Prediction 4145
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=RJ (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 87.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 176.0 | 293.0 | 385.0 | 481.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 94.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 30.0 | 190.0 | 315.0 | 415.0 | 521.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 32.0 | 199.0 | 332.0 | 439.0 | 553.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 99.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 31.0 | 203.0 | 341.0 | 453.0 | 573.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 108.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 35.0 | 219.0 | 369.0 | 490.0 | 621.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 120.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 43.0 | 241.0 | 405.0 | 539.0 | 684.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 125.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 44.0 | 251.0 | 423.0 | 565.0 | 718.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 142.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 54.0 | 280.0 | 471.0 | 629.0 | 801.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 165.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 67.0 | 320.0 | 535.0 | 714.0 | 909.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 166.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.0 | 66.0 | 324.0 | 545.0 | 730.0 | 932.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 164.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 64.0 | 324.0 | 550.0 | 739.0 | 947.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 150.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 55.0 | 305.0 | 524.0 | 709.0 | 912.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 223.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 28.0 | 98.0 | 426.0 | 715.0 | 960.0 | 1231.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 252.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 38.0 | 115.0 | 477.0 | 799.0 | 1073.0 | 1377.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 281.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 47.0 | 131.0 | 527.0 | 884.0 | 1188.0 | 1526.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 286.0 | 0.0 | 13.0 | 48.0 | 133.0 | 541.0 | 910.0 | 1226.0 | 1579.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 303.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 53.0 | 142.0 | 573.0 | 965.0 | 1303.0 | 1682.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 306.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 | 52.0 | 142.0 | 581.0 | 984.0 | 1332.0 | 1723.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 328.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 59.0 | 154.0 | 622.0 | 1055.0 | 1430.0 | 1853.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 348.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 65.0 | 165.0 | 659.0 | 1120.0 | 1521.0 | 1973.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 381.0 | 2.0 | 31.0 | 75.0 | 182.0 | 719.0 | 1222.0 | 1660.0 | 2157.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 458.0 | 17.0 | 51.0 | 101.0 | 226.0 | 854.0 | 1447.0 | 1965.0 | 2554.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 523.0 | 29.0 | 66.0 | 122.0 | 262.0 | 970.0 | 1642.0 | 2233.0 | 2904.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 541.0 | 31.0 | 69.0 | 127.0 | 271.0 | 1007.0 | 1710.0 | 2328.0 | 3034.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 583.0 | 38.0 | 78.0 | 140.0 | 294.0 | 1085.0 | 1844.0 | 2516.0 | 3283.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 664.0 | 52.0 | 97.0 | 166.0 | 338.0 | 1230.0 | 2091.0 | 2854.0 | 3729.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 623.0 | 42.0 | 85.0 | 150.0 | 313.0 | 1164.0 | 1990.0 | 2724.0 | 3567.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 621.0 | 40.0 | 83.0 | 147.0 | 310.0 | 1165.0 | 2000.0 | 2744.0 | 3600.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 625.0 | 40.0 | 82.0 | 147.0 | 311.0 | 1177.0 | 2028.0 | 2788.0 | 3663.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 599.0 | 33.0 | 74.0 | 136.0 | 295.0 | 1136.0 | 1966.0 | 2710.0 | 3568.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 593.0 | 30.0 | 71.0 | 133.0 | 290.0 | 1130.0 | 1963.0 | 2711.0 | 3577.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 553.0 | 22.0 | 60.0 | 118.0 | 266.0 | 1064.0 | 1859.0 | 2575.0 | 3404.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 447.0 | 1.0 | 32.0 | 81.0 | 206.0 | 879.0 | 1552.0 | 2160.0 | 2865.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 416.0 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 70.0 | 187.0 | 826.0 | 1467.0 | 2048.0 | 2723.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 347.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 46.0 | 148.0 | 704.0 | 1266.0 | 1775.0 | 2368.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 291.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 116.0 | 606.0 | 1102.0 | 1553.0 | 2079.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 246.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 12.0 | 91.0 | 527.0 | 971.0 | 1375.0 | 1847.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 221.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 77.0 | 485.0 | 904.0 | 1287.0 | 1735.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 219.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 75.0 | 485.0 | 907.0 | 1294.0 | 1749.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 180.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 52.0 | 415.0 | 792.0 | 1138.0 | 1545.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 157.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 39.0 | 375.0 | 726.0 | 1049.0 | 1431.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 135.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 27.0 | 336.0 | 661.0 | 961.0 | 1316.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 124.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 20.0 | 317.0 | 631.0 | 922.0 | 1267.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 118.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 16.0 | 308.0 | 617.0 | 905.0 | 1247.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.0 | 292.0 | 591.0 | 871.0 | 1204.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 271.0 | 556.0 | 824.0 | 1143.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 84.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 249.0 | 520.0 | 775.0 | 1079.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 78.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 238.0 | 502.0 | 751.0 | 1049.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 78.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 240.0 | 508.0 | 761.0 | 1064.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 80.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 245.0 | 518.0 | 778.0 | 1089.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 72.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 231.0 | 496.0 | 747.0 | 1050.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 81.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 249.0 | 529.0 | 796.0 | 1118.0 |
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