 941.06 | 1023.27 | 1210.36 | 1216.46 | 1229.79 |
2025-04-13 | 1007.69 | 683.89 | 685.42 | 687.54 | 1004.43 | 1093.45 | 1348.98 | 1356.28 | 1369.27 |
2025-04-20 | 973.08 | 637.13 | 638.61 | 640.69 | 970.03 | 1059.97 | 1349.71 | 1358.82 | 1371.20 |
2025-04-27 | 975.13 | 605.94 | 607.41 | 609.55 | 972.31 | 1066.13 | 1425.88 | 1434.35 | 1446.71 |
2025-05-04 | 980.80 | 597.38 | 598.82 | 600.97 | 978.09 | 1072.98 | 1469.83 | 1478.20 | 1490.54 |
2025-05-11 | 1019.28 | 607.29 | 608.69 | 610.96 | 1016.69 | 1113.31 | 1550.97 | 1559.80 | 1571.44 |
2025-05-18 | 983.14 | 573.93 | 575.33 | 577.55 | 980.63 | 1074.77 | 1517.07 | 1525.71 | 1536.11 |
2025-05-25 | 821.83 | 442.14 | 443.39 | 445.47 | 819.55 | 905.08 | 1327.39 | 1333.84 | 1344.31 |
2025-06-01 | 728.31 | 364.32 | 365.48 | 367.50 | 726.16 | 805.71 | 1215.44 | 1221.73 | 1230.88 |
2025-06-08 | 686.89 | 328.79 | 329.92 | 331.89 | 684.79 | 760.23 | 1161.42 | 1167.66 | 1176.09 |
2025-06-15 | 642.22 | 292.88 | 294.04 | 295.96 | 640.18 | 711.04 | 1097.63 | 1103.97 | 1111.37 |
2025-06-22 | 551.58 | 223.00 | 224.12 | 225.96 | 549.63 | 614.04 | 973.48 | 979.72 | 985.86 |
2025-06-29 | 507.81 | 189.00 | 190.15 | 191.94 | 505.91 | 565.83 | 905.84 | 911.67 | 917.88 |
2025-07-06 | 466.75 | 157.72 | 158.86 | 160.62 | 464.89 | 520.43 | 840.72 | 845.60 | 851.17 |
2025-07-13 | 424.43 | 125.96 | 127.07 | 128.80 | 422.62 | 473.80 | 773.71 | 777.23 | 782.94 |
2025-07-20 | 364.67 | 81.03 | 82.11 | 83.75 | 362.92 | 408.93 | 683.13 | 686.63 | 691.35 |
2025-07-27 | 367.58 | 83.58 | 84.70 | 86.36 | 365.81 | 408.86 | 668.42 | 672.12 | 675.76 |
2025-08-03 | 303.79 | 36.02 | 37.07 | 38.66 | 302.08 | 341.07 | 578.62 | 582.26 | 585.06 |
2025-08-10 | 279.86 | 18.40 | 19.42 | 21.00 | 278.15 | 313.57 | 533.28 | 537.20 | 539.10 |
2025-08-17 | 239.02 | 1.21 | 1.35 | 1.79 | 237.36 | 269.28 | 469.14 | 473.23 | 474.27 |
2025-08-24 | 201.63 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 199.99 | 228.49 | 409.87 | 413.95 | 414.42 |
2025-08-31 | 185.40 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 0.46 | 183.77 | 209.46 | 375.87 | 379.76 | 380.36 |
2025-09-07 | 191.88 | 10.69 | 10.71 | 10.75 | 190.22 | 212.69 | 362.69 | 366.31 | 367.15 |
2025-09-14 | 247.94 | 19.65 | 19.69 | 19.76 | 246.21 | 266.48 | 406.30 | 410.08 | 411.30 |
2025-09-21 | 283.24 | 26.05 | 27.11 | 29.01 | 281.44 | 299.09 | 427.67 | 431.61 | 432.90 |
2025-09-28 | 289.76 | 33.39 | 34.49 | 36.47 | 287.92 | 302.41 | 416.07 | 420.27 | 421.45 |