Prediction 4146
| Model | UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2 |
|---|---|
| Author | Americo Cunha Jr |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
Validation test 1 for UF=RN (UERJ-SARIMAX-2025-2)
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 447.0 | 102.0 | 137.0 | 185.0 | 288.0 | 670.0 | 948.0 | 1161.0 | 1380.0 |
| 2022-10-16 | 443.0 | 97.0 | 131.0 | 179.0 | 283.0 | 670.0 | 955.0 | 1174.0 | 1400.0 |
| 2022-10-23 | 414.0 | 82.0 | 115.0 | 161.0 | 260.0 | 633.0 | 910.0 | 1124.0 | 1346.0 |
| 2022-10-30 | 401.0 | 75.0 | 107.0 | 152.0 | 249.0 | 620.0 | 897.0 | 1112.0 | 1336.0 |
| 2022-11-06 | 419.0 | 78.0 | 111.0 | 158.0 | 259.0 | 650.0 | 944.0 | 1173.0 | 1412.0 |
| 2022-11-13 | 422.0 | 76.0 | 110.0 | 157.0 | 259.0 | 659.0 | 962.0 | 1199.0 | 1447.0 |
| 2022-11-20 | 414.0 | 71.0 | 104.0 | 150.0 | 252.0 | 651.0 | 956.0 | 1194.0 | 1445.0 |
| 2022-11-27 | 409.0 | 67.0 | 100.0 | 146.0 | 247.0 | 647.0 | 955.0 | 1198.0 | 1452.0 |
| 2022-12-04 | 399.0 | 61.0 | 94.0 | 139.0 | 238.0 | 635.0 | 943.0 | 1185.0 | 1441.0 |
| 2022-12-11 | 394.0 | 58.0 | 90.0 | 134.0 | 234.0 | 632.0 | 941.0 | 1187.0 | 1445.0 |
| 2022-12-18 | 348.0 | 42.0 | 70.0 | 111.0 | 201.0 | 566.0 | 852.0 | 1078.0 | 1318.0 |
| 2022-12-25 | 309.0 | 28.0 | 54.0 | 91.0 | 174.0 | 510.0 | 775.0 | 985.0 | 1208.0 |
| 2023-01-01 | 409.0 | 58.0 | 90.0 | 136.0 | 240.0 | 663.0 | 997.0 | 1264.0 | 1547.0 |
| 2023-01-08 | 446.0 | 67.0 | 102.0 | 152.0 | 263.0 | 721.0 | 1084.0 | 1375.0 | 1684.0 |
| 2023-01-15 | 480.0 | 76.0 | 113.0 | 166.0 | 285.0 | 775.0 | 1166.0 | 1480.0 | 1814.0 |
| 2023-01-22 | 498.0 | 80.0 | 118.0 | 173.0 | 296.0 | 805.0 | 1213.0 | 1541.0 | 1890.0 |
| 2023-01-29 | 571.0 | 100.0 | 143.0 | 204.0 | 343.0 | 918.0 | 1382.0 | 1755.0 | 2153.0 |
| 2023-02-05 | 609.0 | 110.0 | 155.0 | 220.0 | 366.0 | 979.0 | 1474.0 | 1873.0 | 2300.0 |
| 2023-02-12 | 679.0 | 129.0 | 178.0 | 249.0 | 411.0 | 1088.0 | 1637.0 | 2080.0 | 2556.0 |
| 2023-02-19 | 754.0 | 149.0 | 203.0 | 281.0 | 459.0 | 1206.0 | 1814.0 | 2306.0 | 2834.0 |
| 2023-02-26 | 885.0 | 185.0 | 248.0 | 338.0 | 543.0 | 1410.0 | 2117.0 | 2690.0 | 3306.0 |
| 2023-03-05 | 978.0 | 210.0 | 279.0 | 377.0 | 602.0 | 1556.0 | 2337.0 | 2971.0 | 3652.0 |
| 2023-03-12 | 1128.0 | 251.0 | 329.0 | 441.0 | 698.0 | 1791.0 | 2688.0 | 3417.0 | 4202.0 |
| 2023-03-19 | 1067.0 | 231.0 | 306.0 | 412.0 | 657.0 | 1700.0 | 2558.0 | 3257.0 | 4011.0 |
| 2023-03-26 | 1020.0 | 216.0 | 288.0 | 390.0 | 625.0 | 1631.0 | 2461.0 | 3138.0 | 3868.0 |
