Prediction 4135
Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
---|---|
Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=GO (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-10-09 | 660.0 | 195.0 | 243.0 | 309.0 | 449.0 | 953.0 | 1311.0 | 1582.0 | 1859.0 |
2022-10-16 | 729.0 | 216.0 | 269.0 | 341.0 | 495.0 | 1055.0 | 1458.0 | 1763.0 | 2075.0 |
2022-10-23 | 718.0 | 207.0 | 259.0 | 331.0 | 484.0 | 1047.0 | 1454.0 | 1765.0 | 2083.0 |
2022-10-30 | 738.0 | 209.0 | 263.0 | 337.0 | 495.0 | 1081.0 | 1509.0 | 1836.0 | 2172.0 |
2022-11-06 | 868.0 | 252.0 | 314.0 | 399.0 | 583.0 | 1272.0 | 1777.0 | 2164.0 | 2564.0 |
2022-11-13 | 923.0 | 267.0 | 332.0 | 423.0 | 619.0 | 1357.0 | 1902.0 | 2321.0 | 2755.0 |
2022-11-20 | 1075.0 | 316.0 | 391.0 | 496.0 | 722.0 | 1581.0 | 2219.0 | 2712.0 | 3223.0 |
2022-11-27 | 1133.0 | 331.0 | 410.0 | 520.0 | 759.0 | 1671.0 | 2352.0 | 2880.0 | 3428.0 |
2022-12-04 | 1333.0 | 395.0 | 487.0 | 615.0 | 894.0 | 1966.0 | 2772.0 | 3398.0 | 4049.0 |
2022-12-11 | 1312.0 | 382.0 | 473.0 | 600.0 | 876.0 | 1943.0 | 2749.0 | 3376.0 | 4031.0 |
2022-12-18 | 1003.0 | 273.0 | 344.0 | 443.0 | 660.0 | 1502.0 | 2141.0 | 2639.0 | 3161.0 |
2022-12-25 | 751.0 | 185.0 | 240.0 | 317.0 | 484.0 | 1140.0 | 1640.0 | 2031.0 | 2441.0 |
2023-01-01 | 2044.0 | 612.0 | 750.0 | 943.0 | 1367.0 | 3034.0 | 4309.0 | 5309.0 | 6358.0 |
2023-01-08 | 2325.0 | 698.0 | 855.0 | 1073.0 | 1554.0 | 3454.0 | 4914.0 | 6060.0 | 7265.0 |
2023-01-15 | 2692.0 | 812.0 | 992.0 | 1243.0 | 1800.0 | 4004.0 | 5703.0 | 7041.0 | 8448.0 |
2023-01-22 | 3023.0 | 912.0 | 1113.0 | 1395.0 | 2019.0 | 4501.0 | 6422.0 | 7937.0 | 9533.0 |
2023-01-29 | 3511.0 | 1062.0 | 1295.0 | 1621.0 | 2344.0 | 5234.0 | 7478.0 | 9250.0 | 11120.0 |
2023-02-05 | 3770.0 | 1137.0 | 1386.0 | 1736.0 | 2514.0 | 5630.0 | 8058.0 | 9978.0 | 12006.0 |
2023-02-12 | 3824.0 | 1146.0 | 1399.0 | 1754.0 | 2544.0 | 5723.0 | 8206.0 | 10174.0 | 12254.0 |
2023-02-19 | 3741.0 | 1113.0 | 1360.0 | 1707.0 | 2483.0 | 5611.0 | 8063.0 | 10007.0 | 12066.0 |
2023-02-26 | 4187.0 | 1246.0 | 1521.0 | 1910.0 | 2777.0 | 6288.0 | 9045.0 | 11236.0 | 13557.0 |
2023-03-05 | 4467.0 | 1326.0 | 1619.0 | 2033.0 | 2959.0 | 6717.0 | 9676.0 | 12030.0 | 14526.0 |
2023-03-12 | 4757.0 | 1409.0 | 1721.0 | 2161.0 | 3148.0 | 7162.0 | 10331.0 | 12855.0 | 15534.0 |
2023-03-19 | 4706.0 | 1386.0 | 1694.0 | 2130.0 | 3109.0 | 7098.0 | 10255.0 | 12772.0 | 15446.0 |
2023-03-26 | 4596.0 | 1345.0 | 1647.0 | 2073.0 | 3030.0 | 6945.0 | 10048.0 | 12526.0 | 15160.0 |
