Prediction 4125

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model ISI_Dengue_Model
Author Davide Nicola
ADM 1 Sergipe

Description:

2024-25 Dengue Forecast for Sergipe


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 43.78 43.71 43.72 43.73 43.73 61.99 352.45 361.40 365.46
2024-10-13 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02 22.53 990.34 1019.28 1032.97
2024-10-20 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 10.81 1156.50 1189.36 1203.49
2024-10-27 1.22 0.94 0.97 1.00 1.02 7.42 1127.06 1158.42 1171.76
2024-11-03 1.70 1.40 1.44 1.47 1.50 11.03 1196.98 1228.97 1241.61
2024-11-10 1.36 1.10 1.13 1.15 1.17 8.77 1212.29 1243.68 1255.49
2024-11-17 1.71 1.33 1.37 1.40 1.43 11.15 1248.94 1280.17 1291.21
2024-11-24 1.93 1.48 1.53 1.56 1.60 11.11 1268.94 1299.23 1309.81
2024-12-01 2.34 1.80 1.85 1.89 1.93 11.95 1301.55 1330.92 1341.29
2024-12-08 2.64 2.04 2.10 2.14 2.19 11.24 1318.12 1347.11 1356.70
2024-12-15 3.35 2.61 2.67 2.72 2.79 12.83 1327.45 1355.85 1364.06
2024-12-22 3.33 2.63 2.69 2.74 2.80 8.81 1315.58 1343.63 1351.12
2024-12-29 5.24 4.15 4.25 4.32 4.42 16.44 1337.41 1365.32 1371.70
2025-01-05 6.63 5.30 5.41 5.51 5.62 18.66 1393.40 1421.31 1427.06
2025-01-12 7.06 5.73 5.85 5.93 6.05 13.89 1383.82 1411.07 1416.43
2025-01-19 9.27 7.60 7.75 7.86 8.00 17.43 1405.51 1432.15 1436.94
2025-01-26 12.76 10.57 10.77 10.90 11.09 23.25 1438.29 1464.55 1469.65
2025-02-02 18.74 15.67 15.95 16.13 16.41 49.03 1538.67 1565.56 1569.91
2025-02-09 24.13 20.54 20.84 21.05 21.39 125.30 1643.02 1670.54 1674.22
2025-02-16 26.59 23.28 23.51 23.70 24.03 177.57 1648.70 1675.89 1678.93
2025-02-23 32.73 29.22 29.47 29.66 30.04 238.07 1672.36 1699.46 1703.04
2025-03-02 35.55 32.52 32.75 32.94 33.25 270.45 1632.87 1658.59 1663.44
2025-03-09 52.95 48.80 49.12 49.39 49.81 360.26 1691.52 1716.29 1722.49
2025-03-16 61.70 50.79 50.98 51.15 51.43 412.33 1684.65 1708.89 1715.29
2025-03-23 160.34 91.12 95.13 98.23 104.08 480.16 1695.50 1719.39 1726.22
2025-03-30 312.54 235.57 240.97 245.51 253.50 548.51 1708.43 1731.37 1738.63
2025-04-06 517.40 443.36 448.42 452.62 460.10 664.47 1799.02 1820.33 1829.35
2025-04-13 664.64 603.72 607.26 611.14 617.08 713.90 1795.67 1815.56 1824.91
2025-04-20 741.56 729.97 731.86 733.51 736.46 787.41 1723.89 1742.24 1751.34
2025-04-27 838.72 764.00 765.52 767.72 833.50 855.71 1663.47 1680.67 1689.60
2025-05-04 897.64 800.01 801.56 803.79 891.48 906.25 1633.73 1650.50 1659.39
2025-05-11 961.74 878.61 880.23 882.53 934.49 972.50 1640.29 1657.46 1666.08
2025-05-18 910.51 861.72 863.31 865.57 877.50 920.61 1575.40 1592.11 1600.42
2025-05-25 771.56 727.97 728.82 730.08 765.70 788.29 1404.92 1420.80 1427.65
2025-06-01 642.62 599.72 600.82 602.41 636.68 729.72 1277.59 1290.73 1296.52
2025-06-08 543.83 505.31 506.62 508.38 538.01 712.84 1203.63 1214.48 1219.99
2025-06-15 446.78 415.36 416.61 418.47 441.63 683.84 1137.11 1145.98 1151.23
2025-06-22 336.89 312.74 314.02 315.84 332.27 630.43 1040.77 1047.82 1052.28
2025-06-29 245.56 227.35 228.55 230.21 241.41 581.01 954.15 959.71 964.42
2025-07-06 174.55 160.99 162.07 163.57 170.88 541.57 883.81 888.40 893.58
2025-07-13 105.03 94.95 95.89 97.27 101.98 486.40 799.81 803.30 808.13
2025-07-20 45.97 37.99 38.84 40.03 43.31 429.60 717.68 720.47 724.30
2025-07-27 20.67 13.71 14.46 15.52 18.38 418.99 682.35 684.55 688.19
2025-08-03 6.04 2.78 3.09 3.52 4.85 405.55 657.46 659.79 662.88
2025-08-10 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 0.28 366.10 601.01 603.41 605.08
2025-08-17 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 0.26 306.11 524.68 526.69 529.06
2025-08-24 0.91 0.74 0.75 0.76 0.87 289.76 493.35 495.82 498.62
2025-08-31 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 265.74 457.68 460.82 463.65
2025-09-07 7.37 6.93 6.94 6.96 7.33 266.40 442.42 446.32 448.72
2025-09-14 15.95 15.44 15.46 15.48 15.90 320.33 479.40 483.60 485.98
2025-09-21 9.51 9.30 9.31 9.33 9.47 361.36 506.12 510.56 512.90
2025-09-28 5.30 5.18 5.19 5.20 5.27 368.22 498.60 503.87 505.87
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