Prediction 4137
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=MG (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 301.0 | 16.0 | 42.0 | 78.0 | 162.0 | 515.0 | 804.0 | 1037.0 | 1289.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 330.0 | 21.0 | 48.0 | 87.0 | 178.0 | 567.0 | 888.0 | 1151.0 | 1435.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 339.0 | 20.0 | 47.0 | 88.0 | 181.0 | 587.0 | 927.0 | 1207.0 | 1511.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 352.0 | 20.0 | 48.0 | 90.0 | 186.0 | 614.0 | 977.0 | 1277.0 | 1604.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 418.0 | 34.0 | 67.0 | 114.0 | 225.0 | 726.0 | 1155.0 | 1513.0 | 1904.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 430.0 | 34.0 | 67.0 | 115.0 | 230.0 | 751.0 | 1204.0 | 1583.0 | 2000.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 539.0 | 58.0 | 97.0 | 156.0 | 295.0 | 935.0 | 1497.0 | 1971.0 | 2493.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 572.0 | 62.0 | 104.0 | 165.0 | 312.0 | 996.0 | 1603.0 | 2117.0 | 2686.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 667.0 | 81.0 | 129.0 | 199.0 | 367.0 | 1161.0 | 1872.0 | 2477.0 | 3151.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 730.0 | 92.0 | 143.0 | 219.0 | 401.0 | 1273.0 | 2060.0 | 2734.0 | 3486.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 667.0 | 74.0 | 121.0 | 191.0 | 361.0 | 1179.0 | 1924.0 | 2565.0 | 3282.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 515.0 | 37.0 | 74.0 | 130.0 | 267.0 | 931.0 | 1541.0 | 2068.0 | 2660.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 1164.0 | 177.0 | 253.0 | 368.0 | 649.0 | 2032.0 | 3314.0 | 4425.0 | 5677.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 1502.0 | 245.0 | 341.0 | 487.0 | 844.0 | 2619.0 | 4276.0 | 5718.0 | 7349.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 1728.0 | 287.0 | 397.0 | 562.0 | 971.0 | 3019.0 | 4946.0 | 6629.0 | 8537.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 1894.0 | 315.0 | 435.0 | 615.0 | 1062.0 | 3322.0 | 5462.0 | 7339.0 | 9473.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 2146.0 | 361.0 | 494.0 | 697.0 | 1202.0 | 3773.0 | 6225.0 | 8383.0 | 10843.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 2312.0 | 388.0 | 531.0 | 748.0 | 1292.0 | 4080.0 | 6758.0 | 9123.0 | 11825.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 2639.0 | 446.0 | 608.0 | 855.0 | 1473.0 | 4671.0 | 7760.0 | 10498.0 | 13634.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 2863.0 | 483.0 | 657.0 | 924.0 | 1594.0 | 5084.0 | 8477.0 | 11494.0 | 14956.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 3399.0 | 580.0 | 785.0 | 1099.0 | 1891.0 | 6050.0 | 10115.0 | 13741.0 | 17912.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 3943.0 | 676.0 | 912.0 | 1274.0 | 2191.0 | 7036.0 | 11800.0 | 16060.0 | 20973.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 4539.0 | 780.0 | 1049.0 | 1464.0 | 2518.0 | 8121.0 | 13660.0 | 18628.0 | 24367.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 4640.0 | 788.0 | 1063.0 | 1486.0 | 2564.0 | 8334.0 | 14066.0 | 19221.0 | 25189.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 4813.0 | 811.0 | 1094.0 | 1532.0 | 2651.0 | 8674.0 | 14688.0 | 20111.0 | 26402.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 5455.0 | 919.0 | 1238.0 | 1733.0 | 2999.0 | 9858.0 | 16740.0 | 22961.0 | 30190.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 5632.0 | 940.0 | 1269.0 | 1778.0 | 3086.0 | 10212.0 | 17394.0 | 23902.0 | 31479.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 5612.0 | 927.0 | 1253.0 | 1760.0 | 3064.0 | 10211.0 | 17445.0 | 24017.0 | 31681.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 5363.0 | 872.0 | 1183.0 | 1667.0 | 2916.0 | 9794.0 | 16786.0 | 23152.0 | 30587.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 4934.0 | 788.0 | 1073.0 | 1519.0 | 2670.0 | 9045.0 | 15553.0 | 21491.0 | 28438.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 4388.0 | 685.0 | 939.0 | 1335.0 | 2363.0 | 8079.0 | 13938.0 | 19296.0 | 25573.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 3562.0 | 535.0 | 741.0 | 1064.0 | 1903.0 | 6594.0 | 11419.0 | 15841.0 | 21029.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 2694.0 | 380.0 | 537.0 | 783.0 | 1424.0 | 5021.0 | 8736.0 | 12146.0 | 16154.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 2192.0 | 291.0 | 419.0 | 621.0 | 1147.0 | 4113.0 | 7187.0 | 10015.0 | 13342.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 1785.0 | 219.0 | 324.0 | 490.0 | 923.0 | 3375.0 | 5924.0 | 8274.0 | 11042.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 1352.0 | 144.0 | 225.0 | 352.0 | 686.0 | 2582.0 | 4562.0 | 6389.0 | 8544.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 1036.0 | 89.0 | 153.0 | 252.0 | 513.0 | 2005.0 | 3566.0 | 5010.0 | 6715.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 837.0 | 54.0 | 106.0 | 188.0 | 404.0 | 1643.0 | 2949.0 | 4160.0 | 5593.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 667.0 | 25.0 | 67.0 | 134.0 | 310.0 | 1334.0 | 2419.0 | 3428.0 | 4626.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 535.0 | 2.0 | 37.0 | 92.0 | 238.0 | 1092.0 | 2003.0 | 2853.0 | 3864.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 425.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 57.0 | 179.0 | 891.0 | 1655.0 | 2370.0 | 3223.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 350.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 34.0 | 138.0 | 752.0 | 1415.0 | 2037.0 | 2781.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 307.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 114.0 | 674.0 | 1280.0 | 1851.0 | 2535.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 286.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 102.0 | 636.0 | 1218.0 | 1768.0 | 2427.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 284.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 100.0 | 636.0 | 1221.0 | 1776.0 | 2443.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 263.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 89.0 | 598.0 | 1158.0 | 1690.0 | 2331.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 235.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 73.0 | 547.0 | 1069.0 | 1566.0 | 2166.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 250.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 81.0 | 578.0 | 1130.0 | 1656.0 | 2292.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 270.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 91.0 | 620.0 | 1210.0 | 1774.0 | 2456.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 260.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 85.0 | 602.0 | 1181.0 | 1736.0 | 2408.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 257.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 82.0 | 598.0 | 1176.0 | 1732.0 | 2406.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 258.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 82.0 | 602.0 | 1187.0 | 1750.0 | 2434.0 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
