Prediction 4118
Model | ISI_Dengue_Model |
---|---|
Author | Davide Nicola |
ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Rio de Janeiro
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 269.45 | 267.41 | 267.41 | 267.41 | 267.42 | 2998.76 | 3213.87 | 3301.73 | 3322.72 |
2024-10-13 | 0.18 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 8168.84 | 8832.19 | 9111.02 | 9183.90 |
2024-10-20 | 21.85 | 7.08 | 7.11 | 7.13 | 7.18 | 9183.97 | 9925.74 | 10237.13 | 10320.47 |
2024-10-27 | 26.22 | 3.38 | 3.39 | 3.40 | 3.43 | 9667.33 | 10441.72 | 10766.47 | 10854.58 |
2024-11-03 | 11.47 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 9358.08 | 10104.25 | 10417.07 | 10502.08 |
2024-11-10 | 29.70 | 7.57 | 7.59 | 7.60 | 7.63 | 8734.41 | 9424.56 | 9713.74 | 9792.51 |
2024-11-17 | 55.62 | 14.25 | 14.28 | 14.30 | 14.36 | 9762.54 | 10522.02 | 10840.10 | 10928.70 |
2024-11-24 | 89.48 | 22.49 | 22.54 | 22.57 | 22.66 | 11449.10 | 12325.84 | 12696.52 | 12797.61 |
2024-12-01 | 33.51 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.61 | 11094.26 | 11938.90 | 12295.76 | 12393.57 |
2024-12-08 | 142.51 | 22.99 | 23.04 | 23.08 | 23.17 | 11897.33 | 12785.44 | 13162.77 | 13265.43 |
2024-12-15 | 113.57 | 6.84 | 6.85 | 6.87 | 6.90 | 12747.83 | 13687.16 | 14088.06 | 14196.31 |
2024-12-22 | 138.48 | 3.48 | 3.50 | 3.50 | 3.53 | 12546.10 | 13458.67 | 13848.51 | 13954.14 |
2024-12-29 | 291.71 | 26.73 | 26.78 | 26.83 | 26.96 | 14446.12 | 15473.59 | 15916.21 | 16034.40 |
2025-01-05 | 193.66 | 3.16 | 3.17 | 3.18 | 3.20 | 14295.78 | 15301.58 | 15735.28 | 15851.36 |
2025-01-12 | 581.56 | 42.32 | 42.40 | 42.49 | 42.68 | 16918.14 | 18079.13 | 18584.54 | 18717.55 |
2025-01-19 | 890.15 | 34.25 | 34.32 | 34.40 | 34.57 | 19325.27 | 20624.11 | 21193.68 | 21341.77 |
2025-01-26 | 2228.47 | 11.66 | 11.70 | 11.73 | 11.83 | 20087.51 | 21408.62 | 21990.46 | 22141.41 |
2025-02-02 | 3832.35 | 6.19 | 6.21 | 6.23 | 6.28 | 20385.38 | 21704.33 | 22286.86 | 22437.95 |
2025-02-09 | 5556.18 | 13.92 | 13.96 | 13.99 | 14.08 | 20273.41 | 21553.97 | 22121.38 | 22268.91 |
2025-02-16 | 8547.35 | 36.06 | 36.14 | 36.22 | 36.42 | 22367.37 | 23745.95 | 24360.63 | 24519.33 |
2025-02-23 | 13299.38 | 65.37 | 65.52 | 65.67 | 66.02 | 26481.27 | 28076.96 | 28793.15 | 28975.88 |
2025-03-02 | 18508.34 | 58.35 | 58.49 | 58.62 | 58.96 | 30038.40 | 31801.75 | 32598.20 | 32800.01 |
2025-03-09 | 23446.34 | 54.76 | 54.92 | 55.03 | 55.36 | 32880.35 | 34753.16 | 35604.44 | 35819.44 |
2025-03-16 | 25890.51 | 21.75 | 21.82 | 21.89 | 22.06 | 33970.04 | 35853.24 | 36713.37 | 36930.73 |
2025-03-23 | 27531.21 | 50.02 | 50.17 | 50.28 | 50.60 | 36188.17 | 38123.06 | 39011.62 | 39236.36 |
2025-03-30 | 26447.45 | 23.28 | 23.36 | 23.43 | 23.60 | 36715.61 | 38619.24 | 39498.15 | 39721.23 |