2023-04-02 | 5131.0 | 1503.0 | 1838.0 | 2314.0 | 3382.0 | 7759.0 | 11237.0 | 14016.0 | 16973.0 |
2023-04-09 | 4955.0 | 1443.0 | 1767.0 | 2226.0 | 3260.0 | 7506.0 | 10886.0 | 13589.0 | 16468.0 |
2023-04-16 | 4801.0 | 1390.0 | 1704.0 | 2149.0 | 3153.0 | 7283.0 | 10577.0 | 13214.0 | 16023.0 |
2023-04-23 | 4779.0 | 1377.0 | 1690.0 | 2134.0 | 3134.0 | 7260.0 | 10555.0 | 13196.0 | 16011.0 |
2023-04-30 | 4707.0 | 1351.0 | 1659.0 | 2096.0 | 3083.0 | 7160.0 | 10422.0 | 13038.0 | 15829.0 |
2023-05-07 | 4374.0 | 1246.0 | 1533.0 | 1940.0 | 2859.0 | 6665.0 | 9715.0 | 12163.0 | 14776.0 |
2023-05-14 | 3767.0 | 1059.0 | 1307.0 | 1659.0 | 2455.0 | 5753.0 | 8399.0 | 10526.0 | 12796.0 |
2023-05-21 | 3060.0 | 845.0 | 1047.0 | 1335.0 | 1985.0 | 4687.0 | 6859.0 | 8604.0 | 10469.0 |
2023-05-28 | 2781.0 | 759.0 | 943.0 | 1206.0 | 1799.0 | 4269.0 | 6257.0 | 7855.0 | 9564.0 |
2023-06-04 | 2441.0 | 655.0 | 818.0 | 1050.0 | 1574.0 | 3757.0 | 5516.0 | 6932.0 | 8446.0 |
2023-06-11 | 2060.0 | 541.0 | 679.0 | 876.0 | 1322.0 | 3182.0 | 4682.0 | 5891.0 | 7184.0 |
2023-06-18 | 1799.0 | 462.0 | 583.0 | 756.0 | 1149.0 | 2787.0 | 4111.0 | 5177.0 | 6318.0 |
2023-06-25 | 1401.0 | 341.0 | 437.0 | 573.0 | 884.0 | 2189.0 | 3246.0 | 4099.0 | 5014.0 |
2023-07-02 | 1161.0 | 268.0 | 348.0 | 463.0 | 725.0 | 1828.0 | 2724.0 | 3449.0 | 4227.0 |
2023-07-09 | 947.0 | 203.0 | 270.0 | 366.0 | 583.0 | 1503.0 | 2254.0 | 2861.0 | 3514.0 |
2023-07-16 | 813.0 | 163.0 | 221.0 | 305.0 | 495.0 | 1302.0 | 1961.0 | 2497.0 | 3072.0 |
2023-07-23 | 670.0 | 121.0 | 170.0 | 240.0 | 401.0 | 1085.0 | 1645.0 | 2100.0 | 2590.0 |
2023-07-30 | 665.0 | 118.0 | 167.0 | 237.0 | 397.0 | 1079.0 | 1640.0 | 2096.0 | 2587.0 |
2023-08-06 | 577.0 | 92.0 | 135.0 | 197.0 | 339.0 | 945.0 | 1444.0 | 1851.0 | 2289.0 |
2023-08-13 | 596.0 | 96.0 | 140.0 | 204.0 | 350.0 | 976.0 | 1492.0 | 1913.0 | 2368.0 |
2023-08-20 | 512.0 | 72.0 | 111.0 | 167.0 | 295.0 | 847.0 | 1304.0 | 1677.0 | 2080.0 |
2023-08-27 | 466.0 | 58.0 | 94.0 | 146.0 | 265.0 | 778.0 | 1204.0 | 1551.0 | 1927.0 |
2023-09-03 | 447.0 | 52.0 | 87.0 | 137.0 | 252.0 | 749.0 | 1162.0 | 1500.0 | 1865.0 |
2023-09-10 | 475.0 | 59.0 | 96.0 | 149.0 | 270.0 | 795.0 | 1231.0 | 1589.0 | 1975.0 |
2023-09-17 | 473.0 | 58.0 | 95.0 | 147.0 | 268.0 | 792.0 | 1229.0 | 1587.0 | 1974.0 |
2023-09-24 | 485.0 | 61.0 | 98.0 | 152.0 | 275.0 | 813.0 | 1261.0 | 1629.0 | 2027.0 |
2023-10-01 | 517.0 | 69.0 | 108.0 | 165.0 | 295.0 | 862.0 | 1337.0 | 1726.0 | 2148.0 |