Prediction 4127
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=AC (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.0 | 157.0 | 277.0 | 374.0 | 477.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 79.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 176.0 | 309.0 | 416.0 | 532.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 79.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 179.0 | 315.0 | 426.0 | 547.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 81.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 184.0 | 325.0 | 442.0 | 568.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 83.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 189.0 | 336.0 | 458.0 | 590.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 91.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 202.0 | 358.0 | 486.0 | 627.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 86.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 197.0 | 351.0 | 479.0 | 620.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 106.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 229.0 | 402.0 | 546.0 | 704.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 114.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 243.0 | 424.0 | 575.0 | 741.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 122.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 257.0 | 447.0 | 605.0 | 780.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 | 218.0 | 387.0 | 529.0 | 686.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 70.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 173.0 | 320.0 | 442.0 | 578.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 102.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 226.0 | 400.0 | 547.0 | 708.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 103.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 227.0 | 402.0 | 549.0 | 711.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 111.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 241.0 | 424.0 | 578.0 | 747.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 102.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 225.0 | 400.0 | 547.0 | 708.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 230.0 | 407.0 | 556.0 | 720.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 114.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 245.0 | 431.0 | 587.0 | 758.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 106.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 232.0 | 411.0 | 560.0 | 726.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 103.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 227.0 | 402.0 | 550.0 | 712.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 114.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 246.0 | 432.0 | 588.0 | 760.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 112.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 241.0 | 425.0 | 579.0 | 749.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 110.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 240.0 | 422.0 | 576.0 | 745.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 116.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 249.0 | 438.0 | 596.0 | 770.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 231.0 | 410.0 | 560.0 | 726.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 238.0 | 421.0 | 575.0 | 745.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 118.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 252.0 | 443.0 | 603.0 | 781.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 117.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 251.0 | 442.0 | 603.0 | 780.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 115.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 249.0 | 438.0 | 598.0 | 775.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 118.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 254.0 | 447.0 | 610.0 | 790.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 120.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 36.0 | 258.0 | 454.0 | 619.0 | 802.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 116.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 252.0 | 444.0 | 607.0 | 787.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 29.0 | 241.0 | 428.0 | 586.0 | 762.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 111.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 244.0 | 434.0 | 594.0 | 772.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 102.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 229.0 | 410.0 | 564.0 | 734.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 99.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 224.0 | 404.0 | 556.0 | 725.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 99.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 224.0 | 405.0 | 557.0 | 727.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 223.0 | 402.0 | 554.0 | 723.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 220.0 | 398.0 | 549.0 | 716.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 223.0 | 402.0 | 555.0 | 723.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 94.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 19.0 | 216.0 | 392.0 | 541.0 | 707.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 92.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 214.0 | 388.0 | 536.0 | 699.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 215.0 | 390.0 | 538.0 | 703.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 92.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 18.0 | 214.0 | 389.0 | 537.0 | 701.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 90.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 211.0 | 384.0 | 531.0 | 693.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 209.0 | 381.0 | 527.0 | 688.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 88.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 207.0 | 378.0 | 523.0 | 684.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 87.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 206.0 | 376.0 | 520.0 | 680.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 88.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 207.0 | 378.0 | 524.0 | 685.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 209.0 | 382.0 | 528.0 | 690.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 210.0 | 382.0 | 529.0 | 692.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 90.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 210.0 | 384.0 | 530.0 | 694.0 |
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