| 2023-04-02 | 1249.0 | 279.0 | 365.0 | 488.0 | 771.0 | 1989.0 | 2995.0 | 3817.0 | 4704.0 |
| 2023-04-09 | 1392.0 | 317.0 | 412.0 | 548.0 | 862.0 | 2213.0 | 3333.0 | 4249.0 | 5238.0 |
| 2023-04-16 | 1450.0 | 331.0 | 430.0 | 571.0 | 898.0 | 2308.0 | 3480.0 | 4439.0 | 5475.0 |
| 2023-04-23 | 1499.0 | 343.0 | 444.0 | 591.0 | 928.0 | 2389.0 | 3605.0 | 4600.0 | 5679.0 |
| 2023-04-30 | 1536.0 | 351.0 | 455.0 | 604.0 | 950.0 | 2449.0 | 3700.0 | 4725.0 | 5836.0 |
| 2023-05-07 | 1478.0 | 333.0 | 433.0 | 577.0 | 911.0 | 2362.0 | 3575.0 | 4570.0 | 5649.0 |
| 2023-05-14 | 1521.0 | 343.0 | 446.0 | 594.0 | 937.0 | 2433.0 | 3685.0 | 4714.0 | 5830.0 |
| 2023-05-21 | 1388.0 | 305.0 | 400.0 | 536.0 | 851.0 | 2229.0 | 3384.0 | 4334.0 | 5365.0 |
| 2023-05-28 | 1343.0 | 292.0 | 383.0 | 515.0 | 821.0 | 2161.0 | 3286.0 | 4212.0 | 5218.0 |
| 2023-06-04 | 1230.0 | 260.0 | 344.0 | 466.0 | 748.0 | 1986.0 | 3027.0 | 3885.0 | 4817.0 |
| 2023-06-11 | 1070.0 | 215.0 | 289.0 | 396.0 | 645.0 | 1737.0 | 2656.0 | 3414.0 | 4239.0 |
| 2023-06-18 | 976.0 | 189.0 | 257.0 | 356.0 | 584.0 | 1591.0 | 2440.0 | 3140.0 | 3902.0 |
| 2023-06-25 | 854.0 | 155.0 | 215.0 | 302.0 | 505.0 | 1403.0 | 2163.0 | 2792.0 | 3476.0 |
| 2023-07-02 | 827.0 | 146.0 | 204.0 | 289.0 | 487.0 | 1365.0 | 2111.0 | 2728.0 | 3402.0 |
| 2023-07-09 | 773.0 | 130.0 | 184.0 | 264.0 | 451.0 | 1283.0 | 1991.0 | 2579.0 | 3221.0 |
| 2023-07-16 | 705.0 | 110.0 | 161.0 | 234.0 | 407.0 | 1177.0 | 1836.0 | 2383.0 | 2982.0 |
| 2023-07-23 | 589.0 | 79.0 | 122.0 | 185.0 | 333.0 | 997.0 | 1566.0 | 2039.0 | 2557.0 |
| 2023-07-30 | 549.0 | 67.0 | 108.0 | 168.0 | 307.0 | 935.0 | 1475.0 | 1925.0 | 2418.0 |
| 2023-08-06 | 551.0 | 67.0 | 108.0 | 167.0 | 307.0 | 940.0 | 1485.0 | 1940.0 | 2439.0 |
| 2023-08-13 | 493.0 | 51.0 | 88.0 | 143.0 | 270.0 | 849.0 | 1349.0 | 1767.0 | 2225.0 |
| 2023-08-20 | 421.0 | 32.0 | 65.0 | 113.0 | 225.0 | 736.0 | 1179.0 | 1549.0 | 1956.0 |
| 2023-08-27 | 340.0 | 11.0 | 39.0 | 79.0 | 174.0 | 607.0 | 983.0 | 1298.0 | 1644.0 |
| 2023-09-03 | 337.0 | 10.0 | 37.0 | 77.0 | 172.0 | 604.0 | 979.0 | 1295.0 | 1642.0 |
| 2023-09-10 | 310.0 | 3.0 | 28.0 | 66.0 | 155.0 | 561.0 | 915.0 | 1213.0 | 1541.0 |
| 2023-09-17 | 275.0 | 0.0 | 17.0 | 51.0 | 133.0 | 506.0 | 832.0 | 1106.0 | 1408.0 |
| 2023-09-24 | 241.0 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 37.0 | 111.0 | 452.0 | 750.0 | 1000.0 | 1277.0 |
| 2023-10-01 | 240.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 36.0 | 110.0 | 450.0 | 748.0 | 999.0 | 1276.0 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
