Prediction 4129
Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
---|---|
Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=AM (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 78.0 | 134.0 | 176.0 | 218.0 |
2022-10-16 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 89.0 | 151.0 | 196.0 | 242.0 |
2022-10-23 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 92.0 | 156.0 | 203.0 | 252.0 |
2022-10-30 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 97.0 | 164.0 | 214.0 | 265.0 |
2022-11-06 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.0 | 109.0 | 181.0 | 236.0 | 292.0 |
2022-11-13 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 122.0 | 200.0 | 260.0 | 321.0 |
2022-11-20 | 70.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | 139.0 | 225.0 | 291.0 | 359.0 |
2022-11-27 | 78.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 26.0 | 152.0 | 245.0 | 316.0 | 389.0 |
2022-12-04 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 33.0 | 169.0 | 270.0 | 347.0 | 427.0 |
2022-12-11 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 40.0 | 186.0 | 295.0 | 379.0 | 466.0 |
2022-12-18 | 87.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 169.0 | 273.0 | 354.0 | 438.0 |
2022-12-25 | 60.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 131.0 | 222.0 | 293.0 | 366.0 |
2023-01-01 | 104.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 41.0 | 197.0 | 315.0 | 407.0 | 503.0 |
2023-01-08 | 123.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 53.0 | 225.0 | 357.0 | 460.0 | 567.0 |
2023-01-15 | 137.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 62.0 | 247.0 | 389.0 | 501.0 | 618.0 |
2023-01-22 | 131.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 57.0 | 239.0 | 379.0 | 490.0 | 606.0 |
2023-01-29 | 160.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 24.0 | 76.0 | 284.0 | 445.0 | 572.0 | 706.0 |
2023-02-05 | 161.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 76.0 | 287.0 | 451.0 | 581.0 | 719.0 |
2023-02-12 | 172.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 28.0 | 83.0 | 305.0 | 479.0 | 617.0 | 763.0 |
2023-02-19 | 156.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 71.0 | 281.0 | 447.0 | 578.0 | 718.0 |
2023-02-26 | 173.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 27.0 | 83.0 | 309.0 | 489.0 | 631.0 | 783.0 |
2023-03-05 | 171.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 80.0 | 307.0 | 487.0 | 631.0 | 784.0 |
2023-03-12 | 179.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 28.0 | 85.0 | 321.0 | 509.0 | 659.0 | 819.0 |
2023-03-19 | 171.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 79.0 | 310.0 | 494.0 | 643.0 | 801.0 |
2023-03-26 | 152.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 14.0 | 66.0 | 282.0 | 456.0 | 595.0 | 744.0 |
2023-04-02 | 141.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 58.0 | 266.0 | 434.0 | 569.0 | 714.0 |
2023-04-09 | 138.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 56.0 | 262.0 | 429.0 | 564.0 | 709.0 |
2023-04-16 | 123.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 46.0 | 241.0 | 399.0 | 527.0 | 665.0 |
2023-04-23 | 106.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 215.0 | 363.0 | 483.0 | 612.0 |
2023-04-30 | 102.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 210.0 | 357.0 | 475.0 | 603.0 |
2023-05-07 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 202.0 | 345.0 | 462.0 | 587.0 |
2023-05-14 | 88.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 22.0 | 191.0 | 330.0 | 443.0 | 566.0 |
2023-05-21 | 82.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 181.0 | 316.0 | 427.0 | 546.0 |
2023-05-28 | 73.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 168.0 | 297.0 | 403.0 | 518.0 |
2023-06-04 | 70.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 164.0 | 293.0 | 399.0 | 513.0 |
2023-06-11 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 156.0 | 282.0 | 385.0 | 497.0 |
2023-06-18 | 62.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 153.0 | 278.0 | 380.0 | 491.0 |
2023-06-25 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 134.0 | 250.0 | 346.0 | 450.0 |
2023-07-02 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 142.0 | 263.0 | 363.0 | 472.0 |
2023-07-09 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 138.0 | 259.0 | 358.0 | 467.0 |
2023-07-16 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 133.0 | 252.0 | 350.0 | 457.0 |
2023-07-23 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 126.0 | 242.0 | 338.0 | 443.0 |
2023-07-30 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 117.0 | 230.0 | 323.0 | 425.0 |
2023-08-06 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 114.0 | 225.0 | 317.0 | 419.0 |
2023-08-13 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 111.0 | 222.0 | 314.0 | 415.0 |
2023-08-20 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 109.0 | 220.0 | 312.0 | 413.0 |
2023-08-27 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 112.0 | 224.0 | 317.0 | 420.0 |
2023-09-03 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 105.0 | 215.0 | 307.0 | 407.0 |
2023-09-10 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 112.0 | 226.0 | 322.0 | 427.0 |
2023-09-17 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 108.0 | 220.0 | 315.0 | 418.0 |
2023-09-24 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 119.0 | 237.0 | 336.0 | 446.0 |
2023-10-01 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 129.0 | 253.0 | 358.0 | 474.0 |