Prediction 4130

Dengue Sprint2425 R Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2
Author Americo Cunha Jr
ADM 1 Amapá

Description:

Validation test 1 for UF=AP (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 39.0 58.0 70.0 81.0
2022-10-16 21.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 39.0 58.0 70.0 82.0
2022-10-23 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 38.0 57.0 69.0 80.0
2022-10-30 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 40.0 60.0 72.0 84.0
2022-11-06 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 38.0 57.0 70.0 81.0
2022-11-13 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 36.0 55.0 67.0 79.0
2022-11-20 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 29.0 47.0 60.0 71.0
2022-11-27 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.0 45.0 57.0 68.0
2022-12-04 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 28.0 46.0 58.0 69.0
2022-12-11 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.0 44.0 56.0 68.0
2022-12-18 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 27.0 45.0 57.0 68.0
2022-12-25 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 26.0 45.0 57.0 68.0
2023-01-01 22.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 42.0 62.0 76.0 89.0
2023-01-08 21.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 41.0 62.0 76.0 89.0
2023-01-15 23.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 43.0 64.0 78.0 92.0
2023-01-22 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 45.0 66.0 80.0 94.0
2023-01-29 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 53.0 75.0 90.0 105.0
2023-02-05 32.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 54.0 76.0 92.0 106.0
2023-02-12 32.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 55.0 78.0 93.0 108.0
2023-02-19 28.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 49.0 72.0 87.0 101.0
2023-02-26 35.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0 57.0 81.0 97.0 112.0
2023-03-05 39.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 19.0 63.0 88.0 104.0 119.0
2023-03-12 36.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 16.0 59.0 83.0 99.0 115.0
2023-03-19 28.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 50.0 72.0 88.0 102.0
2023-03-26 32.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0 55.0 78.0 94.0 109.0
2023-04-02 38.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 18.0 62.0 87.0 103.0 119.0
2023-04-09 29.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 51.0 74.0 90.0 104.0
2023-04-16 26.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 47.0 70.0 85.0 99.0
2023-04-23 23.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 44.0 65.0 80.0 94.0
2023-04-30 23.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 45.0 67.0 82.0 96.0
2023-05-07 27.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 49.0 72.0 87.0 102.0
2023-05-14 21.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 42.0 64.0 79.0 92.0
2023-05-21 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 39.0 60.0 74.0 88.0
2023-05-28 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 36.0 57.0 71.0 84.0
2023-06-04 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 34.0 55.0 69.0 82.0
2023-06-11 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.0 54.0 68.0 81.0
2023-06-18 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.0 53.0 67.0 80.0
2023-06-25 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 30.0 50.0 64.0 77.0
2023-07-02 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 31.0 52.0 66.0 79.0
2023-07-09 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 32.0 53.0 66.0 79.0
2023-07-16 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 30.0 50.0 64.0 77.0
2023-07-23 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 33.0 54.0 68.0 82.0
2023-07-30 17.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 37.0 59.0 74.0 87.0
2023-08-06 21.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 42.0 65.0 80.0 94.0
2023-08-13 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 41.0 64.0 79.0 93.0
2023-08-20 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 40.0 63.0 77.0 92.0
2023-08-27 18.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 39.0 61.0 76.0 90.0
2023-09-03 19.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 40.0 63.0 78.0 92.0
2023-09-10 20.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 41.0 64.0 79.0 93.0
2023-09-17 24.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 46.0 70.0 85.0 100.0
2023-09-24 27.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 49.0 73.0 89.0 104.0
2023-10-01 27.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 50.0 74.0 90.0 105.0
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