2025-04-06 | 24071.64 | 27.12 | 27.21 | 27.28 | 27.47 | 37816.28 | 39725.11 | 40607.87 | 40832.54 |
2025-04-13 | 18626.37 | 2.77 | 2.77 | 2.78 | 2.80 | 34607.50 | 36319.84 | 37112.11 | 37315.62 |
2025-04-20 | 15132.09 | 93.71 | 93.97 | 94.16 | 94.71 | 37076.01 | 38835.79 | 39654.45 | 39865.38 |
2025-04-27 | 13152.60 | 38.95 | 39.06 | 39.14 | 39.38 | 39094.88 | 40907.26 | 41753.01 | 41971.21 |
2025-05-04 | 9006.48 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.66 | 35658.61 | 37283.59 | 38041.17 | 38238.58 |
2025-05-11 | 5169.90 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 0.57 | 30291.76 | 31636.05 | 32261.28 | 32427.27 |
2025-05-18 | 2141.66 | 8.09 | 8.11 | 8.12 | 8.17 | 23566.31 | 24584.94 | 25056.63 | 25185.72 |
2025-05-25 | 1933.61 | 72.39 | 72.58 | 72.72 | 73.14 | 25876.44 | 26968.96 | 27475.08 | 27613.23 |
2025-06-01 | 1245.21 | 0.48 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 24042.88 | 25047.88 | 25512.86 | 25641.11 |
2025-06-08 | 176.41 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 19823.14 | 20639.44 | 21013.99 | 21120.29 |
2025-06-15 | 92.85 | 24.65 | 24.71 | 24.76 | 24.90 | 16865.07 | 17545.16 | 17855.13 | 17945.02 |
2025-06-22 | 18.11 | 6.56 | 6.58 | 6.59 | 6.63 | 16953.19 | 17629.00 | 17937.18 | 18026.67 |
2025-06-29 | 138.13 | 37.06 | 37.16 | 37.23 | 37.44 | 17384.08 | 18065.98 | 18377.55 | 18467.88 |
2025-07-06 | 139.62 | 43.67 | 43.78 | 43.87 | 44.11 | 19142.70 | 19883.25 | 20222.96 | 20321.24 |
2025-07-13 | 45.03 | 22.12 | 22.18 | 22.22 | 22.34 | 20000.49 | 20764.73 | 21115.80 | 21217.59 |
2025-07-20 | 1.90 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 18647.34 | 19350.60 | 19673.13 | 19766.85 |
2025-07-27 | 2.89 | 2.59 | 2.60 | 2.60 | 2.62 | 16786.41 | 17406.50 | 17689.45 | 17772.79 |
2025-08-03 | 19.24 | 10.27 | 10.30 | 10.32 | 10.37 | 16409.55 | 17002.69 | 17273.11 | 17353.27 |
2025-08-10 | 13.41 | 6.93 | 6.95 | 6.96 | 7.00 | 14994.27 | 15525.22 | 15767.62 | 15840.13 |
2025-08-17 | 10.72 | 3.24 | 3.25 | 3.26 | 3.28 | 13597.18 | 14069.91 | 14286.17 | 14351.48 |
2025-08-24 | 38.03 | 11.27 | 11.30 | 11.32 | 11.38 | 12936.54 | 13377.36 | 13578.39 | 13639.75 |
2025-08-31 | 89.50 | 23.52 | 23.57 | 23.62 | 23.75 | 11807.67 | 12203.34 | 12382.51 | 12438.04 |
2025-09-07 | 147.82 | 39.97 | 40.07 | 40.15 | 40.37 | 13399.02 | 13842.03 | 14044.94 | 14106.91 |
2025-09-14 | 5.39 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.58 | 1.59 | 11276.23 | 11643.15 | 11809.12 | 11861.21 |
2025-09-21 | 37.15 | 10.50 | 10.53 | 10.55 | 10.60 | 10929.57 | 11277.50 | 11435.91 | 11485.50 |
2025-09-28 | 105.62 | 29.11 | 29.18 | 29.24 | 29.39 | 11132.90 | 11481.97 | 11640.90 | 11690.47 |